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Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions
Rayo Vallecano’s bid to return to winning ways faces a tough challenge ahead with Athletic Bilbao coming over on Sunday. While Bilbao are looking to rise into the top four, Rayo are six points above the red zone. Let’s have a look at the preview and a prediction for this match.
The hosts are coming from back-to-back defeats and will be looking to bounce back. In their most recent match, they fell 1-0 to Sevilla, failing to improve on their 3-1 home loss against Las Palmas.
These defeats have Rayo on just one win in the last four league matches. While they seek a return to winning ways, Athletic Bilbao aren’t their best customers.
With Villareal facing a tricky game against Girona, Athletic Bilbao have reason to feel this weekend they can break into the top four. They will be bullish, coming from a 3-0 win at home to Elfsborg in the Europa League.
That victory marked their third win in four matches and stretched their unbeaten run to eight matches. The visitors are also doing well defensively, having managed four clean sheets in their last seven matches.
Two of them were registered in their last two matches. To cap their confidence ahead of this game, Bilbao are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Rayo.
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The Best Betting Odds for Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.1 | 3.1 | 2.45 |
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3.3 | 2.2 | 2.8 |
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3.22 | 3.14 | 2.59 |
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3.22 | 3.14 | 2.59 |
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3.25 | 3.05 | 2.5 |
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3.25 | 3.1 | 2.48 |
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3.12 | 3.03 | 2.49 |
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3.15 | 3.2 | 2.44 |
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3.25 | 3 | 2.5 |
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3.2 | 3 | 2.45 |
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3.36 | 3 | 2.54 |
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3.2 | 3 | 2.4 |
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3.3 | 3 | 2.38 |
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3.25 | 2.88 | 2.4 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Athletic Bilbao to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/12/2024 between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.9% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 3.36 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao is 35.09% with odds of 3.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 2.8 at Ladbrokes.
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
Rayo Vallecano Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Athletic Bilbao wins | 42.01% | 2.8 at Ladbrokes |
Under 2.5 | 58.34% | 2.22 at 1xbet |
Both Team To Score | 60.83% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 17.61% | 5.6 at Unibet |
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4
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48 | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 22 |
6
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35 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 1 |
Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
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3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
28 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
16 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
27 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
25 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
28 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
19 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
28 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
19 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
5 Mar 2023 - LaLiga
17 Sep 2022 - LaLiga
23 Jan 2022 - LaLiga
21 Sep 2021 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
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J. Montiel
U. Lopez
ForwardR. De Tomas
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Most goals and assists
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
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Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Athletic Bilbao are unbeaten in their last eight matches.
- In their last 10 La Liga matches Athletic Bilbao lost once.
- Three of Rayo’s last four La Liga matches ended in defeat.
- In five meetings with Bilbao, Rayo Vallecano are winless.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
In their last three trips to Estadio de Vallecas, Athletic Bilbao are unbeaten, winning twice. In total, they are undefeated in their last five meetings with Rayo, only drawing once. As they head to Madrid, this is a fixture Bilbao will be expected to prevail in.
They go into it on a much better run as well - unbeaten in eight. While Rayo will hope Bilbao’s shaky away run comes to play, their own recent form doesn’t make for pleasant reading. Our prediction for Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao is for Athletic Bilbao to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rayo Vallecano Athletic Bilbao
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Rayo Vallecano wins | 2.75 | 3.1 | +12.7% |
Draw | 3.1 | 3.1 | 0% |
Athletic Bilbao wins | 2.63 | 2.45 | -6.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.0% and is now 40.8% (2.8%)
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