France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Runaway French Ligue 1 leaders PSG will welcome Champions League hopefuls Lille in matchday 24 action this weekend. Below is our prediction for this match.
PSG are inching closer to an unprecedented 13th league title and fourth in a row. Luis Enrique’s men have been the best team in France this season. They currently sit atop the standings with a healthy 13-point lead with 11 games left to play.
Les Parisiens are unbeaten in Ligue 1 and haven’t lost to Lille in seven meetings. They won the reverse fixture 3-1 back in September 2024 to claim their sixth win over Lille during this current stretch.
The hosts are coming off their ninth straight win, hammering Stade Briochin 7-0 in the French Cup in midweek.
Lille’s last Ligue 1 victory over PSG came during their title-winning campaign in 2021. Bruno Genesio’s men will hope this is the fixture in which they end this slump against the capital club.
Lille have won their last two games. After defeating Rennes 2-0 away from home to snap a two-match skid, Les Dogues earned a crucial victory against Monaco last weekend.
This weekend’s visitors earned a 2-1 victory at home against Monaco who are their closest challengers for the final Champions League spot. They have now won 11 matches and drawn a further eight to accumulate 41 points.
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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Lille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 5 | 8 |
|
|
1.36 | 5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.41 | 9.12 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.41 | 9.12 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Lille?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Lille match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/03/2025 between PSG and Lille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.23% for a win of PSG against Lille with odds of 1.44 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Lille is 22.58% with odds of 5.7 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Lille vs PSG with odds of 9.2 at Vbet.
PSG - Lille Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Lille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 63.23% | 1.44 at Betfair |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.86% | 1.58 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 64.58% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: PSG | 31.09% | 4.5 at Betsson |
PSG vs Lille Form
PSG and Lille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
71 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 53 |
|
5
|
47 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
PSG and Lille Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - French Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
12 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Trophée des Champions
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - French Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
10 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2024 - French Cup
PSG vs Lille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
21 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1
Players list
G. Donnarumma
DefenderW. Zaire-Emery
Marquinhos
Beraldo
W. Pacho
MidfielderF. Ruiz
Vitinha
ForwardL. Kang-in
K. Kvaratskhelia
G. Ramos
B. Barcola
L. Chevalier
DefenderT. Meunier
B. Diakite
A. Ribeiro
Ismaily
H. Haraldsson
MidfielderN. Bentaleb
B. Andre
E. Mbappe
A. Bouaddi
ForwardJ. David
Substitutes
M. Safonov
DefenderP. Kimpembe
W. Pacho
L. Hernandez
MidfielderS. Mayulu
W. Zaire-Emery
L. Kang-in
Vitinha
K. Kvaratskhelia
V. Mannone
DefenderIsmaily
A. Mandi
MidfielderE. Mbappe
H. Haraldsson
R. Cabella
A. Bouaddi
A. Gomes
ForwardJ. David
Missing players
A. Tenas
S. Umtiti
T. Santos
ForwardE. Zhegrova
Most goals and assists
PSG
Lille
O. Dembele
(28 Goals)
J. David
(21 Goals)
B. Barcola
(12 Assists)
J. David
(5 Assists)
PSG - Lille Key Points
- Both teams scored in the last seven times Lille and PSG met.
- Lille kept one clean sheet in their last 10 matches.
- Lille have scored 38 times in 23 league fixtures.
- PSG have scored in 19 consecutive outings.
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Our PSG vs Lille Prediction
Our prediction for PSG v Lille is for both teams to score. The last seven meetings between Lille and PSG saw both teams score. We expect the same here as these are superb scoring teams. PSG have scored in 19 consecutive matches, whereas Lille have found the net in 10 straight games.
Lille have been on the receiving end against PSG in plenty of their matchups and currently haven’t won in seven meetings. The need to end this winless streak and boost their European hopes should see Lille approach this tie with an attacking mindset. PSG will do the same which means seeing both get on the scoresheet is likely.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Lille
| PSG vs Lille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.5 | 1.33 | -11.3% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 5.25 | +10.5% |
| Lille wins | 5.25 | 8.5 | +61.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 75.2% (8.5%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the PSG vs. Lille game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between PSG and Lille? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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