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PSG vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions
One of the top ties in the last 16 of the Champions League sees PSG play Liverpool. It's the French champions who are hosting the first leg and they'll be going all out to get a lead to take to Anfield. Can the Reds prevent them doing that? Read our match prediction.
The winners of this tie will play either Aston Villa or Club Brugges in the quarter-finals. The Parisians didn't have the easiest of league phases. At one stage it looked as if they might even fail to reach the knockout stages. Then they found their form and eventually finished in 15th place. That took them into an all-French clash with Brest in the play-off round and they won that 10-0 on aggregate.
Liverpool finished top of the table in the league phase. Like their opponents in this match, they are also well clear at the top of their domestic league. They continue to be free scorers and this should be an exciting first leg and a goalless draw is definitely not being expected.
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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Liverpool Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.35 | 3.6 | 2.8 |
|
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2.38 | 3.75 | 2.88 |
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2.4 | 3.75 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.99 | 2.84 |
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2.4 | 3.99 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
|
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2.34 | 3.86 | 2.73 |
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2.34 | 3.86 | 2.73 |
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2.37 | 3.8 | 2.8 |
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2.34 | 3.86 | 2.73 |
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2.38 | 3.75 | 2.8 |
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2.45 | 3.85 | 2.72 |
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2.35 | 3.7 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.39 | 3.74 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.6 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.65 | 2.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Liverpool match is: over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/03/2025 between PSG and Liverpool in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.91% for a win of PSG against Liverpool with odds of 2.45 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Liverpool is 20.07% with odds of 3.99 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs PSG with odds of 2.88 at Betfred.
PSG vs Liverpool Form
PSG and Liverpool Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Feb 2025 - French Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
12 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - French Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
12 Feb 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
6 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
12 Feb 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
PSG vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Nov 2018 - Champions League
18 Sep 2018 - Champions League
PSG - Liverpool: Form Analysis
PSG lead Ligue 1 by 16 points but how they'd love to finally win the Champions League. They lost three games in the league phase but ended strongly and then dominated Brest in the play-off round.
PSG are scoring goals for fun.
Their last four games have produced 21 goals and 15 have been scored in their last three home fixtures. Their most recent match saw them beat Lille 4-1 at home. Six of their last eight home fixtures have had over 2.5 goals scored in them and 11 of the last 14 at all grounds.
Liverpool won their first seven games in this season's Champions League. Then they lost 3-2 at PSV (having conceded only two in the previous seven) but still finished top of the table. 17 goals were scored in their eight matches in the league phase.
Six of their last seven away games have seen them score at least twice. Two of their last three on the road have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
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PSG vs Liverpool last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
PSG & Liverpool Squad Analysis
PSG come into this match with a fully-fit match squad. They didn't suffer any problems during the recent win over Lille so the French side will be able to field their strongest line-up for this massive Champions League match.
They are expected to recall Willian Pacho, Vitinha and Khvicha Kvaratskhellg for this game. While they will be hoping for a few goals in this match, their defending is going to be so important against the powerful Liverpool attack.
Liverpool are back from a weekend off.
Liverpool haven't played since the 2-0 home win against Newcastle United. They had the weekend off due to their having been knocked out of the FA Cup in the fourth round. That will have been appreciated by them in the midst of a busy schedule.
They do have some players who either won't be fit for this game or are suspended. The good news is though that they aren't the very top level players and it's unlikely Bradley, Gomez, Morton or Nailo would have been in their starting line-up.
Mo Salah (a rumoured transfer target for PSG) is fit and ready to play in this match for Liverpool. Although the away goals rule is long gone, the Reds know that scoring in this match will make life even more difficult for the home side to build a lead.
Most goals and assists
PSG
Liverpool
O. Dembélé
(24 Goals)
M. Salah
(30 Goals)
A. Hakimi
(10 Assists)
M. Salah
(22 Assists)
PSG and Liverpool Stats in Champions League
PSG - Liverpool Key Points
- Two of the last three Liverpool away games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- These two clubs met in the Champions League seven years ago and both legs saw over 2.5 goals scored.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 11 of the last 14 PSG matches.
- The last five PSG games in the Champions League have seen over 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Our PSG vs Liverpool Prediction
PSG lost three of their first five matches in this season's Champions League. Since then, they have gone goal crazy with 21 scored in five matches. They know full well how difficult the away second leg at Anfield will be, so will want a good lead to take to England.
Liverpool didn't play at the weekend due to their early FA Cup exit. They will be well rested for this match and regularly score at least twice in away games. Our main PSG v Liverpool prediction is over 2.5 goals to be scored.
PSG vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions
Mo Salah to score
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
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PSG vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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