Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid will hope to bounce back from the midweek Champions League elimination but face a tricky home game against a resolute Athletic Bilbao side in a Matchday 32 fixture on Sunday. This match at the Santiago Bernabeu between the second-placed Los Blancos and the fourth-placed Lehoiak looks likely to be low on excitement, and our prediction is for under 2.5 goals.
Ahead of this round, Madrid’s 66 points keep them four behind leaders Barcelona but only three ahead of Atletico. Athletic has 57 points, being six points behind the top three and six ahead of fifth-placed Villarreal.
The hosts were beaten 2-1 at this venue by Arsenal on Wednesday in the Champions League to crash out 5-1 on aggregate.
It was their third defeat in the last four competitive matches, but four wins in their last five La Liga games give them a good reason to be confident of bouncing back.
Athletic have a great chance to finish in the top five and thereby qualify for next season’s Champions League. Confidence is also high after a 2-0 home win over Rangers on Thursday gave them a 2-0 aggregate win to qualify for the Europa League semis.
They will be cautious of their chances here, though, as Athletic have won only one of their recent eight competitive trips.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Athletic Bilbao Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.9 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.03 | 5.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/04/2025 between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.78% for a win of Real Madrid against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 1.72 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao is 28.49% with odds of 4.1 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid with odds of 5.4 at 1xbet.
Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
66 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 33 |
|
4
|
57 | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
31 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
12 Aug 2023 - LaLiga
4 Jun 2023 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2023 - LaLiga
3 Feb 2022 - Copa del Rey
Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Lunin
DefenderE. Militao
D. Carvajal
F. Mendy
Y. Berchiche
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
K. Mbappe
(29 Goals)
O. Sancet
(17 Goals)
J. Bellingham
(9 Assists)
I. Williams
(10 Assists)
,
A. Berenguer
(10 Assists)
Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao Stats in LaLiga
Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Athletic’s league matches average 2.39 goals per match and only four La Liga sides have a fewer average.
- Over the last eight matches, Athletic average 2.25 goals per fixture and only two sides averaged fewer.
- Five of Athletic’s last six competitive games finished with under 2.5 goals.
- In their last four away league matches, Athletic have seen two or fewer goals.
- Six of the last seven competitive matches between Madrid and Athletic produced fewer than three goals.
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Our Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
It has been a disappointing week for Real Madrid, crashing out of the Champions League after a home loss to Arsenal. Their recent competitive form has declined, while the upcoming Copa del Rey final against Barcelona could be a distraction. Comparatively, Athletic have had a positive week where they qualified for the Europa League semis. They still have the best defensive record of this season, which means goals could be scarce here. Our Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao prediction is under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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