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PSG vs Brest Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
Paris Saint-Germain will be looking to punch their ticket to the last 16 of the Champions League when they face Brest in their second-leg knockout phase play-off tie on Wednesday evening. Les Parisiens have a massive advantage in this match having beaten Les Pirates 3-0 in the first leg last week. The winner of this tie will face either Liverpool or Barcelona in the next round. Check out our match prediction below!
PSG’s victory in the first leg of this tie marked the 19th time they have won the first leg of a European tie when playing on the road. They have also progressed in 17 of their last 18 such instances with the exception being against Manchester United in the 2018-19 season. History suggests that Brest are likely to bow out in this round, as no team has ever progressed from a two-legged Champions League knockout stage tie after losing the first leg at home by three or more goals.
Expectedly, this week’s hosts are the clear favourites in this contest - let’s take a look at some other key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Brest Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.13 | 9 | 19 |
|
|
1.14 | 9.5 | 17 |
|
|
1.12 | 9.5 | 19 |
|
|
1.14 | 9.71 | 20 |
|
|
1.14 | 9.71 | 20 |
|
|
1.14 | 9.5 | 19 |
|
|
1.14 | 8.8 | 15 |
|
|
1.14 | 8.8 | 15 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.8 | 14 |
|
|
1.1 | 10.5 | 19 |
|
|
1.15 | 9.4 | 18 |
|
|
1.14 | 9.2 | 19 |
|
|
1.13 | 9 | 17 |
|
|
1.11 | 10 | 19 |
|
|
1.13 | 8.5 | 17 |
|
|
1.17 | 8.1 | 16.5 |
|
|
1.11 | 9 | 19 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Brest?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Brest match is: Paris Saint-Germain -1.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/02/2025 between PSG and Brest in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.58% for a win of PSG against Brest with odds of 1.19 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Brest is 11.1% with odds of 10.5 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Brest vs PSG with odds of 20 at 1xbet.
PSG - Brest Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Brest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 67.58% | 1.19 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.86% | |
| Both Team To Score | 57.92% | 2.05 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 34.77% | 1.58 at Betsson |
PSG vs Brest Form
PSG and Brest Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
12 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Trophée des Champions
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
15 Jan 2025 - French Cup
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
PSG vs Brest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2024 - French Cup
28 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
PSG - Brest: Form Analysis
Paris Saint-Germain set one foot in the last 16 of this competition last week with a dominant display from the off, and they were already cruising at half-time two goals up.
Vitinha gave Les Parisiens the lead in the 21st minute before the in-form Ousmane Dembele bagged a brace which took him to 23 goals in 29 matches across all competitions.
The hosts also won their Ligue 1 fixture over the weekend 1-0, extending their active win streak to six matches in all competitions, while they are unbeaten in their last 18 dating back to the end of November.
PSG are unbeaten in their last 20 matches against Brest in all competitions!
Meanwhile, despite registering 16 shots at goal last week, Brest only managed two attempts on target and failed to convert either, giving them a mountain to climb in this second leg.
During their winless run against this opponent, Les Pirates have been outscored 51-16 and conceded three or more goals in each of their last four meetings since February last year.
The visitors played out a 2-2 draw against Auxerre at home during the weekend, but they are riding a three-match win streak on the road and kept clean sheets in two of those games.
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PSG against Brest Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Missing players
W. Zaire-Emery
ForwardI. Mbaye
B. Locko
J. Amavi
MidfielderR. Del Castillo
PSG & Brest Squad Analysis
Given their healthy lead in this tie, Luis Enrique may be tempted to hand Khvicha Kvaratskhelia his first start in the Champions League for Les Parisiens this week.
The Georgian international has made four starts in Ligue 1 this season and has notched up a goal and an assist while averaging 2.8 shots per game over that period.
Willian Pacho has played every minute in the Champions League this season since arriving in the summer. The Ecuadorian was solid in defence in the first leg, making three key tackles, including one as the last man to help the side keep their third clean sheet in the competition.
Ousmane Dembele has six goals and one assist in seven Champions League matches!
Brest will be looking for a better performance from their attack in midweek, particularly from Abdallah Sima, who gave away possession 12 times last week before being substituted off just after the hour-mark.
Brendan Chardonnet and Soumaila Coulibaly had a tough day in central defence in the last match, losing seven ground duels combined, while Massadio Haidara lost eight. They are unlikely to find it much easier to deal with Dembele and Bradley Barcola on the road in this one.
Most goals and assists
PSG
Brest
O. Dembélé
(22 Goals)
L. Ajorque
(10 Goals)
A. Hakimi
(10 Assists)
PSG - Brest Key Points
- PSG have won seven of their last 10 games by two clear goals.
- PSG have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 games.
- Brest have conceded two or more goals in five of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Brest have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five Champions League games.
- Brest are winless in their last 20 matches against this opponent.
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Our PSG vs Brest Prediction
Last week’s defeat marked Brest’s 20th consecutive match against this opponent without victory, and during that time, they have been outscored 51-16, which makes it difficult to make much of a case for them to get back in this tie.
PSG have scored three or more goals in each of their last four meetings against Brest and we feel they will add a few more to that tally this week back on their home patch. Our Paris Saint-Germain vs Brest prediction is Paris Saint-Germain -1.
PSG vs Brest - Other Interesting Predictions
Ousmane Dembele to score anytime.
Ousmane Dembele has 28 goal involvements in 29 games across all competitions this season, including scoring six goals in his last three Champions League matches alone.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Brest
| PSG vs Brest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.18 | 1.13 | -4.2% |
| Draw | 7.5 | 9 | +20.0% |
| Brest wins | 13 | 19 | +46.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 84.7% and is now 88.5% (3.7%)
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PSG vs Brest match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between PSG and Brest will be played on February 19 at 20:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between PSG and Brest will take place at Parc des Princes in Paris.
The Champions League match between PSG and Brest will be broadcast live on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the action using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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