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Real Madrid vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Kennedy Kechula in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid, who are looking to close in on Barcelona in the La Liga title race, will be eying three points against Alaves. Hosting this game, Los Blancos will be looking to extend their dominance against El Glorioso. Read on for our preview and prediction of this match.
Real Madrid’s slow start that earned them draws at Mallorca and at home to Las Palmas sees them play catchup at this point. They are four points behind league leaders Barcelona and will not want to drop more points.
Carlo Ancelotti’s side is coming from four straight wins and their scoring form has also improved tremendously. The home team scored seven goals in the last two matches though they also conceded twice in the process.
Having beaten Alaves in each of the last five meetings, Real Madrid will feel confident going into this encounter.
Alaves last claimed a win in this fixture in 2020, when they shocked Real Madrid 2-1 away from home. After that surprise win, they went on to concede 17 times in matches against Real Madrid.
The most recent of them ended in a 5-0 defeat at this same venue. They will hope for a better return this time. Alaves warmed up for this game with a 2-1 win at Sevilla courtesy of goals from Carlos Vicente and Carlos Martin.
Dodi Lukebakio’s late goal for Sevilla was just a consolation. For Alaves, that was an improvement from their earlier loss to Espanyol but they know it will be tougher here.
Two of their last three away matches already ended in defeats and they lost their last two matches here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Alavés Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.17 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
|
3.34 | 3.44 | 1.92 |
|
|
3.34 | 3.44 | 1.92 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.25 | 16 |
|
|
1.16 | 7.7 | 15 |
|
|
1.16 | 7.7 | 15 |
|
|
1.21 | 7.2 | 14 |
|
|
1.15 | 8.1 | 16 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.4 | 15 |
|
|
1.17 | 8.3 | 21 |
|
|
1.15 | 8 | 15 |
|
|
1.16 | 8 | 17 |
|
|
1.14 | 8 | 17 |
|
|
1.16 | 8 | 19 |
|
|
1.17 | 7 | 17 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Alavés match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/09/2024 between Real Madrid and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.23% for a win of Real Madrid against Alavés with odds of 3.34 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Alavés is 17.39% with odds of 8.3 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.39% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Real Madrid with odds of 21 at Vbet.
Real Madrid - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Alavés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 68.23% | 3.34 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.17% | 1.57 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid | 44.81% | 4.2 at Unibet |
Real Madrid vs Alavés Form
Real Madrid and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
|
15
|
13 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -8 |
Real Madrid and Alavés Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
1 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
1 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
14 Aug 2024 - Uefa Super Cup
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
18 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
1 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
1 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Real Madrid vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 May 2024 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2022 - LaLiga
14 Aug 2021 - LaLiga
23 Jan 2021 - LaLiga
28 Nov 2020 - LaLiga
Real Madrid against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Missing players
D. Alaba
D. Carvajal
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Alavés
V. Junior
(12 Goals)
K. Garcia
(3 Goals)
,
T. Martinez
(3 Goals)
V. Junior
(4 Assists)
A. Blanco
(1 Assists)
,
C. Vicente
(1 Assists)
,
Stoichkov
(1 Assists)
,
J. Jordan
(1 Assists)
, 
F. Tenaglia
(1 Assists)
, 
C. Benavidez
(1 Assists)
,
A. Guevara
(1 Assists)
Real Madrid - Alavés Key Points
- Real Madrid’s last five matches had 15 goals scored.
- Real Madrid netted seven goals in just their last two matches.
- Three of Alaves’ last four matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- 19 goals were scored in the last five meetings between these teams.
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Our Real Madrid vs Alavés Prediction
The Spanish La Liga title race is taking shape and much more is expected this week when Real Madrid host Alaves. Real Madrid weren’t really convincing at the start of the season but their recent matches have been more assuring.
Their last two matches saw them score seven times and they also have a fine record in this fixture. They thumped Alaves 5-0 in their last meeting and will be favorites to claim three points here. Our prediction for Real Madrid v Alaves is for over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Alavés
| Real Madrid vs Alavés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.22 | 1.17 | -4.1% |
| Draw | 6.25 | 7.5 | +20.0% |
| Alavés wins | 12 | 15 | +25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 85.5% (3.5%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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