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Real Madrid vs Leganés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
29/03/2025 16:00
Leganés

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions

Real Madrid will host Leganes in their next La Liga outing, a match of equal importance to both sides. Real Madrid start the week second in the standings, while Leganes are 18th. Read on for our prediction.

Real Madrid trail Barcelona by three points and with the league heading to the final stages, they can’t afford any slips.

Kylian Mbappe’s brace before leaving for the international break ensured they came from down to beat Villarreal 2-1. While Mbappe and others have ensured Madrid rarely fail to score, at the back clean sheets have been scarce.

Los Blancos managed just two clean sheets in the last 10 matches.

Leganes will hope to take advantage of their hosts’ struggles defensively. They did so in their most recent meeting, a Copa del Rey match which ended 3-2.

Real Madrid had to score the winner in stoppage time after Leganes came from 2-0 down.

Leganes have limited Real Madrid to just two clean sheets in their last six meetings. Being in the relegation zone, they will hope to repeat their heroics from 2019 when they last defeated Real, though that was in the Copa del Rey.

Leganes let go a 2-0 lead to lose 3-2 to Real Betis before the international break. That was their third loss in four matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Leganés Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.18 7 15
Betfred
1.14 8 17
Ladbrokes
1.35 3.8 9.5
1xbet
1.22 7.1 14.8
22bet
1.22 7.1 14.8
Check all Real Madrid vs Leganés odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Leganés?

Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Leganés match is: over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/03/2025 between Real Madrid and Leganés in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.89% for a win of Real Madrid against Leganés with odds of 1.35 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Leganés is 23.04% with odds of 9.4 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 11.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Leganés vs Real Madrid with odds of 21 at Melbet.

Real Madrid - Leganés Prediction and Best Odds:

Real Madrid Leganés Prediction Probability Odds
Real Madrid wins 65.89% 1.35 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 63.68%
Both Team To Score 65.83% 2.2 at Betway
Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid 36.34% 1.62 at Bet365

Real Madrid vs Leganés Form

Real Madrid and Leganés's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
63 29 19 6 4 33
18
Leganés
Leganés
27 29 6 9 14 -18

Real Madrid and Leganés Last Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  2
Real Madrid

12 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Real Madrid

9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

4 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  1
Real Madrid

26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Real Madrid
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

4 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Girona

19 Feb 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Manchester City

8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Salzburg
W D W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  2
Real Madrid

12 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Real Madrid

1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  1
Real Madrid

26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Real Madrid

15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Real Madrid

11 Feb 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  3
Real Madrid
Leganés
Leganés Last matches
L D L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
2 :  3
Betis

8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
2 :  1
Leganés

2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  0
Getafe

23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  0
Leganés

15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
3 :  3
Alavés

9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  0
Leganés
W L L D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
2 :  3
Betis

2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  0
Getafe

15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
3 :  3
Alavés

5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

Leganés
2 :  3
Real Madrid

31 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid
D W D L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
2 :  1
Leganés

23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  0
Leganés

9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  0
Leganés

26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
Leganés

15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Almería
2 :  3
Leganés

11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  1
Leganés

Real Madrid vs Leganés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

50 %

Draw

33 %

Leganés

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

Leganés
2 :  3
Real Madrid

24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  3
Real Madrid

19 Jul 2020 - LaLiga

Leganés
2 :  2
Real Madrid

30 Oct 2019 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
5 :  0
Leganés

15 Apr 2019 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  1
Real Madrid

16 Jan 2019 - Copa del Rey

Leganés
1 :  0
Real Madrid
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Real Madrid against Leganés Lineups: Starting 11

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

13
A. Lunin
17
L. Vazquez
35
R. Asencio
22
A. Rudiger
20
F. Garcia
21
B. Diaz
6
E. Camavinga
10
L. Modric
5
J. Bellingham
15
A. Guler
9
K. Mbappe
19
D. Garcia
7
Oscar
10
D. Raba
11
J. Cruz
5
R. Tapia
17
Y. Neyou
20
J. Hernandez
22
M. Nastasic
6
S. Gonzalez
12
V. Rosier
13
M. Dmitrovic

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Leganés

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

T. Courtois

Defender

E. Militao

D. Carvajal

F. Mendy

Midfielder

D. Ceballos

Leganés
Leganés
Forward

E. Franquesa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Leganés
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (29 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain D. Raba (6 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Bellingham (9 Assists)
Best assists
Spain Oscar (4 Assists)
Spain D. Raba (4 Assists)

Real Madrid - Leganés Key Points

  1. Both teams scored in three of Leganes’ last five games.
  2. Four of Leganes’ last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
  3. Four of Real Madrid’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
  4. In seven of Real Madrid’s last 10 matches both teams scored.
  5. 17 goals were scored in the last four meetings between these teams.
Up to $200 to bet on Real Madrid - Leganés! 

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Our Real Madrid vs Leganés Prediction

Real Madrid will definitely come into this game as the favorites and they should be able to claim three points. They are pushing for the title and the champions will definitely attack here.

Leganes will not go down without a fight as they are also battling on the lower end of the league standings. With such considerations, and based on the teams’ recent runs, our prediction for Real Madrid v Leganes is for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score

 
Exclusive Offer
$200 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Leganés

Real Madrid vs Leganés Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Real Madrid wins 1.17 1.18 +0.9%
Draw 7.5 7 -6.7%
Leganés wins 14 15 +7.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Real Madrid is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 0.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 85.5% and is now 84.7% (-0.7%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Real Madrid vs. Leganés game!

bet365 welcome offer

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Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Real Madrid vs Leganés Prediction
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