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Europe - Champions League

Real Madrid
15 Mar 2023 16:00
Liverpool

Prediction :

 

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Real Madrid vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Sridhar | in Champions League Predictions

Liverpool run the risk of ending their Champions League stay at the hands of Real Madrid for the third year running as they carry a heavy deficit to the second leg at Santiago Bernabéu on Wednesday in what will be a 300th game in this competition for the Spanish giants. Madrid came back from a 2-0 deficit to win 5-2 at Anfield in the last week of February to give them a big chance of winning this tie and making it to the quarter-final. They seem to have found a key to answering Liverpool’s challenges having won six of the last seven matches between the two sides. Surprisingly though, Carlo Ancelotti’s side has struggled to replicate the first leg form in the matches played thereafter. They have won one, drawn two and lost one of their last four matches in all competitions raising questions if the momentum of that Anfield win has been evaporated. Both the draws are in La Liga which means despite the win at weekend they are nine points behind leaders Barcelona. The defending Champions League champions though seem to enjoy the continental stage, winning five of their seven matches this season. That includes a perfect three wins in three at Santiago Bernabéu which further amplifies Liverpool’s difficulties.

The Reds have comeback from a first-leg deficit of three or more goals in the past, doing so against Barcelona in 2018-19 but that came at home. Furthermore, their recent form has been patchy and symbolised one step forward and one step backward. A momentous 7-0 thumping against arch rivals Manchester United was followed by a dire 1-0 loss to Bournemouth last weekend leaving them 6th in the English Premier League and struggling to make a top-four charge. That would mean all-or-nothing here for Jurgen Klopp’s men as winning the Champions League could be their only ticket to next season’s action in this tournament! That’s enough pressure on the visitors who have won only three of their ten matches against Madrid, with all wins coming in the European Cup.

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Despite the thumping win in the first leg, the markets are still not favouring Real Madrid comprehensively. The hosts are tipped to win this match at odds of 2.35 on an average while an away win is tipped at 2.92 on an average. The draw is tipped at 4.10 and is not a favoured result at the moment.

Real Madrid vs Liverpool Form

Real Madrid and Liverpool Last Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
W W D L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Mar 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Espanyol

5 Mar 2023 - LaLiga

Betis
0 :  0
Real Madrid

2 Mar 2023 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
0 :  1
Barcelona

25 Feb 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

21 Feb 2023 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  5
Real Madrid

18 Feb 2023 - LaLiga

Osasuna
0 :  2
Real Madrid
W W W D L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Mar 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Espanyol

2 Mar 2023 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
0 :  1
Barcelona

25 Feb 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

15 Feb 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Elche

11 Feb 2023 - FIFA Club World Cup

Real Madrid
5 :  3
Al Hilal

2 Feb 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Valencia
W L W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Mar 2023 - LaLiga

Betis
0 :  0
Real Madrid

21 Feb 2023 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  5
Real Madrid

18 Feb 2023 - LaLiga

Osasuna
0 :  2
Real Madrid

8 Feb 2023 - FIFA Club World Cup

AL Ahly SC (EGY)
1 :  4
Real Madrid

5 Feb 2023 - LaLiga

Mallorca
1 :  0
Real Madrid

22 Jan 2023 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  2
Real Madrid
Liverpool
Liverpool Last matches
W L D W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  0
Liverpool

5 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
7 :  0
Manchester United

1 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Wolves

25 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  0
Liverpool

21 Feb 2023 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  5
Real Madrid

18 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  2
Liverpool
D D W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
7 :  0
Manchester United

1 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Wolves

21 Feb 2023 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  5
Real Madrid

13 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Everton

21 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  0
Chelsea

7 Jan 2023 - FA Cup

Liverpool
2 :  2
Wolves
W L L W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  0
Liverpool

25 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  0
Liverpool

18 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  2
Liverpool

4 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Wolves
3 :  0
Liverpool

29 Jan 2023 - FA Cup

Brighton
2 :  1
Liverpool

17 Jan 2023 - FA Cup

Wolves
0 :  1
Liverpool

Real Madrid vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

80 %

Draw

20 %

Liverpool

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.2
Total goals
60%
BTTS
2.4
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.8
Goals scored (Team 2)
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5

21 Feb 2023 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  5
Real Madrid

28 May 2022 - Champions League

Liverpool
0 :  1
Real Madrid

14 Apr 2021 - Champions League

Liverpool
0 :  0
Real Madrid

6 Apr 2021 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Liverpool

26 May 2018 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Liverpool
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Real Madrid - Liverpool: Form Analysis

Real Madrid have won one, drawn two and lost one of their last four matches in all competitions following the stupendous win in the first leg. It is worth noting though that they have won each of their three home matches in the Champions League this season, scoring at least two goals each time. Liverpool are coming off a defeat over the weekend in the Premier League and will hope they can override their poor away record this season. The Reds have lost three of their last five away matches in all competitions and have won just once.
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Real Madrid against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
T. Courtois
2
D. Carvajal
3
E. Militao
22
A. Rudiger
6
Nacho
8
T. Kroos
12
E. Camavinga
10
L. Modric
15
F. Valverde
9
K. Benzema
20
V. Junior
18
C. Gakpo
27
D. Nunez
11
M. Salah
7
J. Milner
3
Fabinho
20
D. Jota
26
A. Robertson
4
V. Van Dijk
5
I. Konate
66
T. Alexander-Arnold
1
Alisson

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Liverpool

Real Madrid & Liverpool Squad Analysis

Real Madrid are set to miss Ferland Mendy and David Alaba for this match which means another game as left-back for the talented midfielder Eduardo Camavinga. Rodrygo could be pushing for a start on the right-wing but Federico Valverde may just get the nod. Liverpool got a boost during the weekend with midfielder Arthur making it to the bench. Luis Diaz, Thiago, Joe Gomez all miss this trip due to injuries while the visitors are likely to make a late call on Naby Kieta’s fitness.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Liverpool
Top Goalscorer
France K. Benzema (24 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Egypt M. Salah (29 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil V. Junior (14 Assists)
Best assists
Egypt M. Salah (15 Assists)

Real Madrid - Liverpool Key Points

  1. Real Madrid have won six of their last seven matches played against Liverpool in all competitions
  2. Both teams scored goals in 16 of Real Madrid’s last 20 Champions League home matches
  3. Real Madrid have won their last three Champions League home matches, each time scoring at least two goals
  4. Liverpool have scored in each of their seven Champions League matches this season, home and away
  5. Vinícius Júnior has scored five goals and assisted one in five matches against Liverpool
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Our Real Madrid vs Liverpool Prediction

After a stirring comeback win in the first leg, Real Madrid are heavy favourites to win this tie and make it to the quarter-finals. With everything to play for, Liverpool are likely to throw caution to wind and go for goals. There still are goals in this match despite so much action from the first leg. Our prediction for Real Madrid v Liverpool is for goals at both ends.

Prediction :

 

BTTS Yes

 
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Real Madrid vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions

Vinícius Júnior to score anytime

Odds 3.5
Real Madrid’s great run of form at home puts them in a great chance to win this game but our secondary tip is in the goalscorer market. Vinícius Júnior has five goals and an assist in five matches against Liverpool including two goals and one assist from the first leg. He warmed up with another strike over the weekend against Espanyol and is a good bet to find the net once again.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Real Madrid vs Liverpool Prediction
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