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Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
The 238th Madrid derby is here! Real Madrid will be welcoming their crosstown rivals Atletico Madrid to the Santiago Bernabeu this Saturday for a matchday 23 La Liga game. Predictions point towards a match laden with goals. As always, these two sides have a lot to play for.
This time, they are separated by a point in the title chase, with Real Madrid holding the advantage. Los Blancos are the dominant side in this derby with 116 wins over their rivals and they will be looking to add to it.
Atletico Madrid are, however, not known for making things easy for their biggest rivals. They have claimed 59 wins themselves, with 62 of their previous meetings ending in draws. Atletico have actually come out unscathed in the last three matches against Real Madrid and will seek to keep that run going. This match rarely goes in favor of the away team and this is the run Atletico are looking to break.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.75 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.5 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.91 | 4.27 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.91 | 4.27 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.76 | 4.16 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.76 | 4.16 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.7 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.76 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.7 | 4 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.69 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.55 | 4 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.7 | 4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/02/2025 between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.81% for a win of Real Madrid against Atletico Madrid with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid is 10.81% with odds of 3.91 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid with odds of 4.3 at Vbet.
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Form
Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
49 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 29 |
|
2
|
48 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 23 |
Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
12 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
9 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
6 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
3 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
10 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
24 Sep 2023 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
Real Madrid - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis
Real Madrid stumbled in their last La Liga game and failed to open a four-point gap in the shock 1-0 loss to Espanyol. Real felt the man who scored the lone goal, Carlos Romero should have been sent off for a foul on Kylian Mbappe.
The fact that he would score late added salt to their injuries.
However, Real Madrid rose from the loss with a shaky 3-2 win over Leganes in the Copa del Rey. As they turn their guns towards Atletico, Real will be going for a fifth straight La Liga home win.
For the third time in four home league matches, they scored four goals in their 4-1 win over Las Palmas.
Real Madrid’ last home La Liga loss to Atletico Madrid was in 2016.
Atletico Madrid have shown the truest of their intentions in going for the league title. A win here will not only send them top of the standings but will be a major mental boost.
With Barcelona waiting in the wings, the La Liga title race is just about to get exciting. Diego Simeone’s side is unbeaten in the last five matches, winning four.
The most recent of them was a comfortable 5-0 beating of Getafe in the Copa Del Rey. That also signaled their second straight clean sheet. Atletico Madrid pride in being the best defensive side so far in the league but that will get a stern test at the Bernabeu, a venue they rarely win at.
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Missing players
D. Carvajal
E. Militao
MidfielderE. Camavinga
Real Madrid & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis
Real Madrid have been grappling with injuries to key players. Kylian Mbappe took a heavy hit in the loss to Espanyol and was left out of the Leganes game altogether. He wasn’t the only one overlooked for the game, as Jude Bellingham, Lucas Vazquez and Eduardo Camavinga also didn’t feature.
However, all these are set to be unleashed on Atletico after getting some rest. Carlo Ancelotti is not so lucky in defence though, as a number of his key men are set to miss. Antonio Rudiger is reported to have a thigh issue and will sit this out.
The German’s absence worsens the dire defensive situation as Real are also missing Eder Militao and Dani Carvajal.
With injuries piling up, Aurelien Tchouameni will be deployed in Real’s defence.
While Real Madrid are dealing with a myriad of injury cases, Atletico are largely fit and good to go. Pablo Barrios is back in training but this match might come too soon for him.
The only other absentee in this fixture will be defender Robin Le Normand, who is suspended.
Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez and Alexander Sorloth, the Atletico forwards will be happy at Real Madrid’s defensive woes. The trio has scored eight, six and eight league goals respectively.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
K. Mbappe
(18 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(14 Goals)
J. Bellingham
(9 Assists)
A. Griezmann
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Llorente
(6 Assists)
Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid Stats in LaLiga
Real Madrid - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Only once in the last 18 matches did Real Madrid fail to score.
- Atletico Madrid scored in all but one of their last 21 matches.
- In three of Atletico’s last five away matches, both teams scored.
- In Real Madrid’s last three home matches, both teams scored.
- There were no clean sheets in the last eight meetings between these teams.
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Our Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
An end-to-end affair is expected as Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid renew their rivalry. With just a point separating the two teams, the desire to claim the bragging rights here will be heightened. Both sides come here on good scoring runs, which we expect to extend into this game.
None of the previous eight meetings between the teams saw one keep a clean sheet. That describes just the levels in this rivalry and presents an exciting pick in the goals market. Our prediction for Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid is for both teams to score.
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals.
In our second prediction, we will still stick to the goals market. These two sides have been scoring a lot of goals in recent matches. Apart from both teams just scoring, we expect the same to go a notch higher and we could see at least three goals here. Each of the teams scored 14 times in their last five matches. Our second prediction is over 2.5 goals.
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Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
The Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid match will be played on Saturday 8th February.
The Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid match will be played at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium in Madrid.
Cesar Soto has been confirmed the referee for the Madrid derby. He will be assisted by Carlos Alvarez and Ruben Becerril. The fourth official will be Aimar Velasco.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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