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Europe - Champions League

PSG
06 Nov 2024 15:00
Atletico Madrid

Prediction :

 

PSG to win

 
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PSG vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions

19th placed PSG look for three points when hosting Atletico Madrid who are 27th in the Champions League table. Only one point separates the two teams after the first three matches of the league phase of the 2024/25 Champions League. Both have won one match so far but Atletico Madrid head to Paris hoping to avoid a third defeat in four matches.

The Parisians are two points behind the positions that would see them seeded in the play-off round. In terms of automatic qualification for the last 16, PSG are three points adrift of eighth-placed Sporting.  With an away trip to Bayern Munich up next for the French side, a home win over their Spanish opponents would be greatly appreciated. 

Atletico Madrid really need to get something out of this game. Not only do they only have three points but their goal difference is -5 with eight goals conceded in three matches. Here's our match prediction.

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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Atletico Madrid Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.45 4.5 7
Ladbrokes
1.73 3.8 4.5
1xbet
1.5 4.6 6.76
22bet
1.5 4.6 6.76
Betobet
1.49 4.7 6.5
Betwinner
1.78 4 4.1
LSbet
1.78 4 4.1
Stake
1.74 3.75 5
Melbet
1.73 3.82 4.7
Tonybet
1.75 3.8 4.9
Unibet
1.56 4.25 6.25
Betfair
1.44 4.5 6.5
Betsson
1.48 4.85 6.4
William Hill
1.47 4.4 6.5
Vbet
1.49 4.8 6.9
Betway
1.48 4.75 5.75
Check all PSG vs Atletico Madrid odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Atletico Madrid?

Our prediction for the PSG vs Atletico Madrid match is: PSG to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/11/2024 between PSG and Atletico Madrid in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.76% for a win of PSG against Atletico Madrid with odds of 1.78 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Atletico Madrid is 21.28% with odds of 4.85 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 17.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs PSG with odds of 7 at Bet365.

PSG - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:

PSG Atletico Madrid Prediction Probability Odds
PSG wins 60.76% 1.78 at Betwinner
Under 2.5 51.71% 2.6 at Betsson
Both Team To Score 56.25% 1.75 at Ladbrokes
Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG 29.87% 2.62 at Ladbrokes

PSG vs Atletico Madrid Form

PSG and Atletico Madrid's standings in the Champions League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
23
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
6 4 2 0 2 -4
25
PSG
PSG
4 4 1 1 2 -2

PSG and Atletico Madrid Last Matches

PSG
PSG Last matches
L D W D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  0
Lens

27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  3
PSG

22 Oct 2024 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  1
PSV Eindhoven

19 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  2
Strasbourg

6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  1
PSG

1 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  0
PSG
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  0
Lens

22 Oct 2024 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  1
PSV Eindhoven

19 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  2
Strasbourg

27 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Rennes

18 Sep 2024 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  0
Girona

14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Brest
W W D L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  3
PSG

6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  1
PSG

1 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  0
PSG

21 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1

Reims
1 :  1
PSG

1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  3
PSG

16 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  4
PSG
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Last matches
D W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Las Palmas

31 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey

Unio Esportiva Vic
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

27 Oct 2024 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

23 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  3
Lille

20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Leganés

6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid
W W D W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Las Palmas

23 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  3
Lille

20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Leganés

29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Real Madrid

19 Sep 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Leipzig

15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Valencia
D W L D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

31 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey

Unio Esportiva Vic
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

27 Oct 2024 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

2 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  0
Atletico Madrid

26 Sep 2024 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

PSG vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

30 Jul 2018 - International Champions Cup

PSG
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid
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PSG - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis

PSG are unbeaten in their last five league and cup games since losing at Arsenal in the Champions League. Their other two games in this season's competition were both played at home. They needed a 90th minute own-goal to beat Girona 1-0 and then drew 1-1 with PSV.

The Ligue 1 leaders had to come from a goal down to rescue a point against the Dutch side. That draw is the only one of their last seven home games that they have failed to get a win from.

Atletico are struggling in the Champions League.

In the Champions league this season, they have beaten RB Leipzig at home (after trailing) but then lost 4-0 at Benfica. Their most recent Champions League game saw them beaten 3-1 at home by Lille.

Atletico Madrid are third in La Liga but ten points behind Barcelona. The Mattress Makers have won their last two league and Copa del Rey games by a 2-0 scoreline. Before that though they had lost at Real Betis.

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PSG against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11

PSG

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
G. Donnarumma
2
A. Hakimi
5
Marquinhos
51
W. Pacho
25
N. Mendes
33
W. Zaire-Emery
17
Vitinha
87
J. Neves
10
O. Dembele
11
M. Asensio
29
B. Barcola
7
A. Griezmann
19
J. Alvarez
8
P. Barrios
5
R. De Paul
4
C. Gallagher
21
J. Galan
15
C. Lenglet
20
A. Witsel
16
N. Molina
22
G. Simeone
13
J. Oblak

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

Atletico Madrid

Missing players

PSG
PSG
Defender

L. Hernandez

P. Kimpembe

Forward

G. Ramos

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Defender

R. Le Normand

Midfielder

M. Llorente

T. Lemar

PSG & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis

PSG beat Lens 1-0 at home on Saturday and played Matvei Safonov in goal for that match. They will be looking for more goals from Bradley Barcola who has scored eight goals in Ligue 1 this season.

They will still be without striker Goncalo Ramos for this match. He's been unable to play since injuring an ankle in August. Presnel Kimpembe and Lucas Hernandez are also out injured at present.

Alvarez finally starting to score for Atletico.

Atletico Madrid have only won one of their last four away games and that was at Vic in the Copa del Rey. Julian Alvarez is finally finding some form for Atletico, scoring three recent away goals, including two at Vic.

The La Liga side do have some injury concerns and  will be without Marcos Llorente, Cesar Azpilicueta and Robin Le Normand. Tomas Lemar is an injury doubt but Pablo Barrios is expected to continue after returning to the side on Sunday. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato PSG
CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
Top Goalscorer
France B. Barcola (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Alvarez (5 Goals)
Best assists
France O. Dembele (6 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Griezmann (6 Assists)

PSG - Atletico Madrid Key Points

  1. PSG are unbeaten in their last five league and cup games.
  2. Atletico Madrid have lost two of their three Champions League matches.
  3. Atletico Madrid have conceded seven goals in their last two Champions League fixtures.
  4. Atletico Madrid have only won one of their last four away matches.
  5. PSG have won six of their last seven home games.
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Our PSG vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

PSG are a point ahead of their opponents in the Champions League table. They are away to Bayern Munich in their next fixture so three points against PSG will definitely help their chances of a top eight finish.

They are in consistent form at present with their only recent loss being away at Arsenal in this competition. Atletico Madrid only have three points so far and have been conceding far too many goals so far in this season's Champions League with seven in the last two.

Our main PSG v Atletico Madrid prediction is PSG to win.

Prediction :

 

PSG to win

 
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PSG vs Atletico Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions

PSG to win and both teams to score

Odds 3.6
Both teams have scored in three of the last four PSG home games with the Ligue 1 side winning two of them. In the last seven Atletico Madrid Champions League away matches, both sides have scored in five of those games.
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Atletico Madrid

PSG vs Atletico Madrid Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
PSG wins 1.75 1.45 -17.1%
Draw 3.6 4.5 +25.0%
Atletico Madrid wins 4.5 7 +55.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • PSG is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 17.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 69.0% (11.8%)

2 Goals Ahead Early Payout

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PSG vs Atletico Madrid match : Frequently asked questions

This Champions League match between PSG and Atletico Madrid will be played on Wednesday November 6. It's due to start at 20:00 UK time.
This is PSG's third home Champions League game of the season. The match will be played at the Parc de Princes in Paris.
This Champions League fixture between PSG and Atletico Madrid will be shown live on TNT Sports and a subscription is required. You can follow all that's happening on our Champions League livescore with updated stats and live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

PSG vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
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