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PSG vs Monaco Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Devesh Jaganath in Ligue 1 Predictions
The undisputed box-office match of this weekend in Ligue 1 will come from the Parc des Princes where Paris Saint-Germain will face Monaco on Friday night. Les Parisiens lead the league standings with 50 points while Les Rouge et Blanc are in third place with 37 points after 20 games. Check out our match prediction below!
This match will mark the 115th meeting between these sides across all competitions, with PSG winning 30, Monaco winning 48, and 30 games ending level. Les Parisiens have been the more successful team in recent times, though, unbeaten in their last four matches against this opponent (W3 D1 L0), but no other team has beaten PSG 40 or more times across any competition.
Given their sensational league form this season and recent record in this fixture, the hosts are installed as short-priced favourites in this match. Let’s take a deeper dive into the key stats at play in this battle of the heavyweights.
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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Monaco Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 5.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.4 | 5.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.3 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.46 | 5.62 | 5.89 |
|
|
1.46 | 5.62 | 5.89 |
|
|
1.41 | 5.5 | 6.75 |
|
|
1.39 | 5.5 | 6.45 |
|
|
1.39 | 5.5 | 6.45 |
|
|
1.39 | 5.8 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.42 | 5.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.43 | 5.6 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.44 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.4 | 5.5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.43 | 5.45 | 5.9 |
|
|
1.44 | 5 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.45 | 5.5 | 6.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Monaco?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Monaco match is: PSG wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/02/2025 between PSG and Monaco in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.44% for a win of PSG against Monaco with odds of 1.65 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Monaco is 25.58% with odds of 5.8 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Monaco vs PSG with odds of 6.8 at Stake.
PSG - Monaco Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Monaco Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 59.44% | 1.65 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.25% | |
| Both Team To Score | 72.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 27.33% | 2.1 at Betsson |
PSG vs Monaco Form
PSG and Monaco's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
65 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 46 |
|
4
|
44 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
PSG and Monaco Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
12 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Trophée des Champions
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Jan 2025 - French Cup
22 Dec 2024 - French Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
10 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Trophée des Champions
22 Dec 2024 - French Cup
PSG vs Monaco Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Jan 2025 - Trophée des Champions
18 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
28 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1
PSG - Monaco: Form Analysis
Paris Saint-Germain are putting together another incredible top-flight season, currently the only team in the division that has yet to taste defeat with 15 wins and five draws posted in 20 games.
Les Parisiens secured their place in the last 16 of the Coupe de France with a 2-0 win over Le Mans in the week, which extended their unbeaten run to 15 matches across all competitions.
Notably, during their current unbeaten run, the hosts beat this opponent twice, first by 4-2 in the reverse fixture in mid-December and then by a 1-0 scoreline in the Trophee des Champions last month.
PSG have not lost a Ligue 1 home game since May 12 of last year!
Meanwhile, Monaco bounced back from a disappointing 3-0 defeat to Inter Milan on matchday eight of the Champions League with a dominant 4-2 victory over Auxerre last weekend.
That result was the second consecutive league victory following three winless matches either side of New Year. They conceded two or more goals in each of the five matches during this period.
However, Les Rouge et Blanc have found positive results hard to come by on the road of late, failing to win any of their last three away league games and winning just one of their last six.
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PSG against Monaco Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
PSG & Monaco Squad Analysis
PSG were dealt two fairly significant blows in the last couple of weeks, with Warren Zaire-Emery and Joao Neves both sustaining injuries, and the pair are flagged as major doubts for this week.
Ibrahim Mbaye was expected to return from an ankle issue at the end of last month, but reports now suggest the midfielder will remain sidelined for at least another week.
Ousmane Dembele is the leading goal-scorer in Ligue 1 with 14 goals in 18 games this season!
Monaco secured the services of Moatasem Al-Musrati on loan from Besiktas on deadline day until the end of the season, and he will be in line to make his Ligue 1 debut in this match.
Another January window signing, former Sturm Graz striker Mika Biereth, has enjoyed a fast start to life with the Monégasque side. The Danish U21 player scored a hat trick in the team's 4-2 win over Auxerre and has so far netted five goals in four appearances across all competitions.
The visitors are missing three players due to injury, including George Ilenikhena and Wilfried Singo, who are only slated to return next month, while Jordan Teze is sidelined for a couple of weeks with a muscle strain.
Most goals and assists
PSG
Monaco
O. Dembele
(27 Goals)
M. Biereth
(10 Goals)
A. Hakimi
(11 Assists)
M. Akliouche
(8 Assists)
PSG - Monaco Key Points
- PSG are unbeaten in Ligue 1 this season.
- PSG have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 league games.
- PSG have won seven of their 10 home league games this season.
- PSG are unbeaten in their last four matches against this opponent across all competitions.
- Monaco are winless in their last four away league matches.
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Our PSG vs Monaco Prediction
PSG are well on their way to yet another league title, still unbeaten after 20 league games this season and with a 10-point gap over second-placed Marseille at the top of the table.
Les Parisiens also beat this opponent comfortably in the reverse fixture at Stade Louis-II in December and are unbeaten in the last four matches between the sides across all competitions. We feel the hosts will extend that record with another victory on Friday. Our PSG vs Monaco prediction is PSG wins the match.
PSG vs Monaco - Other Interesting Predictions
PSG wins & over 2.5
PSG are unbeaten in the top flight this season and have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 league games. Monaco have failed to win any of their last four away matches and conceded two or more goals in all but one of those games.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Monaco
| PSG vs Monaco | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.48 | 1.42 | -4.1% |
| Draw | 5 | 5.5 | +10.0% |
| Monaco wins | 5.25 | 6 | +14.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.6% and is now 70.4% (2.9%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the PSG vs. Monaco game
You can get yourself a £30 matched bet for the battle between PSG and Monaco when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins then you won't get the free bet but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Ligue 1!
PSG vs Monaco match : Frequently asked questions
The Ligue 1 match between PSG and Monaco will be played on February 7 at 20:05 GMT.
The Ligue 1 match between PSG and Monaco will take place at the Parc des Princes in Paris.
The Ligue 1 match between PSG and Monaco will be broadcast on Ligue 1 Pass in the UK, while French viewers can tune in to DAZN.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the action via our Ligue 1 Livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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