England - FA Cup
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by Ian John in FA Cup Predictions
The FA Cup Fifth-round returns to Deepdale this weekend with two of Lancashire’s finest set to meet up. Preston North End host Burnley just a couple of weeks on from their second league encounter of the season. Will the Lilywhites and Clarets give us yet another low-scoring, tight contest, or will the lure of a place in the last eight of the FA Cup see our match prediction favour a winner?
Coming into this game, Preston lie 15th in the Championship table (42 pts from 34 games), while Burnley occupy third (68 points from 34 games). Both league matches between the two this season finished in 0-0 draws.
Preston reached the fifth round after beating Wycombe on penalties after a 0-0 draw at Deepdale. They had another home game in the fourth round against League One opposition, beating Charlton 2-1. However, they have won one of their next four games and last weekend were beaten 2-1 away to Coventry City in the league.
Burnley’s season has been built on a record-breaking defensive effort, with just nine goals conceded in the league and 12 in all competitions. They beat Southampton 1-0 away from home in the third round and then followed that up with another away win, 3-1 at Reading in the fourth.
Their unbeaten run now stretches to 23 games in all competitions and the Clarets have conceded just four goals in that run of matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Preston North End v Burnley Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.2 | 2.45 |
|
|
3 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.15 | 2.8 |
|
|
3.18 | 3.26 | 2.42 |
|
|
3.18 | 3.26 | 2.42 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Preston North End and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Preston North End vs Burnley match is: Burnley to win and BTTS - No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/03/2025 between Preston North End and Burnley in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.88% for a win of Preston North End against Burnley with odds of 4 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Preston North End vs Burnley is 43.28% with odds of 3.26 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Preston North End with odds of 2.8 at Ladbrokes.
Preston North End - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Preston North End Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 43.28% | 3.26 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 63.76% | 2.06 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 35.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 24.39% | 4.2 at Betsson |
Preston North End vs Burnley Form
Preston North End and Burnley Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
18 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
31 Jan 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
14 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
31 Jan 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2025 - Championship
18 Feb 2025 - Professional Development League
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Professional Development League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2025 - Championship
18 Feb 2025 - Professional Development League
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
4 Feb 2025 - Championship
4 Feb 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
27 Jan 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Professional Development League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
28 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League
22 Jan 2025 - Championship
Preston North End vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
11 Feb 2023 - Championship
Preston North End against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Preston North End
Burnley
M. Osmajic
(11 Goals)
J. Brownhill
(16 Goals)
M. Frokjaer-Jensen
(5 Assists)
J. Anthony
(8 Assists)
Preston North End - Burnley Key Points
- Burnley are unbeaten in 23 games in League and FA Cup, a run stretching back to November 3rd.
- Preston have won just one of their last six games (1-0 away to Norwich), losing two, drawing two.
- Burnley have conceded just one goal in their last 14 League and FA Cup games.
- Both teams have scored in just one of the last seven games between these two teams.
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Our Preston North End vs Burnley Prediction
Our prediction for the Preston North End vs. Burnley FA Cup match is: Burnley to win and BTTS - No.
Two things stand out in this fixture. One just how few goals Burnley concede (12 in all competitions this season) and the fact both games between the two in the league finished 0-0. However, a draw won't be enough to progress into the quarter-finals here. The data suggests a very close game once again, but with a spot in the last eight on the line, we predict Burnley will do just enough to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Preston North End Burnley
| Preston North End vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston North End wins | 3.5 | 3 | -14.3% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.2 | +3.2% |
| Burnley wins | 2.15 | 2.45 | +14.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 31.3% (-1.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Preston North End vs. Burnley game!
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Try your luck on this year's FA Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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