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14 May 2024 - 15:30 

- Day 36

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
VS
Alavés

Prediction :

Under 3.5

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Real Madrid vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

 by Sridhar | in LaLiga Predictions

A confident Deportivo Alaves will hope to continue their recent improved form to upset champions Real Madrid when the sides meet. This La Liga matchday 36 at the Santiago Bernabeu will have the hosts sitting pretty after winning the league and the visitors at 11th with 42 points. Madrid celebrated their title with a 4-0 win at the weekend that saw Granada relegated. The mood and confidence in the home camp are upbeat as they continue to make the right strides. It was the 22nd consecutive game that they avoided defeat, winning 16 and drawing six. Over the last eight competitive matches, the champions have won seven and drawn one. The record gets better in the league, as Madrid have won their last eight La Liga matches in a row, which means they are unlikely to show any lenience to their opponents.

Deportivo Alaves lost 1-0 in the reverse fixture, but they travel here with some good form backing their credentials. They held Girona to a 2-2 draw last Friday, where they came back from a goal down twice, including a late stoppage-time goal that earned them a point. That result made it four matches without a loss, winning the last three. One of those wins was a 2-0 victory over Atletico, so the visitors are proving that they aren’t fazed by top clubs. This strong form has put them on the cusp of finishing in the top half, although winning against Madrid could be a step too far. The task looks even more difficult on the road, where Alaves have lost three of their last four league matches, although they won 1-0 at Valencia in their latest trip.

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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Alavés Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1 51 151
Ladbrokes
1.44 3.4 8.5
NetBet
1.17 6.75 12
Betwinner
1.2 6.95 13
Melbet
1.22 7 11
Tonybet
1.23 7.2 12
Check all Real Madrid vs Alavés odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Alavés?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/05/2024 between Real Madrid and Alavés in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.24% for a win of Real Madrid against Alavés with odds of 1.44 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Alavés is 16.04% with odds of 51 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 16.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Real Madrid with odds of 151 at Bet365.

Real Madrid - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:

Real Madrid Alavés Prediction Probability Odds
Real Madrid wins 67.24% 1.44 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 58.3% 1.6 at Melbet
Both Team To Score 30.42%
Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid 30.25% 1.7 at Ladbrokes

Real Madrid vs Alavés Form

Real Madrid and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
95 38 29 8 1 61
10
Alavés
Alavés
46 38 12 10 16 -10

Real Madrid and Alavés Last Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.33
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

11 May 2024 - LaLiga

Granada
0 :  4
Real Madrid

8 May 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Bayern Munich

4 May 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Cádiz

30 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Real Madrid

26 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Real Madrid

21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Barcelona
Alavés
Alavés Last matches
L L W W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

10 May 2024 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  2
Girona

5 May 2024 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  1
Alavés

27 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Alavés
3 :  0
Celta Vigo

21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  0
Atletico Madrid

14 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Granada
2 :  0
Alavés

31 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Real Sociedad

Real Madrid against Alavés : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

83 %

Draw

0 %

Alavés

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3.17
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.67
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

21 Dec 2023 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Real Madrid

19 Feb 2022 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Alavés

14 Aug 2021 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  4
Real Madrid

23 Jan 2021 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  4
Real Madrid

28 Nov 2020 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Alavés

10 Jul 2020 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Alavés
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Real Madrid against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
T. Courtois
2
D. Carvajal
6
Nacho
3
E. Militao
23
F. Mendy
15
F. Valverde
12
E. Camavinga
8
T. Kroos
11
Rodrygo
5
J. Bellingham
7
V. Junior
32
S. Omorodion
11
L. Rioja
10
I. Hagi
7
A. Sola
8
A. Blanco
6
A. Guevara
3
R. Duarte
16
R. Marin
5
A. Abqar
2
A. Gorosabel
31
J. Owono

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Alavés

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

D. Alaba

Midfielder

A. Tchouameni

Alavés
Alavés
Defender

A. Sedlar

Forward

K. Garcia

Real Madrid - Alavés Key Points

  1. The last two league games between Madrid and Alaves have featured under 3.5 goals
  2. In four of their last six league matches, Madrid have seen fewer than four goals scored
  3. Likewise, three of their last five home league games have seen Madrid feature three or fewer goals
  4. In 11 of the last 12 league matches featuring Alaves, there have been fewer than four goals scored
  5. Alaves have seen under 3.5 goals scored in 16 of their 17 away league matches in this campaign
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Our Real Madrid vs Alavés Prediction

Alaves sprung a few surprises in the last few weeks, defeating Atletico Madrid and holding Girona to a draw. Will they be able to build on that and hold Real Madrid? The hosts will be in a celebratory mood, but as was evident last weekend, Madrid isn’t going to be generous. It will be a tough trip for Alaves, but they may look to minimise the number of goals. Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Alaves is for under 3.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Under 3.5

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Real Madrid vs Alavés Prediction
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