Spain - Super Cup
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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips - Super Cup
by Devesh Jaganath in Football Predictions
The Spanish Super Cup final brings us an El Clasico as Real Madrid prepares to face Barcelona at the King Abdullah Sports City in Jeddah on Sunday. Los Blancos are out to defend their title here after beating Blaugrana 4-1 in last year’s final. Let’s get into the match prediction.
This year's final of the Spanish Super Cup pits the two most successful teams in the competition against each other, as Real Madrid look to match their arch-rival's tally of 14 titles.
Los Blancos booked their spot in this contest with a 3-0 victory over Mallorca on Thursday, thanks to goals from Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo and a Martin Valjent own-goal.
That result took the defending champions’ recent record to five wins in a row across all competitions and they are unbeaten in eight dating back to the start of December.
Meanwhile, Barcelona last lifted this trophy in 2023, beating Los Merengues, but they have only won the competition once since it was revamped to the current four-team format back in 2020.
Blaugrana faced a stern test in Athletic Bilbao in the semi-final and got through with a two-goal victory, owing to Gavi and Lamine Yamal’s strikes in each half.
While Barca have not been in their best form lately, splitting their last four games two wins and two defeats, they have a psychological advantage, having thumped their El Clasico nemesis 4-0 back in October in La Liga.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Barcelona Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 3.75 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.75 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.51 | 3.86 | 2.79 |
|
|
2.51 | 3.86 | 2.79 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.7 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.76 | 2.68 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.76 | 2.68 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.85 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.76 | 2.68 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.85 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.77 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.6 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.8 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.75 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.75 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.6 | 2.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Barcelona?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Barcelona match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/01/2025 between Real Madrid and Barcelona in Super Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.43% for a win of Real Madrid against Barcelona with odds of 2.51 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Barcelona is 16.58% with odds of 3.86 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Real Madrid with odds of 2.79 at 1xbet.
Real Madrid vs Barcelona Form
Real Madrid and Barcelona Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
6 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
3 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2024 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup
14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2024 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
3 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
28 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
29 Jul 2023 - Clubs Friendlies
Real Madrid vs Barcelona last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Carvajal
E. Militao
M. ter Stegen
DefenderA. Christensen
MidfielderM. Bernal
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Rodrygo
(1 Goals)
, 
J. Bellingham
(1 Goals)
Gavi
(1 Goals)
,
L. Yamal
(1 Goals)
A. Balde
(1 Assists)
Real Madrid - Barcelona Key Points
- Each of Real Madrid’s last nine matches across all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Real Madrid have scored two or more goals in nine of their last 10 matches.
- Nine of Barcelona’s last 10 matches across all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Barcelona have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 matches.
- Three or more goals were scored in each of the last six matches between these sides.
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Our Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction
It’s a chance for the first piece of silverware of the season for these two Spanish giants, and Real Madrid enter the contest riding a six-match win streak which sees them installed as favourites.
However, the favourites tag often carries little weight in the El Clasico as we saw in October when Barca smashed in four unanswered goals at the Bernabeu despite being the underdogs. This matchup usually delivers plenty of goals and we feel that will be the case on Sunday. Our Real Madrid vs Barcelona prediction is over 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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