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Real Madrid vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
Matchday four in the UEFA Champions League brings a few mouth-watering clashes, perhaps none more so than Real Madrid taking on AC Milan at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu on Tuesday night. Los Blancos are in 12th place in the League Phase standings, while the Rossoneri are just outside the playoff spots in 25th place after the first three games. Check out our match prediction below!
Real Madrid have been the dominant side in this contest in recent times, winning five of their last seven home games against this opponent in European cup competitions. AC Milan have failed to win any of their last three matches against Los Blancos (W0 D2 L1), dating back to a 2-1 victory in 2009.
Notably, Madrid have won 17 of their last 18 matches against Italian opponents in Europe, with the only exception being a defeat to Juventus in 2018. The hosts are the favourites in this contest, but can they keep up their tremendous record against Serie A opponents? Let’s get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v AC Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.45 | 4.75 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.7 | 3 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.88 | 6.66 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.88 | 6.66 |
|
|
1.45 | 5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.74 | 6.3 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.74 | 6.3 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.9 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.86 | 6.35 |
|
|
1.46 | 5 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.44 | 5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.85 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.8 | 7 |
|
|
1.46 | 5.3 | 6.7 |
|
|
1.44 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.43 | 5 | 7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and AC Milan?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs AC Milan match is: Real Madrid wins!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/11/2024 between Real Madrid and AC Milan in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.28% for a win of Real Madrid against AC Milan with odds of 1.7 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs AC Milan is 10.74% with odds of 5.3 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.97% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Real Madrid with odds of 7 at William Hill.
Real Madrid - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid AC Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 61.28% | 1.7 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.49% | 1.53 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid | 22.62% | 4.6 at Betsson |
Real Madrid vs AC Milan Form
Real Madrid and AC Milan's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
|
20
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Real Madrid and AC Milan Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
24 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
21 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
18 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Serie A
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Serie A
27 Sep 2024 - Serie A
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Serie A
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
Real Madrid vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2023 - Clubs Friendlies
Real Madrid - AC Milan: Form Analysis
Real Madrid will be returning to the pitch for the first time since they suffered a humiliating 4-0 defeat to their arch-nemeses Barcelona at home in El Clasico on October 26.
Los Blancos now resume continental duty, where they currently have six points after three games (W2 D0 L1), with the most recent match ending in a commanding 5-2 victory over Borussia Dortmund.
With that result against BVB, Los Merengues are three points off the surprise League Phase leaders Aston Villa and just one point below the automatic qualification places.
The hosts have won seven of their eight home games this season and scored two or more goals in each victory!
Meanwhile, AC Milan have been in mixed form this season, currently seventh in Serie A and outside the playoff cutoff in this competition despite beating Club Brugge 3-1 in their last outing.
Indeed, that victory over the Belgian Pro League champions is the only one the Rossoneri have managed in this competition following defeats to Liverpool and Bayer Leverkusen in the preceding rounds.
Much of the visitors' struggles this season are attributable to their away form. Across all competitions, they’ve played six matches and won just two, while drawing one and losing three.
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Real Madrid against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Alaba
D. Carvajal
A. Florenzi
MidfielderI. Bennacer
ForwardL. Jovic
Real Madrid & AC Milan Squad Analysis
Real Madrid goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois suffered an adductor injury against Dortmund in the last round and has been ruled out of action for Carlo Ancelotti’s side until after the next international break.
Rodrygo also missed out on El Clasico due to a thigh injury and is ruled out until next month, while David Alaba and Dani Carvajal are sidelined for the foreseeable future with serious knee injuries.
Vinicius Junior has scored five goals in Real Madrid’s last four games in all competitions!
AC Milan will be missing at least four players for this match, including long-term absentees Alessandro Florenzi and Ismael Bennacer, both of whom have not featured for the team at all this season.
Forward Luka Jovic has now missed the last six games for AC Milan but could reportedly return in time for this match, while central defender Matteo Gabbia is listed as questionable owing to a muscular problem.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
AC Milan
V. Junior
(13 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(8 Goals)
V. Junior
(6 Assists)
Y. Fofana
(5 Assists)
, 
R. Leao
(5 Assists)
,
C. Pulisic
(5 Assists)
Real Madrid - AC Milan Key Points
- Real Madrid have won seven of their last 10 games in all competitions.
- Real Madrid have won five of their last seven home games in Europe against this opponent.
- Real Madrid have scored two or more goals in seven of their eight home games this season.
- AC Milan have lost two of their last three away games in all competitions.
- AC Milan have only kept one clean sheet in six away matches this season.
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Our Real Madrid vs AC Milan Prediction
AC Milan have not made the best start to this season’s Champions League and it will certainly not get any easier for them here, having to travel to Madrid, where they’ve struggled to get results in recent years.
While Los Blancos were humbled by their greatest rivals Barcelona last time out, they almost always turn it up a notch in Europe and we are expecting them to bounce back with a victory in this one. Our Real Madrid vs AC Milan prediction: Real Madrid wins!
Real Madrid vs AC Milan - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid AC Milan
| Real Madrid vs AC Milan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.45 | 1.45 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 4.75 | +5.6% |
| AC Milan wins | 6.25 | 6.25 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.0% and is now 69.0% (0.0%)
Use £30 free bets for the Real Madrid vs. AC Milan game!
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Try your luck on this year's Champions League! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Real Madrid vs AC Milan match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Champions League match between Real Madrid and AC Milan will be played on November 5 at 20:00 GMT.
The UEFA Champions League match between Real Madrid and AC Milan will take place at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu in Madrid.
The UEFA Champions League match between Real Madrid and AC Milan will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Champions League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Slavko Vincic will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Tomaz Klancnik, Andraz Kovacic and Matej Jug as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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