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Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions
After a tough trip in Europe, Real Sociedad return to an away La Liga game at Rayo Vallecano. The two sides are just three places apart, Rayo in eighth and Sociedad 11th. We have a prediction for the match.
Rayo tally two points more than their visitors coming into this game. In the race for Europe, they trail sixth place by five points. It is therefore expected that the hosts will be going for a win here.
They’ve failed to get one in the last four matches though in all fairness, they were all tough outings. In the most recent, Rayo fell 2-1 at Real Madrid.
That came after a draw with Sevilla and defeats against Villarreal and Barcelona.
Real Sociedad come here also with a level of desperation to return to winning ways. It has now been five matches without a win and just like with their hosts, they haven't faced easy opposition.
Erreala are coming from a crushing, 4-1 defeat at Manchester United in the Europa League. With a pinch of controversy, Sociedad suffered in England and their European sojourn is over.
Focus is now domestic, with a place in Europe to fight for on two fronts. They have the top six to target, being seven points out, or the Copa del Rey where they are in the semis.
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The Best Betting Odds for Rayo Vallecano v Real Sociedad Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 2.9 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.38 | 3 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.37 | 2.9 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.06 | 3.73 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.06 | 3.73 |
|
|
2.4 | 2.9 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.29 | 2.96 | 3.58 |
|
|
2.29 | 2.96 | 3.58 |
|
|
2.44 | 2.95 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.29 | 2.96 | 3.58 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.05 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.38 | 2.88 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.4 | 2.92 | 3.63 |
|
|
2.38 | 2.9 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.38 | 2.88 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.75 | 3.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad?
Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/03/2025 between Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.21% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Real Sociedad with odds of 2.44 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad is 22.1% with odds of 3.06 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 3.73 at 1xbet.
Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rayo Vallecano Real Sociedad Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 55.21% | 2.44 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.59% | 2.08 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.17% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Rayo Vallecano | 34.71% | 5.2 at Unibet |
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad Form
Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
|
12
|
35 | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -5 |
Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
3 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
18 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
27 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2023 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano against Real Sociedad Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
A. Mumin
P. Fernandez
MidfielderJ. Montiel
I. Palazon
R. Nteka
ForwardR. De Tomas
S. Camello
J. Pacheco
MidfielderL. Sucic
A. Zakharyan
B. Mendez
Most goals and assists
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
J. De Frutos
(4 Goals)
M. Oyarzabal
(9 Goals)
A. Garcia
(5 Assists)
S. Gomez
(5 Assists)
Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad Key Points
- Rayo Vallecano scored three goals in their last five matches.
- Three of Real Sociedad’s last five matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Four of Rayo’s last five matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Real Sociedad scored just twice in the last five matches.
- Rayo’s last five home matches averaged just two goals.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad Prediction
Rayo Vallecano have a recent history of struggling against Real Sociedad and will want to prevail here. However, their scoring run hasn’t been very encouraging and that’s a major impediment. In the last five matches, Rayo scored a mere three goals, and though playing at home has been more comfortable we still expect some struggle.
Real Sociedad aren’t on a great scoring run either and will be affected by their tough defeat at Old Trafford. Our prediction for Rayo Vallecano v Real Sociedad is in the goals market and we’ll back under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rayo Vallecano Real Sociedad
| Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 2.55 | 2.38 | -6.7% |
| Draw | 2.9 | 2.9 | 0% |
| Real Sociedad wins | 3 | 3.5 | +16.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Rayo Vallecano is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.2% and is now 42.0% (2.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Sociedad game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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