Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Sridhar in Eredivisie Predictions
It’s a top-of-the-table clash in the Eredivisie as Philips Stadium on Sunday sees PSV Eindhoven and Ajax play in a matchday 27 fixture. This ‘De Topper’ match between the second-placed Peasants and the league-leading Jews comes with our prediction of a draw or win for Ajax.
PSV start this round in second place with 58 points, a five-point lead over Utrecht, but six points behind leaders Ajax. In their last match before the international break, PSV won 3-0 away at RKC Waalwijk. That was their second win in a row, breaking a four-game winless sequence where they drew three and lost once.
The hosts remain the best offensive unit of the division, averaging three goals per game in the league. However, they will be wary of the fact that they drew three of their five recent home league matches.
Ajax had a fiery 2-2 home draw against AZ Alkmaar, which extended their unbeaten league record to 11 matches, winning the ten previous. The visitors look set to reclaim their league title and can even afford to drop points here.
That may not be a concern, as Ajax have won their last five away league matches, each time without conceding a goal.
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The Best Betting Odds for PSV Eindhoven v Ajax Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 4.33 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.5 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.88 | 4.83 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.88 | 4.83 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax?
Our prediction for the PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax match is: draw or Ajax wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/03/2025 between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.6% for a win of PSV Eindhoven against Ajax with odds of 1.77 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax is 21.67% with odds of 4.88 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven with odds of 5.6 at Melbet.
PSV Eindhoven - Ajax Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSV Eindhoven Ajax Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven wins | 39.6% | 1.77 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.49% | 1.97 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 62.08% | 1.73 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: PSV Eindhoven | 20.27% | 4.75 at Betsson |
PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax Form
PSV Eindhoven and Ajax's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
73 | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 36 |
|
2
|
67 | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 55 |
PSV Eindhoven and Ajax Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
26 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
8 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
1 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
16 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
2 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
3 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie
29 Oct 2023 - Eredivisie
30 Apr 2023 - KNVB beker
23 Apr 2023 - Eredivisie
6 Nov 2022 - Eredivisie
Players list
W. Benitez
DefenderR. Ledezma
R. Flamingo
J. Bakayoko
MidfielderT. Land
M. Tillman
T. Malacia
I. Saibari
ForwardI. Perisic
L. De Jong
N. Lang
Matheus
DefenderL. Rosa
J. Sutalo
D. Rugani
J. Hato
MidfielderO. Wijndal
J. Henderson
K. Taylor
ForwardB. Traore
B. Brobbey
O. Edvardsen
Substitutes
J. Drommel
DefenderA. Nagalo
A. Obispo
R. Karsdorp
T. Malacia
T. Land
M. Tillman
E. Bajraktarevic
I. Babadi
R. Ledezma
C. Driouech
J. Bakayoko
C. Setford
J. Gorter
DefenderO. Wijndal
D. Janse
J. Mokio
A. Kaplan
D. Rugani
B. Van den Boomen
K. Fitz-Jim
ForwardO. Edvardsen
B. Traore
D. Konadu
Most goals and assists
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
L. De Jong
(15 Goals)
K. Taylor
(14 Goals)
J. Veerman
(11 Assists)
,
N. Lang
(11 Assists)
, 
I. Saibari
(11 Assists)
K. Taylor
(7 Assists)
PSV Eindhoven - Ajax Key Points
- PSV failed to win three of their last five home league matches, drawing each of those.
- Home and away, PSV failed to win four of their six recent Eredivisie matches.
- Ajax won ten and drew one of their last 11 league matches.
- Ajax have won their last five away league matches.
- Away from home, Ajax won nine and drew two of their last 12 league matches.
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Our PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax Prediction
A win for Ajax here will see them move nine points clear at the top of Eredivisie standings, and with only seven games remaining after this round, PSV can’t afford to lose here. They did win two games in a row going into the international break, but their overall form has been up and down. That could play into Ajax’s hand, as the visitors have dropped points in just one of their last 11 league matches. The odds look enticing to back Ajax, and our PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax prediction is draw or Ajax wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSV Eindhoven Ajax
| PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven wins | 1.8 | 1.62 | -10.0% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4.33 | +15.5% |
| Ajax wins | 3.7 | 4.75 | +28.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSV Eindhoven is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 61.7% (6.2%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the PSV Eindhoven vs. Ajax game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Eredivisie!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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