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Portugal vs Croatia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Devesh Jaganath in UEFA Nations League Predictions
The eagerly awaited 2024-25 Nations League is set to get underway this week and one of the standout matches on Thursday will see Portugal taking on Croatia at Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica. A Selecao and Vatreni are drawn into League A Group 1, which also features Poland and Scotland. Check out our match prediction below.
Portugal will enter this season’s Nations League hoping for a better performance than the last edition when they finished second in the group to eventual winners Spain. Croatia, on the other hand, will be aiming to go one better than the last time when they lost to La Roja in the final on penalties.
Os Navegadores are the clear favourites at the books for this headline matchup on opening day but, as we have seen time and again, Kockasti can never be counted out too early. Let’s get into the key stats and insights.
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The Best Betting Odds for Portugal v Croatia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.53 | 4.1 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.83 | 2.7 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.2 | 6.63 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.2 | 6.63 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.1 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.16 | 6.45 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.16 | 6.45 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.5 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.2 | 6.05 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.2 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.4 | 6 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.2 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.5 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.47 | 4 | 6 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.8 | 6.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Portugal and Croatia?
Our prediction for the Portugal vs Croatia match is: Over 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2024 between Portugal and Croatia in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.49% for a win of Portugal against Croatia with odds of 1.83 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portugal vs Croatia is 25.81% with odds of 4.5 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Croatia vs Portugal with odds of 6.63 at 1xbet.
Portugal - Croatia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Portugal Croatia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Portugal wins | 43.49% | 1.83 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.38% | 2 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Portugal | 19.02% | 4.5 at Betfair |
Portugal vs Croatia Form
Portugal and Croatia's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
|
2
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Portugal and Croatia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
18 Jun 2024 - Euro
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
18 Jun 2024 - Euro
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
8 Sep 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
15 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
8 Sep 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
Portugal vs Croatia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
25 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2018 - International Friendlies
Portugal - Croatia: Form Analysis
Portugal come into this competition off the back of another solid but fruitless performance at the European Championship where they reached the quarter-final but were knocked out on penalties by France.
A Selecao’s run to the last eight of the continental competition included two wins and a loss in the group stage, followed by a victory over Slovenia before bowing out to Les Bleus.
Excluding the Euros and World Cup, Portugal have a very good record on home soil with just one defeat conceded in their last 10 matches.
However, the only team to beat Portugal on their home patch in those 10 games was Croatia!
The Checkered Ones, meanwhile, had an uncharacteristically poor European Championship, as they were knocked out of the competition in the group stage and failed to win any of their three matches.
In their defence, though, the Croats were drawn into what many considered the group of death alongside tournament winners Spain, Italy and Albania.
Zlatko Dalic’s side now have a record of six wins, two draws and two losses in their last 10 matches in all competitions, though they are on a four-match winning streak on the road - an away record that extends back to November last year.
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Portugal against Croatia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1
Missing players
N. Tavares
Portugal & Croatia Squad Analysis
Roberto Martinez has opted to bring in some fresh blood for the Nations League, calling up the likes of Renato Veiga, Tiago Santos and 17-year-old sensation Geovany Quenda of Sporting Lisbon.
Some of the notable exclusions for the hosts include Joao Cancelo, who now plays for Saudi Pro League champions Al-Hilal as well as Danilo Pereira and Francisco Conceicao.
Bernardo Silva scored three goals in the Euro 2024 qualifiers and one at the tournament in Germany!
One of the somewhat surprising selections for Croatia was that of veteran Ivan Perisic, given that he is currently without a club after departing from Hajduk Split in his homeland.
Elsewhere, Dalic will have to make do without the services of stalwarts Domagoj Vida and Marcelo Brozovic, the latter of whom hung up his boots on international competition after the Euros.
Most goals and assists
Portugal
Croatia
Cristiano Ronaldo
(5 Goals)
A. Kramaric
(1 Goals)
,
I. Matanovic
(1 Goals)
,
B. Sosa
(1 Goals)
,
M. Baturina
(1 Goals)
,
P. Sucic
(1 Goals)
,
J. Gvardiol
(1 Goals)
,
L. Modric
(1 Goals)
Vitinha
(3 Assists)
,
N. Mendes
(3 Assists)
K. Jakic
(1 Assists)
,
M. Baturina
(1 Assists)
,
P. Sucic
(1 Assists)
Portugal - Croatia Key Points
- Six of Portugal’s last 10 matches have ended with over 2.5 goals scored.
- Portugal have scored two or more goals in nine of their last 10 home games.
- Six of Croatia’s last 10 matches have ended with over 2.5 goals scored.
- Croatia have only failed to score in one of their last eight away games.
- Each of the last three matches between these sides have ended with over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Portugal vs Croatia Prediction
While both these sides had fairly underwhelming European Championships, matches between them in recent times have been full of goals with 13 hitting the back of the net in the last three encounters.
Portugal, in particular, will be looking to unleash their attacking power on home soil here against a Croatia side that are in a bit of a transitionary period at the moment. Our Portugal vs Croatia prediction: Over 2.5!
Portugal vs Croatia - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Both teams have scored in each of the last three encounters between these European giants.
Portugal win
Portugal have won nine of their last 10 matches on home soil and scored two or more goals in each of those victories.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Portugal Croatia
| Portugal vs Croatia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal wins | 1.53 | 1.53 | 0% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.1 | +2.5% |
| Croatia wins | 6.5 | 6.25 | -3.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Portugal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 65.4% (0.0%)
Use £30 free bets for the Portugal vs. Croatia game!
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Try your luck on this year's UEFA Nations League! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Portugal vs Croatia match : Frequently asked questions
The Nations League match between Portugal and Croatia will be played on September 5 at 19:45 GMT.
The Nations League match between Portugal and Croatia will take place at Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica in Lisbon.
The Nations League match between Portugal and Croatia will be broadcast live in the UK on Premier Sports.
You can also keep up-to-the-minute with all the Nations League Liverscores right here on SportyTrader!
Halil Meler will take charge of this match with the assistance of Kerem Ersoy, Ibrahim Uyarcan and Arda Kardesler as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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