England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions
Championship leaders Leeds United travel to 17th placed Portsmouth on Sunday. Leeds begin the weekend three points clear at the top and with a far superior goal difference. Can the Whites win on the south coast? Read our match prediction.
United may only be ahead on goal difference by the time this match begins. That will be so if Sheffield United beat Preston North End on Saturday. Leeds are unbeaten in their last 17 league games. They'd won five in a row before last weekend's home draw with West Brom.
Each of their last three away Championship fixtures have been won and nine goals have been scored. Eight away league games have now been won this season with only Middlesbrough scoring more goals on the road.
Portsmouth started the season slowly and the newly-promoted club were in the relegation zone. Pompey have recovered well though and a form guide for the last 20 league games has them in 13th place.
They are now eight points above the relegation zone despite losing 1-0 at Luton in midweek. Before that match they had won their last three league fixtures but all against sides iin the bottom half of the table.
We tip Leeds to win this and over 2.5 goals in the match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Portsmouth v Leeds Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.5 | 4.5 | 1.42 |
|
|
8 | 5 | 1.36 |
|
|
7.5 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
|
|
8.03 | 4.63 | 1.45 |
|
|
8.03 | 4.63 | 1.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Portsmouth and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Portsmouth vs Leeds match is: Leeds to win and over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/03/2025 between Portsmouth and Leeds in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.67% for a win of Portsmouth against Leeds with odds of 8.03 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portsmouth vs Leeds is 30.56% with odds of 5 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Portsmouth with odds of 1.45 at 1xbet.
Portsmouth - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:
| Portsmouth Leeds Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 43.78% | 1.45 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.4% | 1.99 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time : Portsmouth / Full-time : Leeds | 15.71% | 21 at Bet365 |
Portsmouth vs Leeds Form
Portsmouth and Leeds's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
94 | 44 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 60 |
|
16
|
53 | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | -13 |
Portsmouth and Leeds Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
28 Jan 2025 - Championship
22 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
15 Jan 2025 - Championship
10 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
24 Feb 2025 - Championship
17 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
5 Feb 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
17 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
22 Jan 2025 - Championship
19 Jan 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
5 Feb 2025 - Championship
27 Jan 2025 - Championship
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
Portsmouth vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
Players list
N. Schmid
DefenderK. Yengi
R. Poole
C. Ogilvie
MidfielderM. Pack
F. Potts
I. Hayden
C. Bramall
T. Devlin
J. Murphy
ForwardC. Bishop
I. Meslier
DefenderS. Byram
J. Rodon
P. Struijk
J. Firpo
MidfielderJ. Rothwell
G. Wilfried
Mateo Joseph
L. Ramazani
ForwardD. James
J. Piroe
Substitutes
J. Archer
DefenderC. Bramall
I. Hayden
R. Towler
T. Devlin
M. O'Mahony
K. Yengi
K. Gordon
T. Waddingham
K. Darlow
DefenderJ. Guilavogui
J. Debayo
S. Byram
I. Schmidt
J. Rothwell
G. Wilfried
L. Ramazani
Mateo Joseph
Most goals and assists
Portsmouth
Leeds
C. Bishop
(11 Goals)
J. Piroe
(19 Goals)
J. Murphy
(15 Assists)
M. Solomon
(12 Assists)
Portsmouth - Leeds Key Points
- Four of the last five Leeds away league games have had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Leeds have won eight away league games this season.
- Four of the last five Leeds league wins saw at least three goals scored.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in seven of the last 11 Portsmouth league matches.
- Portsmouth have lost four home league matches, three of them had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Our Portsmouth vs Leeds Prediction
Leeds are in a great position at the top of the Championship. They are league leaders and scored 72 goals in their 35 league fixtures. United are on a 17-game unbeaten league run and have scored nine goals in their last three away games, including three at second-placed Sheffeld United.
Portsmouth have improved in the second half of the table and aren't easy to beat at Fratton Park. Leeds are in top form though and our Portsmouth v Leeds prediction is Leeds to win and over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Portsmouth Leeds
| Portsmouth vs Leeds | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth wins | 5.25 | 7.5 | +42.9% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.5 | +3.9% |
| Leeds wins | 1.53 | 1.42 | -7.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leeds is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 70.4% (5.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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