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Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Kennedy Kechula in LaLiga Predictions
Rayo Vallecano and Alaves will both be bidding to return to winning ways when they face off on Saturday. Hosts Los Franjirrojos will start this match in ninth spot, five places ahead of Babazorros El Glorioso, and predictions favor the home team.
A loss to Mallorca in the last game ended Rayo’s five-match unbeaten streak. The 1-0 defeat was their third in 10 matches and also the third game in that period that they failed to score.
Heading back home will work for them as they go into a three-game undefeated run there. They’ve also won their last two home matches against Alaves.
Alaves have a respectable run in this fixture, having claimed three wins in the last six meetings. One of those wins was registered away to Rayo and they’ll be targeting the same here.
Their hopes aside, Alaves are coming here on a poor run, after losing each of their last four matches. The most recent of them was last Friday, at home to Real Valladolid.
Kike Garcia was sent off moments after scoring the second goal in the 3-2 defeat. Alaves’ La Liga away form has always been a concern and already this season, they have four losses in five.
In 40 away topflight matches, Alaves have five wins only.
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The Best Betting Odds for Rayo Vallecano v Alavés Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.1 | 4.5 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.1 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.22 | 4.02 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.22 | 4.02 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
2.12 | 3.1 | 3.86 |
|
|
2.12 | 3.1 | 3.86 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.2 | 4 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.1 | 3.84 |
|
|
2.09 | 3.2 | 4 |
|
|
2.12 | 3.2 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.8 | 4 |
|
|
2 | 3.25 | 4.33 |
|
|
2 | 3.1 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.18 | 4.5 |
|
|
2 | 3.1 | 4.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés match is: Rayo Vallecano to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2024 between Rayo Vallecano and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.88% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Alavés with odds of 2.19 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés is 17.81% with odds of 3.25 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
Rayo Vallecano - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rayo Vallecano Alavés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 49.88% | 2.19 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.77% | 3.78 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Rayo Vallecano/Rayo Vallecano | 21% | 3.6 at Betsson |
Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés Form
Rayo Vallecano and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
16 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 |
|
16
|
13 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -9 |
Rayo Vallecano and Alavés Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
28 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
25 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
16 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
16 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
27 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
15 May 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
25 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
18 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
28 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
24 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
20 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
20 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
1 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
24 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
15 Sep 2023 - LaLiga
16 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2021 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2019 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2018 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Espino
H. Novoa
Most goals and assists
Rayo Vallecano
Alavés
J. De Frutos
(3 Goals)
K. Garcia
(3 Goals)
,
T. Martinez
(3 Goals)
A. Embarba
(2 Assists)
A. Blanco
(1 Assists)
,
C. Vicente
(1 Assists)
,
Stoichkov
(1 Assists)
,
J. Jordan
(1 Assists)
, 
F. Tenaglia
(1 Assists)
, 
C. Benavidez
(1 Assists)
,
A. Guevara
(1 Assists)
Rayo Vallecano - Alavés Key Points
- Alaves have five wins in 40 away La Liga matches.
- Alaves suffered straight losses in their last four matches.
- In their last six matches, Rayo Vallecano lost only one match.
- Alaves have one win in five away league games this season.
- Rayo Vallecano won the last two home matches against Alaves.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés Prediction
These two teams are coming from defeats and will be looking to return to winning ways. Recent form favors the hosts to achieve that. Their loss to Mallorca last week was the first defeat in six matches and playing at home, they’ll be optimistic of clinching three points.
They’ve done it in their last two home matches against Alaves, who arrive for this match in really poor form. It is not just Alaves’ four straight losses but they are doing really badly on the road. Our prediction for Rayo Vallecano v Alaves is for Rayo Vallecano to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rayo Vallecano Alavés
| Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 2.2 | 1.95 | -11.4% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.1 | -3.1% |
| Alavés wins | 3.05 | 4.5 | +47.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Rayo Vallecano is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 51.3% (5.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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