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Real Madrid vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Daniel Ngulu in Champions League Predictions
Napoli are set to visit Real Madrid in a Group C Champions League encounter that could secure their second round slot. Going into this game, hosts Real Madrid are top of the group with 12 points while Napoli are second on seven. Real Madrid have already secured qualification to the next stage of the competition. The Spanish giants will however still want to play for top spot, in which case a win will secure that. Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid rose from behind to beat Napoli 3-2 in their first meeting in this group. They will be seeking a double here, and a 3-0 win over Cadiz was a good warm-up for this encounter. That was their fourth win in five matches, and also the fourth in that streak to produce over 2.5 goals. Real Madrid have scored at least three times in the last three matches, returning a total of 11 goals.
With seven points from their opening four matches in this group, Napoli will be targeting a win here. That will secure their place in the next round but they can still qualify by simply matching Braga’s result. The Italian champions are really struggling to match last season’s standards both domestically and in Europe. However, to this game they come having won 2-1 at Atalanta in Serie A. Napoli have only failed to score once in their last five matches. That was in the 1-0 loss to Empoli. In three of their last five matches they scored more than a goal and two had over 2.5 goals. This will be the fourth time in their history that Napoli face Real Madrid. In each of the earlier three, Real Madrid scored at least three goals, and won all. From their four matches in this group, Napoli have two wins.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Napoli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.7 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.58 | 3.65 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.76 | 4.25 | 4.74 |
|
|
1.76 | 4.25 | 4.74 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.08 | 4.56 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.08 | 4.56 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.65 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.08 | 4.56 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.95 | 4.46 |
|
|
1.77 | 4.1 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.8 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.95 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.2 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.67 | 4 | 4.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Napoli?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2023 between Real Madrid and Napoli in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.87% for a win of Real Madrid against Napoli with odds of 1.77 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Napoli is 17.97% with odds of 4.25 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Real Madrid with odds of 4.75 at Unibet.
Real Madrid - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Napoli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 52.87% | 1.77 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.49% | 1.76 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 39.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 19.39% | 2.68 at Betsson |
Real Madrid vs Napoli Form
Real Madrid and Napoli's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
|
2
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Real Madrid and Napoli Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
11 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2023 - Champions League
5 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
28 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
24 Oct 2023 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2023 - Champions League
5 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
7 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
27 Sep 2023 - LaLiga
20 Sep 2023 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
28 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
24 Oct 2023 - Champions League
21 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
3 Oct 2023 - Champions League
30 Sep 2023 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2023 - Serie A
12 Nov 2023 - Serie A
8 Nov 2023 - Champions League
4 Nov 2023 - Serie A
29 Oct 2023 - Serie A
24 Oct 2023 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2023 - Serie A
8 Nov 2023 - Champions League
29 Oct 2023 - Serie A
8 Oct 2023 - Serie A
3 Oct 2023 - Champions League
27 Sep 2023 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2023 - Serie A
4 Nov 2023 - Serie A
24 Oct 2023 - Champions League
21 Oct 2023 - Serie A
30 Sep 2023 - Serie A
24 Sep 2023 - Serie A
Real Madrid vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Oct 2023 - Champions League
7 Mar 2017 - Champions League
15 Feb 2017 - Champions League
Real Madrid against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
A. Tchouameni
Real Madrid & Napoli Squad Analysis
Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti goes head-to-head with his former club and will want to get one on them despite having already qualified. The long-term absence of goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois and defender Eder Militao remain key concerns. Among Ancelotti’s fitness concerns is midfielder Luka Modric, who has reported a muscular problem. Vinicius Junior is out for the rest of 2023 while French pair Aurelien Tchouameni and Eduardo Camavinga are unlikely to feature.
At Napoli, Mathias Olivera is a concern after being withdrawn in the win over Atalanta. His potential absence worsens the concerns at left back with Mario Rui also sidelined. The best news for the Italians though, is that Victor Osimhen is fit and ready after returning over the weekend. New manager Walter Mazzari will also be a man in focus as he starts his managerial career. He takes over Napoli at a tumultuous period, a big contrast to their highs last season.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Napoli
J. Bellingham
(23 Goals)
V. Osimhen
(17 Goals)
J. Bellingham
(11 Assists)
M. Politano
(8 Assists)
Real Madrid - Napoli Key Points
- Three of Napoli’s last five away matches had over 2.5 goals
- Four of Real Madrid’s last five matches produced over 2.5 goals
- Three of Real Madrid’s last four home matches had over 2.5 goals
- Two of Napoli’s last four Champions League matches had over 2.5 goals
- All the last three meetings between Napoli and Real Madrid have had over 2.5 goals
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Our Real Madrid vs Napoli Prediction
Napoli aren’t in their best shape coming into this game, especially defensively. They are however consistent in attack and that should play out here. Real Madrid have secured qualification and will not be pressured here. They should still offer stiff competition to Napoli. Real Madrid are on a good scoring run too. Our prediction for Real Madrid v Napoli is for over 2.5 goals.
Real Madrid vs Napoli match : Frequently asked questions
The Real Madrid v Napoli game will be player at the Santiago Bernabeu on Wednesday
Victor Osimhen is back after weeks out with injury and will feature in the Real Madrid v Napoli game.
Real Madrid are unbeaten in five matches against Napoli.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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