Spain - Super Cup
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Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Super Cup
by Joseph King in Football Predictions
The first of the two semi-final clashes in the Spanish Super Cup sees a Madrid derby as Atletico and Real Madrid do battle in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The winner of this match advances to the final where they will take on either defending champions Barcelona or Osasuna. Real Madrid, with 12 Super Cup titles to their name, are chasing their eternal rivals Barcelona who lead the history books with 14 titles. Atletico, on the other hand, are seeking their third triumph in this competition and first since 2014.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.4 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.58 | 3.83 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.58 | 3.83 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.5 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.65 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.56 | 3.53 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.5 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.6 | 3.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/01/2024 between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid in Super Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.37% for a win of Real Madrid against Atletico Madrid with odds of 2.2 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid is 8.97% with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid with odds of 3.83 at 1xbet.
Real Madrid - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 68.37% | 2.2 at William Hill |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.88% | 1.91 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 60% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 30.28% | 14 at Unibet |
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Form
Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
3 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
12 Dec 2023 - Champions League
9 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2023 - Champions League
11 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2023 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
12 Dec 2023 - Champions League
9 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
28 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
3 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
23 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
13 Dec 2023 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
13 Dec 2023 - Champions League
10 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
25 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
12 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
3 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
28 Nov 2023 - Champions League
3 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Sep 2023 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2023 - Copa del Rey
18 Sep 2022 - LaLiga
8 May 2022 - LaLiga
12 Dec 2021 - LaLiga
Real Madrid - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis
Real Madrid enter this Super Cup semi-final in rip-roaring form and look like the team to beat in the division. To go along with their perfect 100% winning record in the Champions League group stage, Ancelotti’s side are 15-3-1 in the Spanish top flight and tied on points atop the table with Girona. They’re riding a 19 match unbeaten run across all competitions with 16 wins and three draws. A 3-1 away win over lower-division Arandina in the Copa del Rey on the weekend means that Los Merengues have now won their last five on the spin as well. Real Madrid have now scored 27 goals and have conceded just eight over their last 10 fixtures.
Atletico haven’t quite hit the highs that their city rivals have as we reach the halfway mark in the campaign. Los Colchoneros are battling for a spot in the top four in La Liga, sitting fifth and even on points with fourth-place Athletic Club. Their Copa del Rey victory on the weekend marked only their second in the last five matches as they have lost twice and drawn the other. Atletico, so often renowned for their defensive tenacity under Diego Simeone, have been a much more forward-thinking side this season. However, this has led to an increase in their defensive vulnerability which has been on full display in recent outings. Atletico have now conceded 10 goals in their last five matches.
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Real Madrid against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
T. Courtois
DefenderE. Militao
D. Alaba
T. Lemar
P. Barrios
Real Madrid & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis
Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti was able to rest almost his entire first-choice 11 in the cup win on the weekend. This should make the trip to the Middle East on short rest a bit easier to manage. The Italian manager has only a few injury concerns to deal with ahead of this game. He’ll be without defenders Eder Militao and David Alaba who are both long term absences with serious knee injuries. They’ll also be without their first-choice shotstopper in Thibaut Courtois who had ACL surgery earlier in the season, as well as Lucas Vazquez with a hamstring problem. The good news is that Madrid will likely be able to call upon Toni Kroos, Ferland Mendy and Eduardo Camavinga.
Atleti manager Diego Simeone, meanwhile, opted to field a good percentage of his first team in their Copa del Rey victory over Lugo on Saturday. Atletico will be unable to call upon the services of five players ahead of this trip with Thomas Lemar, Pablo Barrios and Vitolo all recovering from knee injuries. They’ll also be without fullback Reinildo who is representing Mozambique at the 2024 AFCON.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
V. Junior
(3 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(1 Goals)
, 
M. Hermoso
(1 Goals)
J. Bellingham
(2 Assists)
A. Griezmann
(1 Assists)
, 
R. De Paul
(1 Assists)
Real Madrid - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Real Madrid should have a more rested squad as much fewer of their first-choice starting 11 was involved in the Copa del Rey match four days prior.
- Los Blancos are looking unstoppable at the moment with a 16-3-0 record over their last 19 competitive fixtures and having only one defeat on the season.
- Atletico Madrid have only two wins from their last five games, one of which came against a lower-division side.
- Atleti have managed just a single clean sheet over their last five, conceded 10 goals during that stretch.
- Real Madrid have amassed a giant +38 goal differential across the league and Champions League with 56 goals scored and 18 conceded in 25 games.
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Our Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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