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PSG vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions
19th placed PSG look for three points when hosting Atletico Madrid who are 27th in the Champions League table. Only one point separates the two teams after the first three matches of the league phase of the 2024/25 Champions League. Both have won one match so far but Atletico Madrid head to Paris hoping to avoid a third defeat in four matches.
The Parisians are two points behind the positions that would see them seeded in the play-off round. In terms of automatic qualification for the last 16, PSG are three points adrift of eighth-placed Sporting. With an away trip to Bayern Munich up next for the French side, a home win over their Spanish opponents would be greatly appreciated.
Atletico Madrid really need to get something out of this game. Not only do they only have three points but their goal difference is -5 with eight goals conceded in three matches. Here's our match prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.45 | 4.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.8 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.6 | 6.76 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.6 | 6.76 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.7 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.78 | 4 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.78 | 4 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.82 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.8 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.85 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.4 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.8 | 6.9 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.25 | 6.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Atletico Madrid match is: PSG to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/11/2024 between PSG and Atletico Madrid in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.76% for a win of PSG against Atletico Madrid with odds of 1.78 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Atletico Madrid is 21.28% with odds of 4.85 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs PSG with odds of 7 at Bet365.
PSG - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 60.76% | 1.78 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 51.71% | 2.6 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 29.87% | 2.62 at Ladbrokes |
PSG vs Atletico Madrid Form
PSG and Atletico Madrid's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
|
25
|
7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
PSG and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
21 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
31 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
27 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
27 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
26 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
PSG vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
30 Jul 2018 - International Champions Cup
PSG - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis
PSG are unbeaten in their last five league and cup games since losing at Arsenal in the Champions League. Their other two games in this season's competition were both played at home. They needed a 90th minute own-goal to beat Girona 1-0 and then drew 1-1 with PSV.
The Ligue 1 leaders had to come from a goal down to rescue a point against the Dutch side. That draw is the only one of their last seven home games that they have failed to get a win from.
Atletico are struggling in the Champions League.
In the Champions league this season, they have beaten RB Leipzig at home (after trailing) but then lost 4-0 at Benfica. Their most recent Champions League game saw them beaten 3-1 at home by Lille.
Atletico Madrid are third in La Liga but ten points behind Barcelona. The Mattress Makers have won their last two league and Copa del Rey games by a 2-0 scoreline. Before that though they had lost at Real Betis.
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PSG against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
PSG & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis
PSG beat Lens 1-0 at home on Saturday and played Matvei Safonov in goal for that match. They will be looking for more goals from Bradley Barcola who has scored eight goals in Ligue 1 this season.
They will still be without striker Goncalo Ramos for this match. He's been unable to play since injuring an ankle in August. Presnel Kimpembe and Lucas Hernandez are also out injured at present.
Alvarez finally starting to score for Atletico.
Atletico Madrid have only won one of their last four away games and that was at Vic in the Copa del Rey. Julian Alvarez is finally finding some form for Atletico, scoring three recent away goals, including two at Vic.
The La Liga side do have some injury concerns and will be without Marcos Llorente, Cesar Azpilicueta and Robin Le Normand. Tomas Lemar is an injury doubt but Pablo Barrios is expected to continue after returning to the side on Sunday.
Most goals and assists
PSG
Atletico Madrid
B. Barcola
(10 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(11 Goals)
A. Hakimi
(7 Assists)
A. Griezmann
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Llorente
(6 Assists)
PSG - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- PSG are unbeaten in their last five league and cup games.
- Atletico Madrid have lost two of their three Champions League matches.
- Atletico Madrid have conceded seven goals in their last two Champions League fixtures.
- Atletico Madrid have only won one of their last four away matches.
- PSG have won six of their last seven home games.
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Our PSG vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
PSG are a point ahead of their opponents in the Champions League table. They are away to Bayern Munich in their next fixture so three points against PSG will definitely help their chances of a top eight finish.
They are in consistent form at present with their only recent loss being away at Arsenal in this competition. Atletico Madrid only have three points so far and have been conceding far too many goals so far in this season's Champions League with seven in the last two.
Our main PSG v Atletico Madrid prediction is PSG to win.
PSG vs Atletico Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
PSG to win and both teams to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Atletico Madrid
| PSG vs Atletico Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.75 | 1.45 | -17.1% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 4.5 | +25.0% |
| Atletico Madrid wins | 4.5 | 7 | +55.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 17.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 69.0% (11.8%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
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PSG vs Atletico Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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