Real Madrid vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Uefa Super Cup
by Ian John | in Football Predictions
Top-class European football is back with a bang! Real Madrid take on Atalanta in the 2024 UEFA Super Cup Final in Poland on Wednesday night. Can the Europa League-winning La Dea spring an upset in the match, or will our prediction favor the current Champion's League holder Los Blancos?
Carlo Ancelotti's Real Madrid team will seek to win a record sixth Super Cup to start their season. Since 2014, they have won the trophy four times (2014, 2016, 2017 and 2022). A sixth victory would see them move one clear of Barcelona and AC Milan. They qualified for this game by virtue of their 15th Champions League victory, which came via a 2-0 win over Borussia Dortmund at Wembley.
In contrast, Gian Piero Gasperini's team will contest its first Super Cup Final after winning the Europa League last season. They won't be fazed starting the game as underdogs, as they proved adept in that role throughout their Europa League campaign last season. They lifted the trophy by becoming the first team to beat Bayer Leverkusen last season in any competition, doing so by a 3-0 scoreline in the final in Dublin.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Atalanta Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 29 | 151 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.33 | 5.25 |
|
|
3.18 | 1.63 | 5.39 |
|
|
3.18 | 1.63 | 5.39 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.6 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.01 | 36 | 100 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.44 | 5.9 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.8 | 6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Atalanta?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Atalanta match is: Real Madrid to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/08/2024 between Real Madrid and Atalanta in Uefa Super Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.02% for a win of Real Madrid against Atalanta with odds of 3.18 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Atalanta is 24.17% with odds of 36 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Real Madrid with odds of 151 at Bet365.
Real Madrid - Atalanta Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Atalanta Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 56.02% | 3.18 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.22% | 8.5 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid | 27.58% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Real Madrid vs Atalanta Form
Real Madrid and Atalanta Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Jun 2024 - Champions League
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Jun 2024 - Serie A
26 May 2024 - Serie A
22 May 2024 - Europa League
Real Madrid against Atalanta : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Mar 2021 - Champions League
24 Feb 2021 - Champions League
Real Madrid - Atalanta: Form Analysis
Both teams have had unimpressive form in their run of friendly games in the lead-up to the UEFA Super Cup Final.
Real began their pre-season on tour in the United States, losing their first game 1-0 to Milan in Chicago. They then faced rivals Barcelona in New York, losing 2-1 at the MetLife Stadium.
Los Blancos then finished their US tour with a 2-1 win against Chelsea.
However, Real fielded under-strength teams in those games, with several stars still recovering from their Euro 2024 exploits. As such, it will likely be a much-changed and stronger Real team that starts the game against Atalanta on Wednesday.
Atalanta have struggled since their surprise Europa League Final success against Bayer Leverkusen. They finished the Serie A season with a 3-0 win over Torino, followed by a 3-2 home defeat to rivals Fiorentina to finish fourth in the table.
Gasperini's team have struggled in pre-season as well, failing to win any of their three matches before the Super Cup Final. A 2-2 draw against AZ Alkmaar was followed by a 4-1 defeat at Parma and then another sobering loss, a 3-0 defeat at FC St. Pauli.
This Super Cup Final will not only be a chance for both teams to win another trophy but also to rediscover better form. This will be key for both finalists ahead of the start of their domestic seasons this coming weekend.
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Real Madrid against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Missing players
Nacho
S. Kolasinac
MidfielderEderson
Real Madrid & Atalanta Squad Analysis
Both teams could give competitive debuts to several players in the UEFA Super Cup Final.
Real Madrid fans will be delighted to see Kylian Mbappe in a Madrid shirt.
The Frenchman made his long-awaited move to Madrid after leaving Paris St. Germain after his contract expired. Mbappe is undoubtedly the marquee signing of the summer and is expected to become a crucial part of what is a stacked Real Madrid attack.
However, the Frenchman may find it tough to dislodge England star Jude Bellingham and Brazilian duo Rodrygo and Vinicius Junior from the first team.
Similarly, youngsters Endrick and Arda Guler caught the eye on Real's tour of the United States and are pushing their claims for a place in the starting eleven.
Atalanta manager Gian Pieri Gasperini could hand full debut to three players signed by the club in the summer.
€22m signing, striker Mateo Retegui, could start the game.
The ex-Genoa forward could come into the team in place of the injured Gianluca Scamacca. Other recent signings, ex-Everton defender Ben Godfrey and former Cagliari midfielder Ibrahim Sulemana, are more likely to start the game on the bench.
Additionally, young Belgian midfielder Charles De Ketelaere could make his first appearance since signing permanently from Milan in the summer. He spent last season on loan with the Bergamo outfit and played a key role in their Europa League success.
Real Madrid - Atalanta Key Points
- Real Madrid have won both previous matches between the two teams.
- Atalanta are without a win in any of their last four games.
- Eight of Real Madrid last 11 fixtures have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- All of Atalanta’s six most recent fixtures have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Real Madrid vs Atalanta Prediction
Our Real Madrid v Atalanta UEFA Super Cup Final prediction is: Real Madrid to win and over 2.5 goals.
The Spanish and European Champions hold all the aces for this Super Cup Final. They are in better form, have a 100% winning record against their opponents and have arguably the most talented attacking squad in world football.
Atalanta's form is poor, and defensively, they are conceding far too many goals. It is reasonable to expect a super-talented Real team not just to win the game but also score plenty of goals.
Real Madrid vs Atalanta - Other Interesting Predictions
Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) to score at any time.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Atalanta
| Real Madrid vs Atalanta | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.53 | 1.01 | -34.0% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 29 | +590.5% |
| Atalanta wins | 5 | 151 | +2,920.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 34.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 99.0% (33.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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