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Portugal vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Steve Ashfield in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Portugal are home to Poland in their penultimate match in this Nations League group. The home side go into this match three points clear of second-placed Croatia in this League A group. Poland are third (the relegation play-off position) six points behind Portugal. They are three points ahead of Scotland who are in the automatic relegation spot and travel to Poland for their final match of this group.
The Portuguese side end this group with a trip to Croatia who they beat 2-1 at home earlier in this group. The top two in the group go into the quarter-finals so Portugal will be in the last eight if they can manage to avoid defeat in this home match against Poland. They have won three and drawn one of their four matches so far and will the Lusitanians will be confident of progressing into the knockout stages. Read our match prediction below.
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The Best Betting Odds for Portugal v Poland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 6 | 12 |
|
|
1.22 | 6 | 10 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.71 | 13.3 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.71 | 13.3 |
|
|
1.23 | 6 | 12 |
|
|
1.27 | 6.2 | 11 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.45 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.2 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.75 | 10 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.4 | 12 |
|
|
1.2 | 6 | 13 |
|
|
1.26 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
1.22 | 5.8 | 11 |
|
|
1.27 | 6.3 | 12 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Portugal and Poland?
Our prediction for the Portugal vs Poland match is: Portugal to win and lead at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/11/2024 between Portugal and Poland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.63% for a win of Portugal against Poland with odds of 1.27 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portugal vs Poland is 30.01% with odds of 6.71 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Poland vs Portugal with odds of 13.3 at 1xbet.
Portugal vs Poland Form
Portugal and Poland's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
|
3
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
Portugal and Poland Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
18 Jun 2024 - Euro
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
Portugal vs Poland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
20 Nov 2018 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League
Portugal - Poland: Form Analysis
Over 90 minutes, Portugal are unbeaten in their last six matches since a loss to Georgia in the European Championships. They have won both of their home games in this Nations League group by a 2-1 scoreline. After beating Croatia in their opening group game, they also beat Scotland 2-1 but had to come from behind to get that win with Cristiano Ronaldo getting the late winner.
The reverse fixture against Poland saw them get a comfortable 3-1 victory with Ronaldo (three goals in this group) again being on the scoresheet. They have only lost one of their last 15 home games.
Poland needs to win this match.
Poland are three points behind second placed Croatia and only earned one point against them in their two group games. That makes qualification difficult and they really need to win this game and then get something from their final game at home to Scotland. They have gone three games without a win and in the last two matches have seen three goals put past them. Only one of their last seven Nations League away matches has been won.
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Portugal vs Poland last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Portugal & Poland Squad Analysis
Portugal have defensive problems ahead of this Nations League home game against Poland. Both Ruben Dias and Goncalo Inacio will miss this match, their last home fixture in the group. A possible replacement at centre-back is the Benfica defender Antonio Silva. He hasn't been playing that many games for his club side though but is the most experienced potential replacement. Both Tomas Araujo and Tiago Djalo are yet to be capped by Portugal.
Also out of this match for Portugal are Diogo Jota and Goncalo Ramos. There are some absentees in midfield too with Pedro Goncalves, Matheus Nunes and Ruben Neves all absent. Cristiano Ronaldo is fit though and will hope to again be on the scoresheet.
Lewandowski absent for Poland in this match.
Poland have suffered a major blow with the late withdrawal of top striker Robert Lewandowski. The Barcelona player has a lower back issue and that's ruled him out of this match. He's likely to be replaced by either Krzysztof Piatek or Karol Swiderski.
The away side also has problems in their midfield department with Kacper Koziowski and Jakub Piotrowski unavailable for this match. Also absent will be Pawel Dawidowicz who had to go off in the first half of their match against Croatia in October.
Most goals and assists
Portugal
Poland
Cristiano Ronaldo
(3 Goals)
S. Szymanski
(2 Goals)
,
N. Zalewski
(2 Goals)
,
P. Zielinski
(2 Goals)
B. Fernandes
(2 Assists)
,
N. Mendes
(2 Assists)
K. Urbanski
(2 Assists)
,
R. Lewandowski
(2 Assists)
Portugal and Poland Stats in UEFA Nations League
Portugal - Poland Key Points
- Portugal are top of this group, six points ahead of Poland.
- Portugal have won three of their four matches in this group.
- Portugal won the reverse fixture 3-1.
- Poland will be without top striker Robert Lewandowski.
- Poland have gone three matches without a win.
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Our Portugal vs Poland Prediction
A draw will take Portugal into the quarter-finals of the Nations League. The group leaders would prefer to stay in that position and still have to travel to second-placed Croatia. A win here will go a long way to ensuring they finish group leaders.
They beat Poland 3-1 in the reverse fixture and face a Polish side that will be without their top striker Robert Lewandowski. That's going to be a big loss for the Poles who are battling to get into the top two but more likely will end up in at least the relegation play-offs.
Our main Portugal v Poland prediction is Portugal to win and lead at half and full time.
Portugal vs Poland - Other Interesting Predictions
Cristiano Ronaldo to score
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Portugal vs Poland match : Frequently asked questions
This match between Portugal and Poland is a home match for the Portuguese side. They will be playing the game at the Estadio do Dragao which is Porto's home ground.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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