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Rayo Vallecano vs Leganés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Devesh Jaganath in LaLiga Predictions
Round eight of the La Liga season will see Rayo Vallecano welcome CD Leganes to the Estadio de Vallecas this Saturday evening. Rayito are currently in 10th place in league table, while Los Pepineros are 15th and just one point above the drop zone. Let's get into the match prediction.
The Red Sashes had chosen to sit deep and defend in their last match, recording just a mere 29% possession, yet such a tactic had paid off in the end with them being able to secure a point in a match that many had expected them to struggle in away to Girona.
With that result, Vallecano have earned nine points out of a possible 21 this term, with a record of two wins and three draws and two losses from their seven matches.
While, on paper, they have provided a mixed home form this season (W1, D1, L1), it must be noted that in those results Rayito drew with Athletico Madrid and lost by just one goal to the unbeaten league leaders Barcelona.
El Lega, on the other hand, looked in good shape to record their second win of the campaign, but conceding a poor penalty late on meant that they had to settle for just a point against Getafe last time out.
That result was their third straight match without a clean sheet, with the 2023-24 Segunda Division champions having now recorded just one win, three draws and three losses from their seven matches so far.
On the positive, though, Leganes have seen all three draws from this campaign come on the road, with a loss to Real Betis being the only blemish on their away record.
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The Best Betting Odds for Rayo Vallecano v Leganés Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 3.1 | 5.25 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.15 | 4.4 |
|
|
2 | 3.3 | 4.74 |
|
|
2 | 3.3 | 4.74 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.15 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.18 | 4.56 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.18 | 4.56 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.15 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.19 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.15 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.1 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.1 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.1 | 5 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.2 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.91 | 3 | 5 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.17 | 5.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Leganés?
Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Leganés match is: Rayo Vallecano wins!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2024 between Rayo Vallecano and Leganés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.78% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Leganés with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Leganés is 33.26% with odds of 3.3 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Leganés vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 5.5 at Vbet.
Rayo Vallecano - Leganés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rayo Vallecano Leganés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leganés wins | 38.95% | 5.5 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 61.65% | 1.78 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Leganés | 16.25% | 9.5 at Bet365 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Leganés Form
Rayo Vallecano and Leganés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
22 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
|
15
|
18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -11 |
Rayo Vallecano and Leganés Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
16 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
27 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
16 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
27 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
15 May 2024 - LaLiga
5 May 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
18 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
19 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
13 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
4 Sep 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Jun 2024 - LaLiga 2
18 May 2024 - LaLiga 2
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
13 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
4 Sep 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Rayo Vallecano vs Leganés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 May 2021 - LaLiga 2
4 Feb 2019 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2018 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano against Leganés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
P. Fernandez
Most goals and assists
Rayo Vallecano
Leganés
I. Palazon
(3 Goals)
,
J. De Frutos
(3 Goals)
,
U. Lopez
(3 Goals)
J. Cruz
(4 Goals)
I. Palazon
(3 Assists)
Oscar
(3 Assists)
,
D. Raba
(3 Assists)
Rayo Vallecano - Leganés Key Points
- Vallecano have scored in four of their last five matches.
- Vallecano are unbeaten in their last three matches.
- Vallecano have not lost this fixture in the previous five matchups.
- Leganes have not scored in four of their last five domestic matches.
- Leganes have lost two of their last three league matches.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Leganés Prediction
Rayito have been able to find the back of the net with frequency in recent matches, and with goals against Spanish powerhouses such as Barcelona and Athletico Madrid, it would seem a fairly tall task for El Lega to deny them any joy in the final third this weekend.
If we couple that with the fact that Leganes have neither been able to consistently score goals nor keep clean sheets this campaign, we see Vallecano relishing the opportunity to move up in the table this weekend at the expense of their opponents. Our Rayo Vallecano vs Leganes prediction: Rayo Vallecano wins!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rayo Vallecano Leganés
| Rayo Vallecano vs Leganés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 2 | 1.8 | -10.0% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.1 | 0% |
| Leganés wins | 4.2 | 5.25 | +25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leganés is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 25.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.8% and is now 19.0% (-4.8%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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