England - Carabao Cup
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Preston North End vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Ian John in Carabao Cup Predictions
It’s a big week of Carabao Cup action coming up in England, so let’s check out our match prediction as Championship Preston host Premier League title challengers Arsenal at Deepdale on Wednesday night! Will the Lilywhites cause a stunning upset against what is likely to be a young Gunners team? Let’s see what the data suggests!
Preston come into the game on the back of two high scoring draws, 2-2 at home to Norwich and then 3-3 away to Plymouth at the weekend. A game which they led 3-0 before conceding three second-half goals to take just a point from the long trip to Devon. They will be well aware of the need to improve defensively against tonight's Premier League opponents.
Arsenal’s recent form is something of a mixed bag. They were beaten 2-0 away to Bournemouth last weekend, but earned a 1-0 win in the Champions League over Shakhtar on Tuesday and at the weekend were held 2-2 by Liverpool at the Emirates in a pulsating Premier League clash. Prior to those three games, the Gunners had won four games in a row and they have been beaten just the once this season in all competitions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Preston North End v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9 | 5.5 | 1.3 |
|
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6.5 | 3.1 | 1.57 |
|
|
12.3 | 6.45 | 1.25 |
|
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12.3 | 6.45 | 1.25 |
|
|
7.25 | 4.7 | 1.4 |
|
|
12.5 | 6.65 | 1.21 |
|
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12.5 | 6.65 | 1.21 |
|
|
8.2 | 5 | 1.32 |
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12 | 6.35 | 1.23 |
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10 | 6.2 | 1.25 |
|
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9 | 5.25 | 1.3 |
|
|
8.5 | 4.9 | 1.36 |
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10.5 | 5.5 | 1.29 |
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10 | 5.5 | 1.32 |
|
|
10 | 5.25 | 1.24 |
|
|
10 | 5.5 | 1.33 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Preston North End and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Preston North End vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal to win and Over 3.5 Goals
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/10/2024 between Preston North End and Arsenal in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.77% for a win of Preston North End against Arsenal with odds of 12.5 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Preston North End vs Arsenal is 37.11% with odds of 6.65 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Preston North End with odds of 1.57 at Ladbrokes.
Preston North End - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Preston North End Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37.11% | 6.65 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 55.56% | 2.62 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 38.1% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 18.69% | 7.5 at Bet365 |
Preston North End vs Arsenal Form
Preston North End and Arsenal Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
2 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
2 Oct 2024 - Championship
22 Sep 2024 - Championship
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Preston North End - Arsenal: Form Analysis
In the Carabao Cup, Preston have been amongst the goals as they have progressed through the rounds to reach the Round of 16.
They have not had an easy run either, drawing Championship leaders Sunderland in the First Round, but earning a 2-0 win at Deepdale. The Second round saw a trip to Harrogate where they emerged with a comfortable 5-0 win.
Next up was Premier League Fulham and after a 1-1 draw, an incredible penalty shoot-out took place with Preston outlasting their visitors, winning 16-15. In the seven games since then, Preston have lost just once (3-1 at Millwall). A pleasing run for manager Paul Heckingbottom.
He will have to set a new precedent here however:
Preston have not got past the Fourth round of this competition in their history.
Arsenal have played just the one Carabao Cup game, as they entered the tournament in the Third round. They thrashed League One Bolton 5-1 at the Emirates, with Arsenal’s young team putting the Trotters to the sword.
Somewhat strangely, given their excellent FA Cup pedigree, Arsenal have won this competition just twice previously, in 1987 (beating Liverpool) and in 1993 (where they beat Sheffield Wednesday). They have been beaten finalists on six occasions.
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Players list
F. Woodman
DefenderK. Best
B. Potts
J. Whatmough
J. Storey
MidfielderD. Holmes
J. Okkels
R. Ledson
M. Frokjaer-Jensen
ForwardE. Riis
S. Thordarson
T. Setford
DefenderW. Saliba
T. Partey
J. Kiwior
M. Lewis-Skelly
MidfielderJorginho
K. Havertz
ForwardB. Saka
A. Heaven
R. Sterling
G. Jesus
Substitutes
D. Cornell
DefenderJ. Storey
K. Best
B. Potts
A. McCann
B. Whiteman
M. Frokjaer-Jensen
E. Riis
L. Stewart
D. Raya
DefenderA. Heaven
J. Nichols
MidfielderD. Rice
T. Partey
L. Trossard
M. Lewis-Skelly
K. Havertz
B. Saka
Preston North End & Arsenal Squad Analysis
It will be interesting to see how strong the side is that Paul Heckingbottom picks for this game. He will be without Ched Evans, Patrick Bauer, Will Keane and Robbie Brady for certain. Another absentee is striker Milutin Osmajic, who is serving an eight-game ban for biting Blackburn’s Owen Beck a few weeks ago.
On a more positive note, Josh Bowler was absent at the weekend through illness but he should be fit enough to return to the team, perhaps starting in place of Brady.
Striker Sam Greenwood could be in line for a start in attack.
Arsenal will be without several players through injury for this game with Preston. Gabriel (knee), Riccardo Calafiori (knee), Martin Odegaard (ankle), Takehiro Tomiyasu (knee) and Kieran Tierney (hamstring) are all absent and it is unlikely a number of other first team regulars, such as Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka and Emi Martinez will start.
With reserve keeper Neto cup-tied, Tommy Setford may get the nod in goal ahead of 16-year-old Jack Porter for this game.
Veterans Jorginho, Raheem Sterling and Gabriel Jesus will likely get a start along with youngsters Myles Lewis-Skelly, Josh Nichols and Ethan Nwaneri. Defender William Saliba may play some part as he was suspended for the draw with Liverpool at the weekend.
Most goals and assists
Preston North End
Arsenal
M. Osmajic
(7 Goals)
K. Havertz
(11 Goals)
E. Riis
(2 Assists)
, 
B. Potts
(2 Assists)
,
S. Greenwood
(2 Assists)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
Preston North End - Arsenal Key Points
- The last two Preston North End games have averaged five goals per game.
- Five of Arsenal's last eight games have seen Over 3.5 Goals Scored.
- The last three Arsenal vs Preston matches have averaged four goals per game.
- Preston are the joint-highest scorers in the Carabao Cup this season with eight goals (in three games).
- Arsenal have won all the last three matches between the two teams.
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Our Preston North End vs Arsenal Prediction
Our prediction for the Preston North End vs. Arsenal Carabao Cup Round of 16 tie is: Arsenal to win and Over 3.5 Goals.
A young Gunners team put five past Bolton in the last round and the likelihood is that they will put Preston to the sword in this Round of 16 tie. Preston have been amongst the goals of late themselves, but have also been conceding. Arsenal should win the game comfortably and the data suggests a fair few goals will be scored in the match.
Preston North End vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Raheem Sterling (Arsenal) to score at any time.
Alongside a number of younger players, Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta is likely to play some squad members who need a game and Raheem Sterling is certainly one of them. The on-loan Chelsea star scored in the last round against Bolton and will be keen to impress if given an opportunity here as first team chances have been limited in the Premier League for him.
He looks a good bet to start the game and also grab a goal at some point.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Preston North End Arsenal
| Preston North End vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston North End wins | 11 | 9 | -18.2% |
| Draw | 7 | 5.5 | -21.4% |
| Arsenal wins | 1.2 | 1.3 | +8.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 21.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 14.3% and is now 18.2% (3.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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