Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid will host Leganes in their next La Liga outing, a match of equal importance to both sides. Real Madrid start the week second in the standings, while Leganes are 18th. Read on for our prediction.
Real Madrid trail Barcelona by three points and with the league heading to the final stages, they can’t afford any slips.
Kylian Mbappe’s brace before leaving for the international break ensured they came from down to beat Villarreal 2-1. While Mbappe and others have ensured Madrid rarely fail to score, at the back clean sheets have been scarce.
Los Blancos managed just two clean sheets in the last 10 matches.
Leganes will hope to take advantage of their hosts’ struggles defensively. They did so in their most recent meeting, a Copa del Rey match which ended 3-2.
Real Madrid had to score the winner in stoppage time after Leganes came from 2-0 down.
Leganes have limited Real Madrid to just two clean sheets in their last six meetings. Being in the relegation zone, they will hope to repeat their heroics from 2019 when they last defeated Real, though that was in the Copa del Rey.
Leganes let go a 2-0 lead to lose 3-2 to Real Betis before the international break. That was their third loss in four matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Leganés Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.18 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.14 | 8 | 17 |
|
|
1.35 | 3.8 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.22 | 7.1 | 14.8 |
|
|
1.22 | 7.1 | 14.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Leganés?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Leganés match is: over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/03/2025 between Real Madrid and Leganés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.89% for a win of Real Madrid against Leganés with odds of 1.35 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Leganés is 23.04% with odds of 9.4 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Leganés vs Real Madrid with odds of 21 at Melbet.
Real Madrid - Leganés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Leganés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 65.89% | 1.35 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.68% | |
| Both Team To Score | 65.83% | 2.2 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 36.34% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
Real Madrid vs Leganés Form
Real Madrid and Leganés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
72 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 35 |
|
19
|
30 | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -19 |
Real Madrid and Leganés Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
31 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Leganés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
19 Jul 2020 - LaLiga
30 Oct 2019 - LaLiga
15 Apr 2019 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2019 - Copa del Rey
Players list
A. Lunin
DefenderF. Valverde
R. Asencio
A. Rudiger
F. Garcia
MidfielderE. Camavinga
A. Tchouameni
J. Bellingham
ForwardB. Diaz
Rodrygo
K. Mbappe
M. Dmitrovic
DefenderV. Rosier
S. Gonzalez
M. Nastasic
MidfielderJ. Hernandez
S. Cisse
D. Brasanac
Oscar
ForwardY. Diomande
M. De la Fuente
M. El Haddadi
Substitutes
S. Mestre
F. Gonzalez
DefenderD. Aguado
D. Alaba
J. Vallejo
MidfielderA. Tchouameni
F. Valverde
V. Junior
Endrick
Rodrygo
J. Soriano
Alvin
DefenderJ. Saenz
A. Altimira
MidfielderJ. Chicco
D. Brasanac
S. Cisse
Y. Diomande
M. El Haddadi
M. De la Fuente
Duk
R. Lopez
Missing players
T. Courtois
DefenderE. Militao
D. Carvajal
F. Mendy
MidfielderD. Ceballos
E. Franquesa
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Leganés
K. Mbappe
(29 Goals)
D. Raba
(7 Goals)
J. Bellingham
(9 Assists)
Oscar
(4 Assists)
,
D. Raba
(4 Assists)
Real Madrid - Leganés Key Points
- Both teams scored in three of Leganes’ last five games.
- Four of Leganes’ last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Four of Real Madrid’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- In seven of Real Madrid’s last 10 matches both teams scored.
- 17 goals were scored in the last four meetings between these teams.
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Our Real Madrid vs Leganés Prediction
Real Madrid will definitely come into this game as the favorites and they should be able to claim three points. They are pushing for the title and the champions will definitely attack here.
Leganes will not go down without a fight as they are also battling on the lower end of the league standings. With such considerations, and based on the teams’ recent runs, our prediction for Real Madrid v Leganes is for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Leganés
| Real Madrid vs Leganés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.17 | 1.18 | +0.9% |
| Draw | 7.5 | 7 | -6.7% |
| Leganés wins | 14 | 15 | +7.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 85.5% and is now 84.7% (-0.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Real Madrid vs. Leganés game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Real Madrid and Leganés? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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