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PSG vs Girona Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Kennedy Kechula in Champions League Predictions
Spanish minnows Girona are set for baptism by fire when they make their European bow following an impressive season in 2023/24. For their first ever Champions League game, Girona have been paired to play away to French giants PSG. We have the preview and predictions ready for this match set for the Parc des Princes on Wednesday 18th September.
Semi-finalists in the 2023/24 season, PSG will feel the urge to go one better even after releasing their most iconic player in recent years, Kylian Mbappe. It has so far been a great ride for PSG, who have won all their four matches and are already perched at the top of Ligue 1.
Their visitors haven't enjoyed much of the new season, which is just starting to get demanding. Girona, like PSG, also released a key player from their past season – Artem Dovbyk - and there are signs he's being missed.
Given they’ll also play Liverpool, Arsenal, Milan and PSV, this could be a pivotal fixture for Los Blanquivermells.
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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Girona Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.29 | 5.75 | 9 |
|
|
1.4 | 5.25 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 5.39 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.44 | 5.39 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.38 | 5.25 | 7 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.74 | 6 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.74 | 6 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.4 | 9.6 |
|
|
1.39 | 5.2 | 7.1 |
|
|
1.39 | 5.4 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.3 | 10 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.75 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.6 | 8 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.29 | 6.1 | 9.9 |
|
|
1.27 | 6 | 10 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Girona?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Girona match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/09/2024 between PSG and Girona in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.27% for a win of PSG against Girona with odds of 1.48 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Girona is 17.1% with odds of 6.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Girona vs PSG with odds of 10 at Vbet.
PSG - Girona Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Girona Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 56.27% | 1.48 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.42% | 6.35 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 26.34% | 2.09 at Vbet |
PSG vs Girona Form
PSG and Girona's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
25
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
|
29
|
3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 |
PSG and Girona Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
12 May 2024 - Ligue 1
7 May 2024 - Champions League
27 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - French Cup
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
1 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
15 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2024 - LaLiga
14 May 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
15 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
PSG - Girona: Form Analysis
Much of the talk about PSG’s season was on how they would cope without their lead scorer of the past few seasons. The French giants have given a resounding response to that question by banging in goals and winning all their four matches so far.
Luis Enrique’s charges come into this game being the only team with a perfect run in Ligue 1 after four matches. It is not just that; they have scored a total of 16 goals in the four games. Ahead of this one, they rose from behind to beat Brest 3-1.
The only downside to their fine start has been keeping one clean sheet in the four games. Les Parisiens have conceded three times thus far.
PSG will go into this year’s competition hoping to do better than last season when they stumbled at the semi-final stage.
Girona are seeking a win in their first ever continental match, against last season's semi finalists.
Girona have been on and off so far this season. Being their first in the Champions League, they may want to stabilize fast enough. Juggling between domestic matches and continental ones has been known to trouble even the most experienced teams.
Ahead of this game, Girona suffered a 4-1 defeat to Barcelona, failing to add to their two earlier wins. Now they have two defeats in four matches.
The fact that they lost to Atletico Madrid in the first game raises concerns as to whether Girona are equipped for matches against top teams. PSG is one of the best teams around and away fans will not be very confident going into this encounter.
There must, however, be some straws for Girona to grasp – their away form. Michel Sanchez’s side has lost only once in the last six away matches.
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PSG against Girona Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Missing players
L. Hernandez
P. Kimpembe
ForwardG. Ramos
R. Artero Ruiz
G. Misehouy
PSG & Girona Squad Analysis
No one has exactly taken over the mantle from Kylian Mbappe at PSG. On a positive note, they are playing more as a team now. Their goals are well distributed, with Bradley Barcola currently leading the scoring with four.
The team has also benefited from Ousmane Dembele’s form. The French international’s three goals so far don’t tell the whole story of his impact. For club and country, the former Barcelona man has seven goal involvements in six matches.
Injuries to Presnel Kimpembe and Lucas Hernandez, however, continue to dog PSG defensively.
Both PSG and Girona released their leading forwards and are now forced to cope.
The departure of Artem Dovbyk to Roma is still haunting Girona. The Ukrainian was their top scorer last season and Girona are forced to seek other coping mechanisms.
Abel Ruiz and Christian Stuani have shouldered the burden of attack so far, each scoring two goals ahead of this game.
Cristian Portu came off the bench and provided an assist in the loss to Barcelona and he may have played his way to a starting berth in Paris.
Most goals and assists
PSG
Girona
B. Barcola
(10 Goals)
C. Stuani
(4 Goals)
O. Dembele
(6 Assists)
A. Danjuma
(2 Assists)
, 
M. Gutierrez
(2 Assists)
PSG - Girona Key Points
- PSG scored at least three goals in each game this season.
- A total of 19 goals were netted in PSG’s four matches this season.
- Three of PSG’s last five Champions League games produced over 2.5 goals.
- In two of Girona’s last four matches, they conceded three or more goals.
- 16 goals were scored in Girona’s opening five matches of the season.
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Our PSG vs Girona Prediction
Girona will be facing top European opposition following their good finish in La Liga. It will concern them that against big teams they’ve struggled this season. A case in point is their most recent game, where they lost 4-1 to Barcelona.
Against PSG, they face another uphill task, going by their hosts’ form this season. With 16 goals in their opening four matches, the French giants are clearly not missing Kylian Mbappe. They’ve, however, been vulnerable at the back, keeping just one clean sheet, and Girona will be keen on this. Our prediction for PSG v Girona is for the game to have over 2.5 goals.
PSG vs Girona - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
PSG have conceded three times in their last four matches and they have only two clean sheets in the last 15 outings. Girona carry into this game a fine scoring run, failing on that front in just one of their last seven matches.
While they have their own defensive issues, we will back them to score here. Our second prediction will be for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Girona
| PSG vs Girona | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.53 | 1.29 | -15.7% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 5.75 | +40.2% |
| Girona wins | 6.25 | 9 | +44.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 15.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 77.5% (12.2%)
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PSG vs Girona match : Frequently asked questions
The PSG v Girona match will be played on Wednesday 18 September starting 8pm GMT.
The PSG v Girona match will be staged at the Parc des Princes, in Paris.
Daniel Siebert from Germany will be the center referee in the PSG v Girona match, assisted by compatriots Jan Seidel and Rafael Foltyn.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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