Europe - Champions League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Champions League Predictions
Real Madrid have a massive job on their hands if they want to reach the Champions League semi-finals. They travelled to Arsenal last week and lost that match 3-0. Can the Whites get a home win on Wednesday? Read our match prediction.
The Gunners were held to a draw by Brentford at the weekend and their Premier League title challenge is almost over. They have a great chance of making it to the last four of this competition and have been scoring plenty of goals on the road in this competition. The winners of this match will face either PSG or Aston Villa in the last four. PSG lead that tie 3-1 with the away leg to play.
It was going well for Real at the Emirates last week. The score was still 0-0 going into the 58th minute but then the Gunners scored three goals in 17 minutes to transform this Champions League quarter-final. Real won away at the weekend but are they in the form to beat Arsenal by a three-goal margin?
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 4.1 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.73 | 4 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.1 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.75 | 4.25 | 4.66 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Arsenal match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/04/2025 between Real Madrid and Arsenal in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.73% for a win of Real Madrid against Arsenal with odds of 1.78 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Arsenal is 31.15% with odds of 4.5 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Real Madrid with odds of 4.66 at 1xbet.
Real Madrid vs Arsenal Form
Real Madrid and Arsenal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
1 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
1 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
Real Madrid vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
23 Jul 2019 - International Champions Cup
Real Madrid - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Both of these clubs are second in their domestic league. Real Madrid have the better chance of catching the leaders as they are only four points behind Barcelona, who they could yet meet in the Champions League final.
The weekend saw the Vikings win 1-0 at Alaves and they would have been delighted with the clean sheet. Their last three matches had seen them concede nine goals. They have gone two home matches without a victory.
Real Madrid are struggling to keep home clean sheets.
In the Champions League, Real Madrid have won their last three games with ten goals scored. However, the last ten home games they have played in this competition have seen both teams score.
Arsenal are 13 points behind Liverpool so better luck next season. They could only draw 1-1 with Brentford at the weekend. The Gunners are now unbeaten in their last nine games since a home loss to West Ham.
In the Champions League, Arsenal have gone seven games unbeaten and won the last three on the road with 14 goals scored. Each of those matches saw both teams score.
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Real Madrid vs Arsenal last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
A. Lunin
DefenderE. Militao
D. Carvajal
F. Mendy
D. Alaba
MidfielderD. Ceballos
T. Tomiyasu
R. Calafiori
G. Magalhaes
MidfielderD. Rice
ForwardG. Jesus
K. Havertz
B. Saka
Real Madrid & Arsenal Squad Analysis
The good news for Real Madrid is that Kylian Mbappe is available to play despite his sending off at Alaves at the weekend. His suspension will only be a domestic one and Real will hope Mbappe can score the goals that get them back into this quarter-final.
Camavinga will miss this match for Real Madrid.
However, the first leg of this tie saw Camavinga sent off and he will miss this match. That's a blow for Real as he scored the winner against Alaves. Also missing will be Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao with Mendy and Lunin doubtful.
It's going to be a tough night for Real who dare not concede an early goal. They will need to have a degree of patience and not panic if an early goal isn't scored to reduce the three-goal deficit. Vinicius Jr and Mbappe have both scored six Champions League goals this season. More are needed on Wednesday.
Arsenal know a Real Madrid onslaught is on its way but did keep a clean sheet last week. The weekend didn't produce a win but there were some fresh injuries with both Thomas Partey and Jorginho needing tests before this match with Ben White also doubtful.
The Gunners have conceded in 14 of their last 15 away Champions League games. They have managed to score 14 goals in their last three away Champions League matches after failing to score in the last four.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Arsenal
K. Mbappe
(29 Goals)
K. Havertz
(15 Goals)
J. Bellingham
(9 Assists)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
Real Madrid and Arsenal Stats in Champions League
Real Madrid - Arsenal Key Points
- Both teams have scored in each of Arsenal's last three Champions League away games.
- The last ten Real Madrid home Champions League fixtures have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in seven of the last ten Real Madrid matches.
- Only one of Real Madrid's last 11 home games haven't seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
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Our Real Madrid vs Arsenal Prediction
Real Madrid have a proud home record but it will be one of their best achievements if they can reach the semi-finals. A disastrous second-half saw them concede three goals at the Emirates and put them in danger of being knocked out of the competition.
Arsenal have one foot in the semi-finals but need to survive the constant pressure Real will try to put them under. The home side struggle to keep clean sheets and for that reason our main Real Madrid v Arsenal prediction is both teams to score.
Real Madrid vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Second half to have most goals scored
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Real Madrid vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
This is the home second leg in this tie for Real Madrid. Therefore, the match will be played at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium in Madrid.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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