Portugal vs Scotland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Steve Ashfield in UEFA Nations League Predictions
These two countries had contrasting first matches in this Nations League group. Portugal had a home win over Croatia, while Scotland were beaten 3-2 at Hampden Park by Poland. Now they face each other in Lisbon. Let's take a closer look at this match between A Seleção and the Tartan Army.
The rules in the Nations League have seen some changes this year. The top two in each group in League A will qualify for the quarter-finals. This is an A1 match and Portugal will be in a great position if they can get a second win.
Scotland are the only country from the UK that are in League A this season. Another loss here will see them facing a battle to avoid either finishing third and going into the relegation play-offs or bottom and being automatically relegated.
As you will soon read, the Scots are not in the best of form at present and face a tough battle here to even get a point. Can they manage to do that? You'll find all of the details below.
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The Best Betting Odds for Portugal v Scotland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
1.44 | 3.25 | 9 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.88 | 15.5 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.88 | 15.5 |
|
|
1.2 | 6 | 15 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.15 | 12 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.4 | 14 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.65 | 15 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.4 | 14 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Portugal and Scotland?
Our prediction for the Portugal vs Scotland match is: Portugal to win and lead at both half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/09/2024 between Portugal and Scotland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.46% for a win of Portugal against Scotland with odds of 1.44 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portugal vs Scotland is 19.9% with odds of 6.88 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Scotland vs Portugal with odds of 15.5 at 1xbet.
Portugal - Scotland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Portugal Scotland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Portugal wins | 65.46% | 1.44 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.91% | 1.83 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | 2.4 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Portugal/Portugal | 35.94% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
Portugal vs Scotland Form
Portugal and Scotland's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 |
Portugal and Scotland Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
18 Jun 2024 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
23 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
14 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Portugal against Scotland : Head to Head (H2H)
14 Oct 2018 - International Friendlies
Portugal - Scotland: Form Analysis
Portugal beat Croatia 2-1 at home in their opening Nations League game with Cristiano Ronaldo scoring the winner. That ended a run of three games without a win and failing to score in any of them.
They won the first ever Nations League in 2019 but have failed to get past the group stage since then. With three points in the bag already, they will certainly be confident of making it into the last eight this season.
Portugal have only been beaten once at home since 2022.
In the Nations League, seven of their ten home games have ended in victory with only France and Spain beating them. Only one home game has been lost since September 2022 with 13 games played.
Scotland have been struggling with their form for some time now. Only one of their last 13 internationals has been won and that was against Gibraltar. They failed to make it out of their group in the Euros this summer.
Thursday saw them suffer a heartbreaking 3-2 home loss to Poland. They fought back from 2-0 down to level but then conceded a 97th minute goal giving Poland the three points. They've only ever won one away Nations League game.
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Portugal against Scotland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
Vitinha
Portugal & Scotland Squad Analysis
Portugal won their opening game and could well rotate their squad for this match. Joao Neves and Nelson Semedo both came on at half time on Thursday and may well start this game against Scotland.
Roberto Martinez has a strong squad so he does have the luxury of being able to make a few changes without weakening the strength of his starting line-up. Francisco Trincao and Pedro Goncalves are also in contention to begin the match.
Scotland have several selection problems for this game.
Scotland are already in trouble in this group and a loss here would see them facing a relegation battle rather than reaching the quarter-finals. Coach Steve Clarke has some selection problems ahead of this trip to Portugal.
Since the Euros they have lost their captain Callum McGregor who has retired from international duty. Kieran Tierney and Che Adams are both out injured which doesn't help their cause at all.
Ben Doak and Ryan Gauld both made their debuts for Scotland against Poland on Thursday. Lawrence Shankland and Lyndon Dykes are also in with a chance of playing against Portugal.
Portugal - Scotland Key Points
- Portugal have only lost one of their last 13 home games.
- Scotland have gone five matches without a win.
- In their last 13 matches Scotland have only beaten Gibraltar.
- Scotland have only scored in one of their last five away Nations League matches.
- Portugal have won their last three matches against Scotland with ten goals scored.
- Portugal have never lost at home to Scotland with the last six all won.
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Our Portugal vs Scotland Prediction
Portugal will want to make it two wins out of two in this Nations League group. A win over Scotland will put them in a tremendous position as far as qualifying for the quarter-finals of this tournament.
Cristiano Ronaldo is still in excellent form and Portugal are a difficult team to beat on home soil. Scotland nearly drew with Poland but lost to a 97th minute goal. They continue to be in poor form and have selection problems. Our main Portugal v Scotland prediction is Portugal to win and lead at both half and full time.
Portugal vs Scotland - Other Interesting Predictions
Portugal to win and over 2.5 goals scored
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Portugal Scotland
| Portugal vs Scotland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal wins | 1.22 | 1.25 | +2.5% |
| Draw | 5.75 | 6 | +4.3% |
| Scotland wins | 13 | 11 | -15.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Portugal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 80.0% (-2.0%)
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Portugal vs Scotland match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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