England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah in Championship Predictions
Two promoted sides, Derby County and Portsmouth will be looking to stay in the Championship beyond this season. They are set to meet as the competition goes into matchday 42, with 17th-placed Portsmouth hosting 21st placed Derby. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Portsmouth will welcome a return home after playing their last two matches on the road, and losing both. Their home form has been great, John Mousinho’s side winning 10 of the last 14 home league games.
This explains why they’ll be looking forward to this encounter. A 1-0 loss at Coventry City last time out left Pompey just three points above the relegation zone.
Derby County sit above the bottom three on goal difference ahead of this game. Their run of four straight wins was followed by two straight winless outings in the run up to this game.
The Rams first lost 1-0 to Swansea before drawing 0-0 with Burnley in their latest match. An encounter with Portsmouth gives them a chance to bounce back, completing a double after winning the reverse fixture 4-0.
However, this will call for massive improvement on their away form, which reads just two wins in the league this season. Of their 20 Championship matches on the road, Derby County lost 13 times.
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The Best Betting Odds for Portsmouth v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3 | 3 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.88 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.1 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.32 | 2.67 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.4 | 2.99 | 3.34 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Portsmouth and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Portsmouth vs Derby County match is: Portsmouth to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2025 between Portsmouth and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.64% for a win of Portsmouth against Derby County with odds of 2.9 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portsmouth vs Derby County is 24.85% with odds of 3.02 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Portsmouth with odds of 3.35 at Betsson.
Portsmouth - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Portsmouth Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth wins | 47.64% | 2.9 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 51.85% | 1.67 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Portsmouth | 26.96% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Portsmouth vs Derby County Form
Portsmouth and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
19
|
46 | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | -16 |
|
21
|
43 | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | -10 |
Portsmouth and Derby County Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
12 Mar 2025 - Championship
9 Mar 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
12 Mar 2025 - Championship
9 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
2 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
2 Apr 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
14 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
Portsmouth vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Dec 2024 - Championship
2 Apr 2024 - League One
18 Nov 2022 - League One
Portsmouth against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Most goals and assists
Portsmouth
Derby County
C. Lang
(10 Goals)
J. Yates
(9 Goals)
J. Murphy
(12 Assists)
N. Mendez Laing
(4 Assists)
,
J. Yates
(4 Assists)
Portsmouth - Derby County Key Points
- Derby County lost 11 of their last 18 matches.
- Portsmouth won 10 of their last 14 home league matches.
- Derby County failed to score in their last three away losses.
- In six of 13 home matches, Portsmouth registered clean sheets.
- Derby County lost 13 of the last 20 away Championship matches.
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Our Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction
After four straight draws between these teams back in League One, Derby County thrashed Portsmouth in their reverse meeting this season in the Championship. Portsmouth will feel the urge to avenge that loss, now that they have their turn at home.
They have done well at home and this is also a chance to open a gap from the bottom three. Derby failed to score in their last two matches as well as in the last three away defeats. Our prediction for Portsmouth v Derby County is for Portsmouth to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Portsmouth Derby County
| Portsmouth vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth wins | 2 | 2.55 | +27.5% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3 | -11.8% |
| Derby County wins | 3.75 | 3 | -20.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Portsmouth is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 27.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 39.2% (-10.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Portsmouth vs. Derby County game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Portsmouth and Derby County? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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