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England - Championship

Portsmouth
09/03/2025 05:00
Leeds

Prediction :

 

Leeds to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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Portsmouth vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions

Championship leaders Leeds United travel to 17th placed Portsmouth on Sunday. Leeds begin the weekend three points clear at the top and with a far superior goal difference. Can the Whites win on the south coast? Read our match prediction.

United may only be ahead on goal difference by the time this match begins. That will be so if Sheffield United beat Preston North End on Saturday. Leeds are unbeaten in their last 17 league games. They'd won five in a row before last weekend's home draw with West Brom.

Each of their last three away Championship fixtures have been won and nine goals have been scored. Eight away league games have now been won this season with only Middlesbrough scoring more goals on the road.

Portsmouth started the season slowly and the newly-promoted club were in the relegation zone. Pompey have recovered well though and a form guide for the last 20 league games has them in 13th place.

They are now eight points above the relegation zone despite losing 1-0 at Luton in midweek. Before that match they had won their last three league fixtures but all against sides iin the bottom half of the table.

We tip Leeds to win this and over 2.5 goals in the match.

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The Best Betting Odds for Portsmouth v Leeds Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
7.5 4.5 1.42
Betfred
8 5 1.36
Ladbrokes
7.5 4.6 1.4
1xbet
8.03 4.63 1.45
22bet
8.03 4.63 1.45
Betobet
7.75 4.6 1.42
Betwinner
8 4.78 1.39
LSbet
8 4.78 1.39
Stake
7.6 4.7 1.39
Melbet
7.8 4.52 1.42
Tonybet
7.8 4.8 1.42
Vbet
7.6 4.75 1.41
Betway
7 4.5 1.4
Unibet
7.5 4.9 1.36
William Hill
8 4.33 1.4
Check all Portsmouth vs Leeds odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Portsmouth and Leeds?

Our prediction for the Portsmouth vs Leeds match is: Leeds to win and over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/03/2025 between Portsmouth and Leeds in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.67% for a win of Portsmouth against Leeds with odds of 8.03 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portsmouth vs Leeds is 30.56% with odds of 5 at Betfred.
  • Our prediction model gives a 43.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Portsmouth with odds of 1.45 at 1xbet.

Portsmouth - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:

Portsmouth Leeds Prediction Probability Odds
Leeds wins 43.78% 1.45 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 59.4% 1.99 at Stake
Both Team To Score 56.25% 2.05 at Ladbrokes
Half-time : Portsmouth / Full-time : Leeds 15.71% 21 at Bet365

Portsmouth vs Leeds Form

Portsmouth and Leeds's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Leeds
Leeds
76 35 22 10 3 50
17
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
39 35 10 9 16 -14

Portsmouth and Leeds Last Matches

Portsmouth
Portsmouth Last matches
D L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
1 :  0
Portsmouth

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
QPR

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  2
Portsmouth

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Cardiff

8 Feb 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
2 :  1
Portsmouth

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  0
Burnley
W W L D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
QPR

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Cardiff

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  0
Burnley

28 Jan 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Millwall

22 Jan 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
3 :  1
Stoke

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Middlesbrough
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
1 :  0
Portsmouth

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  2
Portsmouth

8 Feb 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
2 :  1
Portsmouth

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

West Brom
5 :  1
Portsmouth

15 Jan 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
3 :  0
Portsmouth

10 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Wycombe Wanderers
2 :  0
Portsmouth
Leeds
Leeds Last matches
W L W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
1 :  1
West Brom

24 Feb 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  3
Leeds

17 Feb 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  1
Sunderland

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Watford
0 :  4
Leeds

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Leeds
0 :  2
Millwall

5 Feb 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
0 :  2
Leeds
W W W L W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
1 :  1
West Brom

17 Feb 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  1
Sunderland

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Leeds
0 :  2
Millwall

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Leeds
7 :  0
Cardiff

22 Jan 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Norwich

19 Jan 2025 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday
W D D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  3
Leeds

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Watford
0 :  4
Leeds

5 Feb 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
0 :  2
Leeds

27 Jan 2025 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Leeds

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Hull
3 :  3
Leeds

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Leeds

Portsmouth vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  3
Portsmouth
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Portsmouth against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11

Portsmouth

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
N. Schmid
22
Z. Swanson
5
R. Poole
7
M. Pack
3
C. Ogilvie
8
F. Potts
21
A. Dozzell
30
M. Ritchie
17
A. Aouchiche
23
J. Murphy
9
C. Bishop
10
J. Piroe
14
M. Solomon
11
B. Aaronson
7
D. James
44
I. Gruev
22
A. Tanaka
3
J. Firpo
5
P. Struijk
6
J. Rodon
2
J. Bogle
1
I. Meslier

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Leeds

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Portsmouth
CD Huachipato Leeds
Top Goalscorer
England C. Lang (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands J. Piroe (15 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Murphy (10 Assists)
Best assists
Wales D. James (9 Assists)

Portsmouth and Leeds Stats in Championship

Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Leeds
Leeds
29%
Victories
63%
26%
Draw
29%
46%
Defeats
9%
2.86
Total goals per match
2.69
1.23
Goals scored per match
2.06
1.63
Goals conceded per match
0.63
66%
Over 2.5
43%
34%
Under 2.5
57%
54%
BTTS
34%
20%
No goals conceded
57%

Portsmouth - Leeds Key Points

  1. Four of the last five Leeds away league games have had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
  2. Leeds have won eight away league games this season.
  3. Four of the last five Leeds league wins saw at least three goals scored.
  4. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in seven of the last 11 Portsmouth league matches.
  5. Portsmouth have lost four home league matches, three of them had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
Up to $150 to bet on Portsmouth - Leeds! 

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Our Portsmouth vs Leeds Prediction

Leeds are in a great position at the top of the Championship. They are league leaders and scored 72 goals in their 35 league fixtures. United are on a 17-game unbeaten league run and have scored nine goals in their last three away games, including three at second-placed Sheffeld United.

Portsmouth have improved in the second half of the table and aren't easy to beat at Fratton Park. Leeds are in top form though and our Portsmouth v Leeds prediction is Leeds to win and over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Leeds to win and over 2.5 goals

 
Exclusive Offer
$150 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Portsmouth Leeds

Portsmouth vs Leeds Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Portsmouth wins 5.25 7.5 +42.9%
Draw 4.33 4.5 +3.9%
Leeds wins 1.53 1.42 -7.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Leeds is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 70.4% (5.1%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Portsmouth vs Leeds Prediction
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