Spain - LaLiga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Joseph King in LaLiga Predictions
The first Clasico of the season is set for Saturday evening as defending champions Real Madrid host league-leading Barcelona. We’ve got a few predictions lined up for this must-see match between Los Blancos and Blaugrana.
Real Madrid are unbeaten in La Liga yet come into this game trailing their bitter rivals by three points with 10 matches already in the books. Barcelona have been near perfect so far, winning nine of their 10 league fixtures and 11 of their 13 matches across all competitions. Both teams will come into this clash high on confidence after each pulling off big wins in their midweek Champions League matches.
Despite it still being early on in the campaign, this fixture definitely carries with it title implications. Last season saw Madrid do the double over their rivals in addition to a 4-1 win in the Spanish Super Cup. Who will come out victorious in the nation’s capital on Saturday? Let’s get into the match statistics.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Barcelona Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 4.1 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.7 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.03 | 4.3 | 3.29 |
|
|
2.03 | 4.3 | 3.29 |
|
|
1.95 | 4.2 | 3.45 |
|
|
1.98 | 4.04 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.98 | 4.04 | 3.3 |
|
|
2 | 4 | 3.45 |
|
|
1.96 | 4 | 3.42 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.85 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.04 | 4.1 | 3.45 |
|
|
2 | 3.8 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.89 | 4.2 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.95 | 4 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.95 | 4.2 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.95 | 4 | 3.4 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Barcelona?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Barcelona match is: Both teams to score + over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2024 between Real Madrid and Barcelona in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.02% for a win of Real Madrid against Barcelona with odds of 2.25 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Barcelona is 6.62% with odds of 4.3 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Real Madrid with odds of 3.6 at Unibet.
Real Madrid - Barcelona Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Barcelona Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 57.02% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82.09% | 1.65 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 74.58% | 1.44 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Barcelona / Full-time: Real Madrid | 21.81% | 21 at Betsson |
Real Madrid vs Barcelona Form
Real Madrid and Barcelona's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
33 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 28 |
|
2
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
Real Madrid and Barcelona Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
24 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
24 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
21 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
1 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
18 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
25 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
25 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
28 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
27 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
28 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
29 Jul 2023 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Apr 2023 - Copa del Rey
Real Madrid - Barcelona: Form Analysis
Real Madrid will enter this match on a high after their big comeback victory over Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League on Tuesday. After trailing 2-0 at halftime, the defending European champions would respond with a flurry of goals in the final 30 minutes to secure a 5-2 home win.
The result makes it three consecutive wins for Los Merengues as they now look to extend their unbeaten start to the La Liga campaign. Through 10 matches, Real Madrid have won seven with the other three ending in draws.
Real Madrid have been perfect at home this season, winning all seven of their matches.
Five home wins have come in La Liga with the other two coming in the Champions League. During that stretch, Madrid have scored 22 goals while conceding six.
Barcelona, for their part, have been equally as impressive in the 2024/25 season. They pulled off a fantastic 4-1 home Champions League win over Bayern Munich on Wednesday in a result that is sure to inspire belief within this squad.
The Catalans have been in scorching form as they’ve won their last four in a row, netting an incredible 17 goals during that time. Barcelona are comfortably the highest-scoring team in the league with 33 goals in their 10 games.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Real Madrid against Barcelona Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
T. Courtois
DefenderD. Alaba
D. Carvajal
M. Ter Stegen
DefenderR. Araujo
A. Christensen
E. Garcia
MidfielderM. Bernal
ForwardF. Torres
Real Madrid & Barcelona Squad Analysis
The hosts will have to make due without a few of their most important players. Winger Rodrygo will miss out for the next few weeks with a hamstring injury suffered in the win over Dortmund. Goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois also suffered a thigh injury in that midweek match, keeping him out for this game.
Dani Carvajal is a long-term absence after suffering an ACL tear earlier this month, as is David Alaba.
Madrid’s Vinicius Jr and Barcelona’s Raphinha both netted midweek hat tricks!
The matchup between the two Brazilians is just one of the many mouth-watering battles that fans will be looking forward to. Robert Lewandowski and Kylian Mbappe are also sure to share much of the spotlight with the former already having scored 15 goals this season.
Barcelona manager Hansi Flick has his own injury concerns to deal with. The visitors will be missing no fewer than five players including: Marc-André ter Stegen, Andreas Christensen, Ronald Araújo, Marc Bernal and Ferran Torres.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Barcelona
V. Junior
(12 Goals)
R. Lewandowski
(19 Goals)
V. Junior
(4 Assists)
L. Yamal
(8 Assists)
,
Raphinha
(8 Assists)
Real Madrid - Barcelona Key Points
- Barcelona have scored 18 goals in their six away league fixtures so far.
- Real Madrid have netted 31 goals in their 14 competitive matches this season (2.21 average).
- Both teams to score (BTTS) + over 2.5 goals has come through in Madrid’s last two straight games.
- Barcelona have seen BTTS + over 2.5 goals in nine of their 13 competitive fixtures this season.
- The last three consecutive matches between these two sides have seen BTTS + over 2.5 goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction
The two top-scoring teams in La Liga face off in what promises to be an action-packed Clasico. Madrid put five past Dortmund on Tuesday while Barcelona netted four against Bayern on Wednesday, so both teams are certainly in good attacking form.
Backing goals looks to be the way to go here, especially as both teams are missing their first-choice goalkeepers. This one should finish at least 2-1 to either side given the abundance of attacking talent on the pitch. Our Real Madrid vs Barcelona prediction: both teams to score + over 2.5 goals.
Real Madrid vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Predictions
Vinicius Jr. to score anytime
The Brazilian sensation has scored four goals in his last two appearances against Barcelona, one in La Liga and three in the Spanish Super Cup. With Vinicius Jr. coming off a hat trick against Dortmund on Tuesday, the 24-year-old is in blistering form ahead of the season’s first Clasico.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Barcelona
| Real Madrid vs Barcelona | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.8 | 2 | +11.1% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4.1 | +7.9% |
| Barcelona wins | 3.6 | 3.25 | -9.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 50.0% (-5.6%)
Use £30 free bets for the Real Madrid vs. Barcelona game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Real Madrid and Barcelona? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of £30 free bet credits if you bet £10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Real Madrid vs Barcelona match : Frequently asked questions
The match between Real Madrid and Barcelona will be played at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid. The stadium has a maximum occupancy of 85,000 people.
The first Clasico of the 2024/25 campaign will be refereed by Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez. The 41-year-old official has been in charge of nine matches so far this season, handing out 52 yellow cards, two straight red cards and awarding seven penalties.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
