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Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Sridhar | in Champions League Predictions
A week after playing a stunning 2-2 draw in the first leg, Real Madrid and Bayern Munich will hope to turn the tide in their favor, in the second leg of the Champions League semi-final. The Santiago Bernabeu Stadium in Madrid is getting all ready for this exciting match on Wednesday. The winner of this match will go on to meet either Borussia Dortmund or Paris Saint-Germaine in the final at the Wembley Stadium in London. Bayern are getting better in terms of player management, but they are still struggling with a number of injuries in the squad. The newly-crowned champions of Spain, Madrid, will look to make the most of this situation. Do Real Madrid and Bayern Munich have another high-scoring game for the neutrals?
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Bayern Munich Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.07 | 9 | 201 |
|
|
2.15 | 2.7 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.8 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.85 | 4.11 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.85 | 4.11 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.8 | 3.74 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.8 | 3.74 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.95 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.78 | 3.64 |
|
|
1.92 | 4 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.15 | 6.4 | 126 |
|
|
2 | 3.3 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.1 | 8 | 131 |
|
|
1.01 | 101 | 501 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.9 | 3.55 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/05/2024 between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.79% for a win of Real Madrid against Bayern Munich with odds of 2.15 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich is 34.06% with odds of 101 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid with odds of 501 at Betfair.
Real Madrid - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 45.79% | 2.15 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.44% | 6.2 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 77.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid | 17.88% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Form
Real Madrid and Bayern Munich Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2024 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2024 - Champions League
26 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
17 Apr 2024 - Champions League
13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2024 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2024 - Champions League
31 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
10 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
6 Mar 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2024 - Champions League
26 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
17 Apr 2024 - Champions League
13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Apr 2024 - Champions League
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Apr 2024 - Champions League
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2024 - Champions League
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Apr 2024 - Champions League
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2024 - Champions League
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Apr 2024 - Champions League
20 Jul 2019 - International Champions Cup
1 May 2018 - Champions League
25 Apr 2018 - Champions League
18 Apr 2017 - Champions League
12 Apr 2017 - Champions League
Real Madrid - Bayern Munich: Form Analysis
Madrid had a weekend to remember as their 3-0 win over Cadiz, coupled with a loss to Barcelona at Girona, meant that a 36th La Liga crown has been confirmed for Real. The hosts have thus extended their unbeaten run in all competitions to 20, where they have won 14 and drawn six. With the remaining four rounds of matches in La Liga set to be academic, Real can keep their focus entirely on winning this competition. That is not out of Real's reach, considering how successful they have been in the Champions League. They are also unbeaten this season in the Champions League, winning eight and drawing three. Yet, all those draws have come across their last four Champions League games, which makes things interesting.
Bayern fell to a 3-1 loss to Stuttgart over the weekend, following the defeat in the first leg of this tie. The defeat margin was inflated by a late goal, and Bayern are now struggling to hold on to their second spot in the Bundesliga. It was their third defeat across their last nine matches in all competitions. This run has also landed two draws, and Bayern will be praying that they can do better than a draw. Crucially for the traveling fans, Bayern have won only three of their last seven matches in the Champions League. In this sequence, the Bavarians have drawn three matches and lost just once. Compounding the worries is the fact that Bayern have lost 1-0 to Lazio and drawn 2-2 against Arsenal in their last two away matches in the Champions League.
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Real Madrid against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Alaba
T. Buchmann
S. Boey
R. Guerreiro
ForwardK. Coman
Real Madrid & Bayern Munich Squad Analysis
Thibaut Courtois returned from injury over the weekend and should start in goal for Madrid in this match. Dani Carvajal returns from European suspension, which means only David Alaba is absent. Manager Carlo Ancelotti made a number of changes over the weekend for the match against Cadiz, but should see his big names return for this match. Vinicius, Jude Bellingham, Toni Kroos, Rodrygo, and Federico Valverde should be back in the playing XI. Bayern are not so fortunate, as they continue to move from one crisis injury to another. The defensive duo of Eric Dier and Raphael Guerreiro limped out of the match against Stuttgart and are in major doubt for this match. The silver lining is the anticipated return of Matthijs de Ligt, with the defender set to be available for selection. The good news ends there, as Kingsley Coman, Sacha Boey, Bouna Sarr, and Tarek Buchmann are all out of this fixture with injuries.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
J. Bellingham
(23 Goals)
H. Kane
(44 Goals)
J. Bellingham
(11 Assists)
L. Sane
(13 Assists)
Real Madrid - Bayern Munich Key Points
- In seven of their last ten matches in all competitions, Madrid have seen at least three goals scored
- That was also the case in seven of their last ten matches in the Champions League
- Madrid have scored three goals at least in three of their last four home matches in this competition
- Bayern have produced over 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 15 matches in all competitions
- In three of their last four matches in the Champions League, Bayern have scored at least two goals
- Away from home, Bayern have scored two or more goals in three of their last five Champions League matches
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Our Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction
The first leg was absolutely entertaining, with both Madrid and Bayern showing why they are European powerhouses. Another exciting match awaits us in Madrid, and this one also promises to be full of goals. Going by what has been a regular outcome in matches featuring either side, this one should also see at least three goals. Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich - Other Interesting Predictions
Harry Kane to score anytime
Harry Kane came to Munich in search of trophies but finds his Bayern side on the verge of getting knocked out of Europe. His recent form is a big positive for them, though, as he looks to continue scoring goals. Kane has five goals from his last four matches, including one in the reverse fixture. Back the English forward to find the back of the net.
Madrid Win
This is perhaps the biggest home game for Madrid, considering it's all square from the first leg. They have been near-perfect against all sides at this venue, and even otherwise, the rendition of the Champions League song brings the best out of them. Back them to win here.
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich match : Frequently asked questions
The Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich UEFA Champions League match first leg will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1. For the subscribers, the match is also available to be streamed live on the Discovery+ app or website.
Check out our UEFA Champions League Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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