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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Joseph King in LaLiga Predictions
Matchday 27 in the Spanish La Liga sees third-place Real Madrid hosting seventh-placed Rayo Vallecano at the Bernabeu. Los Blancos will look to close the gap on league-leaders Barcelona while Los Franjirrolos are pushing for European football next season. Here’s our match prediction!
Real Madird’s title hopes have suffered a series of tough hits in the past month. The latest saw the defending champions squander a one-goal lead to ultimately lose 2-1 away to Betis, with former Madrid man Isco slotting home the deciding penalty.
The result marked the fourth match in the last five in La Liga where Madrid failed to secure a victory and has seen them fall three points behind Barcelona at the summit.
Madrid were able to get back to winning ways in their midweek Champions League round of 16 first leg, edging out city rivals Atletico in a 2-1 home win. While they’ve been faltering in the league, Madrid have rattled off four wins in their last five across all competitions.
After finishing one spot above the bottom three last season, Rayo are having a very different 2024/25 campaign. With 36 points, Rayito are just two points behind Betis for a Conference League qualification spot.
A 1-1 home draw with Valencia last weekend snapped the visitors two-game losing streak, but prolonged their winless run to three games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.75 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.32 | 6.09 | 10.7 |
|
|
1.32 | 6.09 | 10.7 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.75 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.85 | 10 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.85 | 10 |
|
|
1.31 | 6 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.85 | 10 |
|
|
1.31 | 6 | 9.8 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.8 | 10 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.8 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.26 | 6 | 12 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano match is: Real Madrid to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/03/2025 between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.91% for a win of Real Madrid against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 1.32 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano is 27.9% with odds of 6.09 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid with odds of 12 at Betsson.
Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Rayo Vallecano Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 54.91% | 1.32 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.46% | 1.58 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 72.5% | 1.98 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 28.16% | 1.85 at Unibet |
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
54 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 30 |
|
7
|
36 | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 1 |
Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
3 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
18 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
24 May 2023 - LaLiga
7 Nov 2022 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2022 - LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
E. Militao
J. Vallejo
MidfielderD. Ceballos
A. Mumin
MidfielderJ. Montiel
I. Palazon
R. Nteka
ForwardR. De Tomas
S. Camello
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
K. Mbappe
(24 Goals)
J. De Frutos
(4 Goals)
J. Bellingham
(9 Assists)
I. Palazon
(3 Assists)
,
A. Garcia
(3 Assists)
,
J. De Frutos
(3 Assists)
Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano Stats in LaLiga
Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Madrid are 16-1-2 at home across all competitions this season.
- Madrid home league matches see an average of 3.5 goals this season.
- Rayo Vallecano have ‘lost to nil’ in two of their last three matches.
- The visitors have only managed to score 10 goals in 13 away league fixtures.
- The hosts have ‘won to nil’ in six of their 12 home matches while conceding just 11 goals.
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Our Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
The hosts are on a disappointing run domestically but they’ve been putting wins on the board in their other competitions. There is very little room for error in the remaining 12 league fixtures and we should see the defending champions respond strongly here.
Rayo Vallecano deserve credit for their marked improvement this season with their success down to the team’s solid defensive foundation. However, goals have still been somewhat hard to come by, which will likely be the case in the Spanish capital. Our Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano prediction: Real Madrid to win to nil.Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Rayo Vallecano
| Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.27 | 1.3 | +2.4% |
| Draw | 6 | 5.5 | -8.3% |
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 9 | 10 | +11.1% |
At 2 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 78.7% and is now 76.9% (-1.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Real Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano game!
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Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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