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Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Daniel Ngulu in Champions League Predictions
A repeat of last season’s UEFA Champions league final is on the cards as defending champions Real Madrid take on German side Borussia Dortmund. Los Blancos welcome BVB to Madrid for their Match Day 3 encounter on Tuesday at the Santiago Bernabeu. This will be the most eye-catching clash of the round and we have a preview and a prediction.
The match finds Dortmund leading the standings with Real Madrid in 17th spot. The hosts had a rare stumble in their last outing in this competition away in France. However, they banked two wins in matches that have come after that defeat and will be fired up for this one.
Real Madrid won 2-0 in the last contest between these two sides, in the 2023/24 final. It was their third straight win and fifth unbeaten against Dortmund. The Germans will hope to take this chance to avenge the painful loss in the final while they eye a first win over Real since 2014.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Borussia Dortmund Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 5.25 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.8 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.43 | 5.39 | 6.92 |
|
|
1.43 | 5.39 | 6.92 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.9 | 6 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.9 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.9 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.47 | 5.2 | 6 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.9 | 5.9 |
|
|
1.49 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.42 | 5.5 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.43 | 5.25 | 6 |
|
|
1.43 | 5.3 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.42 | 5.25 | 6.9 |
|
|
1.38 | 5.25 | 7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/10/2024 between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.91% for a win of Real Madrid against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 1.49 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund is 14.42% with odds of 5.5 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid with odds of 7.2 at Vbet.
Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Borussia Dortmund Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 60.91% | 1.49 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.4% | 1.67 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.17% | 1.6 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 24.88% | 2.15 at Ladbrokes |
Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
|
18
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
24 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
21 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
24 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
21 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
1 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
18 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
27 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
27 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Jun 2024 - Champions League
6 Dec 2017 - Champions League
26 Sep 2017 - Champions League
7 Dec 2016 - Champions League
27 Sep 2016 - Champions League
Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis
Real Madrid bounced back after their 1-0 loss to Lille in the last round of the Champions League with back-to-back wins. The most recent of those was on Saturday as they saw off Celta Vigo 2-1 away from home.
After their first loss in 15 Champions League matches, history backs Real Madrid going into this game. The Spanish giants haven't lost a home game in this competition since April 2022.
Three times in that run, they faced German opposition and won twice. With one loss in 39 matches, and a good run against Dortmund, there’s really little to fault Real’s placing as favorites here.
Real Madrid have dominated recent meetings with Borussia Dortmund.
Borussia Dortmund had a great run in the Champions League last season, until they were stopped by Real Madrid in the final. That 2-0 defeat was another stark reminder of the gulf in quality between these teams.
Now the Germans have a chance to dent Real Madrid’s ambitions while elevating their own. Two wins in two and a fine scoring form have Dortmund on top of the league phase standings. In the most recent, they thrashed Celtic 7-1.
Coming from a 2-1 win over St. Pauli in the Bundesliga is a good warmup for Dortmund. They have two losses in the last 14 Champions League matches, both inflicted by Spanish teams.
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Real Madrid against Borussia Dortmund Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Alaba
D. Carvajal
K. Adeyemi
J. Duranville
Real Madrid & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis
Real Madrid have been hit by injuries in recent weeks but Carlo Ancelotti has scraped through with the available men. Kylian Mbappe recovered from a muscular problem that saw him miss the international week.
The hosts are, however, forced to do without Brahim Diaz who is nursing a muscular injury too. David Alaba and Dani Carvajal remain long term absentees with knee injuries.
In Carvajal’s absence, Lucas Vazquez has been deployed as right-back and he is doing well so far.
Both Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund are set to miss key players.
At Dortmund, Karim Adeyemi, the hat trick hero against Celtic will miss this match. He suffered a hamstring injury in the game and is expected to be out until late November.
Also missing this game is Julien Duranville, who has a thigh injury, as well as Gio Reyna and Yan Couto. After being subbed during the St. Pauli win, Pascal Gross is listed as doubtful for this match.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
V. Junior
(12 Goals)
V. Junior
(4 Assists)
P. Gross
(4 Assists)
,
J. Brandt
(4 Assists)
Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- In all of Dortmund’s last five matches, both teams scored.
- In four of Real Madrid’s last five matches, both teams scored.
- Real Madrid have one clean sheet in their last seven matches.
- Dortmund kept only one clean sheet in the last seven matches.
- Only one of five meetings between these teams produced a clean sheet.
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Our Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Injuries have disrupted Real Madrid’s flow and they come into this game mostly affected in defence. This has been to blame for the few clean sheets Los Blancos have kept lately. There can’t be much fault placed on their attack though, as they failed to score just once in 13 matches this season.
As a result, we’ve seen both teams score in most of their matches. That run is consistent with a majority of the matches pitting these two sides. In their attacking strength, Dortmund will seek to take advantage of Madrid’s weaknesses but they have their own too. Our prediction for Real Madrid v Borussia Dortmund is for both teams to score.
Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund - Other Interesting Predictions
Real Madrid to lead at half time
Real Madrid haven't trailed at half time in their last five matches. In that period, they have actually led in three matches.
The Spaniards have also dominated this fixture, never trailing at the break in the last five meetings. In view of this, we will back Real Madrid to lead at half time as our second prediction.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Borussia Dortmund
| Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.48 | 1.4 | -5.4% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 5.25 | +10.5% |
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 5.75 | 6.5 | +13.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.6% and is now 71.4% (3.9%)
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Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund match : Frequently asked questions
The Real Madrid v Borussia Dortmund match will be played on Tuesday 22nd October.
The Real Madrid v Borussia Dortmund match will be played at the Santiago Bernabeu.
For fans in Spain, the Real Madrid v Borussia Dortmund match will be aired on Telefonica. DAZN and Amazon Prime will carry the game for fans in Germany. You may also get the match updates via the SportyTrader Champions League Livescores page.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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