Europe - Champions League

PSG

28 Nov 2023 15:00

Newcastle

Prediction :

PSG wins the match

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PSG vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

Prediction published on 28/11/2023, 06:37 by Steve Ashfield | Modified on 28/11/2023 at 08:33 in Champions League Predictions

A home win for PSG over Newcastle United could see them through to the Champions League knockout stages. They begin this Group F game in second place and host bottom-of-the-group Newcastle United. A win for PSG will see them progress into the last 16 if group leaders Borussia Dortmund can beat Milan. For Newcastle, they really need to get something from this fixture before a final game at home to Milan. They are a point behind the Italians and two adrift of PSG. Losing this game will end their hopes of reaching the knockout stages. Not even being moved into the Europa League would be a massive step backwards for the Magpies but an ever-growing injury list and inconsistent away form is going to make life difficult for them in Paris on Tuesday night.

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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Newcastle Match

1	X	2
1.7	4	4.33
1.6	3.6	4.2
1.76	4.17	4.84
1.76	4.17	4.84
1.7	4	4.66
1.7	4	4.66
1.73	3.65	4.5
1.7	4	4.66
1.71	3.92	4.33
1.7	3.8	4.33
1.7	3.95	4.7
1.72	4.1	4.65
1.73	3.8	4.5
1.74	4	4.9

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What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Newcastle?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/11/2023 between PSG and Newcastle in Champions League :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.23% for a win of PSG against Newcastle with odds of 1.76 at 1xbet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Newcastle is 14.74% with odds of 4.17 at 1xbet.
Our prediction model gives a 29.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs PSG with odds of 4.9 at Vbet.

PSG - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:

PSG Newcastle Prediction	Probability	Odds
PSG wins	56.23%	1.76 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals	68%	1.8 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score	37.5%
Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG	27.32%	2.73 at Betsson

PSG vs Newcastle Form

PSG and Newcastle's standings in the Champions League

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
2 PSG	8	6	2	2	2	1
4 Newcastle	5	6	1	2	3	-1

PSG and Newcastle Last Matches

PSG Last matches

All Home Away

W W W L W W

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals

50% BTTS

3 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

100% Over 2.5

0% Under 2.5

24 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG

5 : 2

Monaco

11 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Reims

0 : 3

PSG

7 Nov 2023 - Champions League

AC Milan

2 : 1

PSG

3 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG

3 : 0

Montpellier Hsc

29 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Brest

2 : 3

PSG

25 Oct 2023 - Champions League

PSG

3 : 0

AC Milan

W W W W W W

Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals

17% BTTS

3.33 Goals scored

0.33 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

24 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG

5 : 2

Monaco

3 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG

3 : 0

Montpellier Hsc

25 Oct 2023 - Champions League

PSG

3 : 0

AC Milan

21 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG

3 : 0

Strasbourg

24 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG

4 : 0

Marseille

19 Sep 2023 - Champions League

PSG

2 : 0

Borussia Dortmund

D L W W L W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

11 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Reims

0 : 3

PSG

7 Nov 2023 - Champions League

AC Milan

2 : 1

PSG

29 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Brest

2 : 3

PSG

8 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Rennes

1 : 3

PSG

4 Oct 2023 - Champions League

Newcastle

4 : 1

PSG

30 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1

Clermont

0 : 0

PSG

Newcastle Last matches

All Home Away

D W W L L W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

25 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle

4 : 1

Chelsea

11 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth

2 : 0

Newcastle

7 Nov 2023 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

2 : 0

Newcastle

4 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 0

Arsenal

1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup

Manchester United

0 : 3

Newcastle

28 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Wolves

2 : 2

Newcastle

W W W L W W

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

33% BTTS

2.5 Goals scored

0.5 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

25 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle

4 : 1

Chelsea

4 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 0

Arsenal

25 Oct 2023 - Champions League

Newcastle

0 : 1

Borussia Dortmund

21 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle

4 : 0

Crystal Palace

4 Oct 2023 - Champions League

Newcastle

4 : 1

PSG

30 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle

2 : 0

Burnley

W D D W L L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals

33% BTTS

2.5 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

11 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth

2 : 0

Newcastle

7 Nov 2023 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

2 : 0

Newcastle

1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup

Manchester United

0 : 3

Newcastle

28 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Wolves

2 : 2

Newcastle

8 Oct 2023 - Premier League

West Ham

2 : 2

Newcastle

24 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Sheffield United

0 : 8

Newcastle

PSG vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

4 Oct 2023 - Champions League

Newcastle

4 : 1

PSG

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PSG - Newcastle: Form Analysis

This was always going to be a close group and that's how it's working out. Only three points separate the four teams in Champions League Group F. The Parisians have six points from their four games but have already lost twice in the group. They got off to a good start with a 2-0 home win over Borussia Dortmund but then came the stunning 4-1 away loss to Newcastle. Since then, they've beaten Milan at home but then gave away a lead and lost 2-1 in the reverse fixture to only lead MIlan by a point and trail Dortmund by the same figure. The weekend saw the Red-and-Blues beat Monaco 5-2 and are back at the top of Ligue 1. The loss in Milan is their only defeat in their last eighth games since being beaten by Newcastle. Seven of those games ended in victory for PSG with eight goals scored in the last two fixtures. Home form has seen PSG win their last six league and cup fixtures with them scoring at least twice in each of them. Three of their last four home Champions League games have been won and with clean sheets in the last two. Since 2021, PSG have only been beaten in one of their last ten home Champions League fixtures, a defeat at the hands of Bayern Munich in February of this year. Wins have come against some top clubs including Manchester City, Real Madrid and Juventus.

Newcastle United made an impressive start to this Champions League campaign. A draw in Milan was followed by the home victory over PSG but it's all gone wrong since then. The Magpies lost to Borussia Dortmund both home and away to leave them stuck on four points and propping up the table. They'll hope Milan don't beat Dortmund at home on Tuesday. If they did and Newcastle lost this game, their European season would be over. A loss and the Italians not winning would at least give United the chance to finish third and go into the Europa League. Newcastle would much rather get something from this game though and a win would take them above their opponents. United had a good 4-1 win over Chelsea at the weekend but that was at home and only two of their last nine away fixtures have been won. In the Champions League this season, they have one point from two games but are yet to get on the scoresheet. We therefore have in front of us on Tuesday a game featuring a side yet to concede a home Champions League and one yet to score on the road. Will one or both of those stats change during this game?

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PSG against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11

PSG

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

G. Donnarumma

A. Hakimi

M. Skriniar

D. Pereira

L. Hernandez

F. Ruiz

M. Ugarte

L. Kang-in

O. Dembele

R. Kolo Muani

K. Mbappe

A. Gordon

A. Isak

M. Almiron

Joelinton

B. Guimaraes

L. Miley

T. Livramento

F. Schar

J. Lascelles

K. Trippier

N. Pope

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Newcastle

Missing players

PSG

Defender

P. Kimpembe

Newcastle

Defender

S. Botman

M. Targett

Midfielder

J. Willock

PSG & Newcastle Squad Analysis

Both clubs have injuries coming into this vital Champions League game. PSG will be without Warren-Zaire-Emery who was injured whhen making his international debut. Also out are Nuno Mendes, Presnel Kimpembe, Marco Asensio, Marquinhos and Danilo Pereira. It's expected that they'll start with the same 11 that comprehensively beat Monaco at home on Friday. United will therefore have to contend with Mbappe, Ramos and Dembele, Mbappe will of course be a handful for the Newcastle United defenders. He's been on target for PSG in the last eight home Champions League games in which PSG have scored a goal.

Newcastle United have a long injury list at present. Callum Wilson, Matt Targett, Sven Botman, Dan Burn, Harvey Barnes, Jacob Murphy, Joe Willcock and Elliot Anderson are all going to miss this trip to Paris. They're also without the suspended Sandro Tonali but are likely to have Lewis Hall and Sean Longstaff back. The absence of Burn and Targett will make life even more difficult for them as the English Premier League side tries to keep PSG out and retain their qualification hopes.

Most goals and assists

PSG

Newcastle

Top Goalscorer

K. Mbappe (35 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

A. Isak (23 Goals)

Best assists

O. Dembélé (9 Assists)

Best assists

K. Trippier (11 Assists)

PSG - Newcastle Key Points

PSG have won their last six home games.
PSG have scored at least twice in each of those home victories.
PSG have won both of their home Champions League games this season.
Newcastle United have only won two of their last nine away games.
Newcastle are yet to score an away goal in the Champions League this season.

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Our PSG vs Newcastle Prediction

PSG have turned their season around since the 4-1 away loss to Newcastle United. They've won every game played since then barring the away loss to Milan. The weekend saw them put five past Monaco and that's a great way to warm up for this important Champions League fixture. Newcastle United were excellent at home against PSG but their away form isn't so good. Just one point has been earned from a couple of away games in this group with no goals being scored. A win over Chelsea will have boosted their confidence but they still have several key players absent. Our PSG v Newcastle United prediction is a home win for PSG.

Prediction :

PSG wins the match

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PSG vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions

Kylian Mbappe to score a goal.

Odds 1.91

After all the transfer gossip (bound to start again soon), Kylian Mbappe stayed at PSG. He continues to be in good scoring form for the Ligue 1 side. Each of the last eight PSG home Champions League games in which PSG have scored has seen Mbappe on target and we believe he can score against Newcastle United.

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PSG vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions

This Champions League game between PSG and Newcastle United takes place on Tuesday November 28 and is scheduled to kick-off at 20:00 UK time.

This is a home fixture for PSG so the game is being played at Parc de Princes in Paris.

This Champions League game between PSG and Newcastle United is being shown live on TNT Sports. A subscription is required but you can follow all the action on our Football Livescore.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.