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Real Madrid vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions
Real Madrid go into the second leg of this Champions League Knockout play-off with a 3-2 lead over Manchester City. Can the Citizens fight back on Wednesday? Read our match prediction.
Manchester City have had a difficult season and again last week showed how they can turn leads into defeats. The English Premier League champions (not for long though) led Real Madrid 1-0 and 2-1 in the first leg but still ended up losing the game 3-2. Saturday saw them keep a rare clean sheet and they may need to do so again in Madrid if wanting to reach the last 16.
Real Madrid did well to come away from the Etihad with a victory. They will put their years of experience in this competition as they look to progress to the next round. The winners of this tie will face either Bayer Leverkusen or Atletico Madrid in the last 16. Could Real take on Atletico in the next round?
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Manchester City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 4.33 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.91 | 4.33 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.05 | 2.8 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.88 | 4.43 | 3.68 |
|
|
1.88 | 4.43 | 3.68 |
|
|
1.84 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.82 | 4.2 | 3.76 |
|
|
1.82 | 4.2 | 3.76 |
|
|
1.97 | 4.3 | 3.35 |
|
|
1.88 | 4.34 | 3.46 |
|
|
1.89 | 4.2 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.84 | 4.5 | 3.81 |
|
|
1.83 | 4.2 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.81 | 4.2 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.8 | 4.1 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.82 | 4.35 | 3.85 |
|
|
1.83 | 4 | 3.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Manchester City match is: Real Madrid to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/02/2025 between Real Madrid and Manchester City in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.72% for a win of Real Madrid against Manchester City with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Manchester City is 22.42% with odds of 4.5 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Real Madrid with odds of 3.85 at Betsson.
Real Madrid - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 46.72% | 2.05 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79.31% | 1.22 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 76.67% | 1.45 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 21.32% | 2.9 at Betsson |
Real Madrid vs Manchester City Form
Real Madrid and Manchester City Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
12 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
9 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
Real Madrid vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
17 Apr 2024 - Champions League
9 Apr 2024 - Champions League
17 May 2023 - Champions League
9 May 2023 - Champions League
4 May 2022 - Champions League
Real Madrid - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Real Madrid drew 1-1 at Osasuna on Saturday but remained top of La Liga. They are unbeaten in their last seven home matches in all competitions. In the Champions League, they did lose to Milan this season but their other three games have been won with 13 goals scored. Nine of their last 11 matches in all competitions have seen both teams get on the scoresheet and that looks very likely to happen here on Wednesday.
Will their weekend win boost City's confidence?
Manchester City beat Newcastle United 4-0 at home on Saturday. That was a welcome clean sheet and the Marmouch hat-trick was greatly appreciated too. The Blues do still have a defence that can look very fragile at times.
Away form isn’t impressive either with their last three in the Champions League all being lost. Ten goals have been conceded in those matches. Unless their strikers hit top form, they will need to tighten up at the back to have any chance of making it into the next round.
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Real Madrid against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Carvajal
E. Militao
M. Akanji
MidfielderRodri
O. Bobb
Real Madrid & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Real Madrid will be able to play Jude Bellingham in this match. He was sent off against Osasuna on Saturday but will serve a domestic suspension. Real will hope he can be on the scoresheet just as he was when scoring the late winner in the first leg.
Mbappe is in good scoring form for them as are Vinicius Jr and Rodrygo. They will be confident of being able to score goals in this match.
Marmoush and Haaland to the rescue?
For the past few seasons Manchester City have been relying on Erling Haaland for goals. He's still a major threat but the new kid in town Omar Marmoush has already proved to be a welcome addition to their squad.
Marmoush scored a first-half hat-trick against Newcastle United on Saturday. With City needing to win this match in 90 minutes to have any chance of progressing, they will hope for more goals from their new signing.
Erling Haaland is expected to be fit for City after he had to come off early on Saturday with a knee injury. City will need to try and control the midfield and then create some chances for Marmoush and Haaland. Kevin De Bruyne didn't play against Newcastle but is expected to play on Wednesday.
City's defence has been so fragile in recent months. With Real having the triple threat of Vinicius Jr, Belingham (who won't be suspended for this game) and Mbappe, you have to wonder how the Premier League side can keep a clean sheet in this game.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Manchester City
K. Mbappe
(24 Goals)
E. Haaland
(27 Goals)
J. Bellingham
(9 Assists)
Savinho
(9 Assists)
Real Madrid - Manchester City Key Points
- The first leg was won 3-2 by Real Madrid.
- Manchester City have lost their last three away Champions League games.
- 10 of the last 12 away Manchester City Champions League games have seen both teams score.
- Eight of the last 11 Real Madrid games have seen both teams score with seven of them being won.
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Our Real Madrid vs Manchester City Prediction
We look set to be in for an exciting Champions League game on Wednesday evening. The pressure is on Manchester City as they trail 3-2 from the first leg. They really should have got a better result than that after twice taking the lead. That's City though and Saturday's clean sheet was a rarity.
Real Madrid have won their last four Champions League games with 14 goals scored. Both teams scored in three of those matches and in each of their last seven home games in this competition. Our main Real Madrid v Manchester City prediction is Real Madrid to win and both teams to score.
Real Madrid vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Kylian Mbappe to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Manchester City
| Real Madrid vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.8 | 1.83 | +1.7% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.33 | 0% |
| Manchester City wins | 3.8 | 3.6 | -5.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 54.6% (-0.9%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Real Madrid vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions
This is the home leg for Real Madrid in this Champions League tie. Therefore, the match will be played at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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