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PSV Eindhoven vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Daniel Ngulu | in Champions League Predictions
Two sides that have been going through tough times lately, PSV Eindhoven and Arsenal, will face off in the Champions League this Tuesday. Dutch giants PSV will play host to their English counterparts in this last 16 first leg match. Below we have the preview and two predictions for this fixture, with the winner after the retrun leg facing Real Madrid or Atletico Madrid.
The two sides will be keen on rising from recent struggles domestically. To get to this stage, PSV had to go through the knockout round play-offs after finishing outside the top eight in the league phase. They did their job well, dispatching Italian giants Juventus 4-3 on aggregate.
Arsenal, on their part, didn’t have to participate in the knockout play-offs, after finishing third in the league phase to advance automatically. This will be a familiar reunion between these teams, having met in the Champions League last season and in the Europa League the season before. These two sides have lost considerable ground in their domestic campaigns but will be looking to rise in Europe.
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The Best Betting Odds for PSV Eindhoven v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 | 3.5 | 2 |
|
|
4 | 3.5 | 2 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.4 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.79 | 3.67 | 2.07 |
|
|
3.79 | 3.67 | 2.07 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.45 | 2 |
|
|
3.66 | 3.54 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.66 | 3.54 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.45 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.58 | 3.54 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.85 | 3.5 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.96 | 3.55 | 2 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.4 | 2 |
|
|
3.85 | 3.25 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.7 | 1.98 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.5 | 1.95 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSV Eindhoven and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the PSV Eindhoven vs Arsenal match is: PSV Eindhoven wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/03/2025 between PSV Eindhoven and Arsenal in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.5% for a win of PSV Eindhoven against Arsenal with odds of 4 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSV Eindhoven vs Arsenal is 29.79% with odds of 3.7 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs PSV Eindhoven with odds of 2.1 at Stake.
PSV Eindhoven vs Arsenal Form
PSV Eindhoven and Arsenal Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
8 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
5 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
1 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
14 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
PSV Eindhoven vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Dec 2023 - Champions League
20 Sep 2023 - Champions League
27 Oct 2022 - Europa League
20 Oct 2022 - Europa League
PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Facing English opposition for the second time this season will not scare PSV. They’ve already taken on Premier League leaders Liverpool, and won the game. Also, in Arsenal’s last four visits to the Phillips Stadium, PSV are unbeaten, winning twice.
Peter Bosz’s men eliminated Italian side Juventus in the knockout play-offs after winning 4-3 on aggregate. The return leg of that tie ended in a 3-1 win in Eindhoven.
The Dutch side, however, has skeletons in the closet. Over the last 18 seasons, PSV haven't won a round of 16 game in the Champions League.
Furthermore, Rood-witten aren’t taking into this game a very good run, having lost their last two domestic matches. The most recent of them was a 3-2 loss at Go Ahead Eagles on Saturday.
In the 10 meetings between these teams, PSV won two and Arsenal four.
Arsenal haven't won on Dutch soil since beating Twente in the 2008/09 season. That, and the fact the Gunners are come into this game having failed to score in three of their last four matches complicates their issues. In those four matches, they suffered two defeats.
This run is a threat to Arsenal’s quest to go past the last eight on their second straight season in the Champions League. This will further be dampened by the stat that in the last 16 stage, Arsenal hold a 6-9 win-loss record.
However, they are coming from four straight wins in the Champions League and they’ve only lost six times in their last 25 away matches in Europe.
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PSV Eindhoven vs Arsenal last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
PSV Eindhoven & Arsenal Squad Analysis
PSV do not have the luxury of calling on Ricardo Pepi for this game. The American is out for the remainder of the season having had a brilliant campaign before getting injured.
However, the evergreen Luuk de Jong will provide more than just cover. De Jong is also a leader in this pack and has already scored against Arsenal before.
His tally for the season stands at 13 goals though in the Champions League he only scored twice and provided an assist.
He has 22 shots in the Champions League with 36% of them being on target. Though his numbers in Europe aren’t outstanding, De Jong will be a key threat for the hosts.
Four of Arsenal’s injured players are strikers.
Like PSV, Arsenal are also dealing with key players’ absences. The bulk of them is in the attack. Ben White has just returned to action, leaving Kai Havertz, Bukayo Saka, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Gabriel Martinelli and Gabriel Jesus in the treatment room.
Losing Havertz was particularly a major blow as he was their leading scorer. The German has 15 goals across all competitions. Four of those were in the Champions League and came as part of the 15 shots he took in the competition.
The Gunners haven't been scoring a lot in recent matches and have been forced to deploy midfielder Mikel Merino as a makeshift striker.
Most goals and assists
PSV Eindhoven
Arsenal
L. De Jong
(13 Goals)
, 
R. Pepi
(13 Goals)
K. Havertz
(15 Goals)
J. Veerman
(10 Assists)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
PSV Eindhoven and Arsenal Stats in Champions League
PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal Key Points
- PSV scored in each of their last 16 matches in all competitions.
- PSV have four wins and one draw in their five home Champions League matches this season.
- Arsenal failed to score in three of their last four matches.
- In their last six away Champions League matches, Arsenal failed to score in four.
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Our PSV Eindhoven vs Arsenal Prediction
Arsenal are going through tough times and here they have an away match against a formidable opponent. The Gunners haven't won at PSV in their last four visits and a depleted attack complicates their situation.
Their goal-scoring has gone low, netting just twice in the last four matches. This is where PSV will edge Arsenal; they have a number of top attacking players available and are unbeaten in their last nine home matches in this competition dating back to last season. Our prediction for PSV Eindhoven v Arsenal is that PSV Eindhoven wins the match.
PSV Eindhoven vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
Arsenal’s last four matches have all produced under 2.5 goals and their last five have averaged 2.2 goals. In three of their last four matches, they failed to score. Their shortcomings in attack are covered for by one of the best defences in Europe.
Though we expect the Gunners to struggle, we don’t see a case where they’ll concede heavily. Our second bet in this game is for under 2.5 goals.
Use £/€50 free bets for the PSV Eindhoven vs. Arsenal game!
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PSV Eindhoven vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
The PSV v Arsenal match will be played on Tuesday 4th March.
The PSV v Arsenal match will be played at the PSV Stadion in Eindhoven.
This match will be live on TV. Home fans will be able to follow it via Ziggo Sport. Those following from London will be able to catch the game on TNT Sports. Meanwhile, we will also have the match updates via the Sportytrader UEFA Champions League portal.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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