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Real Madrid vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Ian John | in Champions League Predictions
Real Madrid lead Red Bull Leipzig 1-0 from the first leg of this Round of 16 Champions League tie in Germany. It took a special goal from Brahim Diaz to break the deadlock in what was an even contest. Real come into this game having endured just one defeat all season long in the league and Champions League and they are now 7 points clear at the top of the table in La Liga, despite Sunday's 2-2 draw with Valencia, which saw England international Jude Bellingham sent off in added time. The 14-time winners of the Champions League will now be fully focused on finishing the job off on Wednesday night against a Leipzig team that didn't find the net on their only previous trip to the Bernabeu back in 2022, which ended in a 2-0 defeat to the Spaniards.
Leipzig warmed up for this onerous task against Madrid with a very solid 4-1 win away to Vfl Bochum on Saturday. Three second half goals in the space of four minutes blitzed the home side and saw Leipzig earn a good victory, especially after they went a goal down after just 7 minutes. That was Leipzig's first win on the road in the Bundesliga since December 9th, when they defeated Dortmund 3-2. They have won two of their three away games in the Champions League so far, and they put up a brave show against Man City in the game they lost, going 2-0 up before City struck back to score 3 times in the second half. Usually, Red Bull Leipzig are good for a few goals in games, but they were blunted by Real Madrid's defence in the first leg and this away leg looks like being even tougher.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Leipzig Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 4.5 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.25 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.5 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.63 | 5.34 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.63 | 5.34 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.54 | 5.85 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.54 | 5.85 |
|
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1.56 | 5 | 5.4 |
|
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1.5 | 4.54 | 5.85 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.9 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.35 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.6 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.7 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.33 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.6 | 5.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Leipzig?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/03/2024 between Real Madrid and Leipzig in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.45% for a win of Real Madrid against Leipzig with odds of 1.63 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Leipzig is 22.49% with odds of 5 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Real Madrid with odds of 5.85 at Betwinner.
Real Madrid - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Leipzig Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 57.45% | 1.63 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.1% | 1.63 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid | 26.39% | 4.9 at Unibet |
Real Madrid vs Leipzig Form
Real Madrid and Leipzig Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
18 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
13 Feb 2024 - Champions League
10 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
10 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
10 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
18 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
13 Feb 2024 - Champions League
1 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
27 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Feb 2024 - Champions League
10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
4 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Feb 2024 - Champions League
4 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Jan 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
Real Madrid vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Feb 2024 - Champions League
25 Oct 2022 - Champions League
14 Sep 2022 - Champions League
Real Madrid - Leipzig: Form Analysis
Real Madrid's form this season at home has been outstanding. They have won all their Champions League games at the Bernabeu and are unbeaten in La Liga. However, they have struggled for goals a little of late, scoring just 5 in their last four games, two of which they have drawn, away to Rayo Vallecano (1-1) and Valencia (2-2). Their only dropped points at home this season in La Liga have come in draws with Rayo Vallecano (0-0) and Atletico Madrid (1-1) and they've won all other home games including a 4-0 win over Girona, a 5-1 victory over Valencia and a 4-1 victory over Villarreal. They are top of La Liga and seem set to land yet another title to their growing trophy cabinet.
Red Bull Leipzig come into this game in somewhat mixed form, as well as being a goal down from the first leg. In their last seven games, they have been beaten 5-2 by VfB Stuttgart, 1-0 by Real Madrid and 2-1 by Bayern Munich. They drew 2-2 at Augsburg but won the other three games, 2-0 v Union Berlin, and the same score against Borussia Monchengladbach, followed by last weekend's 4-1 win over Vfl Bochum. They also don't have the worst record against Spanish teams, winning three, drawing one and losing two of their six games against Spanish opponents. The problem for them is that the two defeats have both come against their opposition today.
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Real Madrid against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
D. Alaba
Real Madrid & Leipzig Squad Analysis
Real Madrid will be without a number of players for the second leg of their tie with Leipzig. Long-term absentees goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois and central defender Eder Militao are still well over a month away from a projected return to action, while Austrian defender David Alaba will be out until next season at least due to his cruciate ligament injury. Real fans can rest easy however as despite being sent off late on against Valencia, Jude Bellingham will be eligible to play in the second leg, but will miss action in La Liga as a result. The Englishman has been Real's standout player this season, scoring 15 goals from midfield in La Liga and 4 goals and 3 assists in 5 Champions League games this season too.
Leipzig will be missing two defenders themselves for the second leg. Lukas Klostermann has a hip injury which will keep the German centre back out of this game and he will be joined on the sidelines by Frenchman Mohamed Simakan, who picked up his third booking in the Champions League in the first leg and so is suspended for the game at the Bernabeu this week. One positive is the return of Xaver Schlager, who was suspended from the weekend win over Vfl Bochum and he should come back into the team, likely ahead of compatriot Nicolas Seiweld. Leipzig's main hopes may rest with Belgian striker Lois Openda, who has netted 17 Bundesliga goals this season as well as four more in the Champions League.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Leipzig
J. Bellingham
(23 Goals)
L. Openda
(28 Goals)
J. Bellingham
(11 Assists)
D. Raum
(12 Assists)
, 
X. Simons
(12 Assists)
Real Madrid - Leipzig Key Points
- Real Madrid have won all 7 of their Champions League games so far this season. They are unbeaten at home in La Liga and have conceded a total of 9 goals at the Bernabeu across both competitions this season.
- Leipzig have won four of their seven Champions League games this season. Two of those wins came away at Young Boys and Red Star Belgrade. All their six Group Games saw both teams score and over 2.5 goals scored.
- Leipzig have won three of their last five games but only one of those wins came away from home, their 4-1 win at the weekend at Vfl Bochum.
- Leipzig have kept just two clean sheets in their last 14 Bundesliga games, and in none of their seven Champions League games played this season.
- This will be the fourth game between the two teams in the Champions League, Real have won two of those games, Leipzig the one.
- Real have won 14 of their 16 home games in La Liga and the Champions League this season, drawing the other two. They have conceded just 9 goals in those games (19 games in total)
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Our Real Madrid vs Leipzig Prediction
Prediction :
Real Madrid to win and Both Teams to Score - No
Real Madrid vs Leipzig - Other Interesting Predictions
Rodrygo (Real Madrid) to score at any time
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Real Madrid vs Leipzig match : Frequently asked questions
Italian official Davide Massa will be the man in the middle for the second leg of the Real Madrid vs Red Bull Leipzig Round of 16 Champions League tie.
This will be his fourth Champions League game officiated this season. In his three previous games he has awarded 11 yellow cards (3.67 per game on average) and 2 red cards.
He has not officiated a game involving either of these two teams so far this season.
Filippo Meli and Stefano Alassio will be his assistant referees, while Marco Di Bello will be the fourth official. Completing the all-Italian officiating crew is VAR official Massimiliano Irrati.
Viewers in the United Kingdom can tune in to TNT Sport for full coverage of all Champions League Round of 16 games, including the Real Madrid v Red Bull Leipzig tie which kicks off at 8pm on Wednesday 6th March.
If you do not have a subscription service with TNT, then you can tune in to the Champions League Livescore page for up-to-the-minute data on the game while it is in progress, complete with text commentary of the main events in the game.
The first leg of the Real Madrid v Red Bull Leipzig Champions League Round of 16 tie was played on Tuesday 13th February at the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig and resulted in a 1-0 win for visitors Real Madrid.
In what was a very even contest, which saw possession split 50/50 and Leipzig manage 9 shots on target from 14 attempts, while Real hit the target just 3 times from 15, it was Brahim Diaz's wonderful individual goal which handed the Spaniards the victory and a potentially decisive advantage for the second leg.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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