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England - League One

Portsmouth
02 Apr 2024 15:00
Derby County

Prediction :

 

Portsmouth wins the match

 
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Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - League One

 by Steve Ashfield in League One Predictions

The top two clubs in League One meet on Tuesday evening. League leaders Portsmouth host Derby County who are second and five points behind their opponents. Both sides have a good chance of filling the two automatic promotion spots. Derby are six points clear of third placed Bolton Wanderers who host Reading the day before this game. Pompey will be hoping they can win a fourth straight league game as they bid to return to the Championship. They haven't played at that level since the 2011-12 season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Portsmouth v Derby County Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.2 3.3 3.4
Betfred
2.15 3.1 3.1
Ladbrokes
2.3 3.3 3
1xbet
2.3 3.36 3.13
22bet
2.3 3.36 3.13
Betwinner
2.25 3.36 3.2
LSbet
2.25 3.36 3.2
Melbet
2.3 3.34 3.13
Tonybet
2.26 3.2 3.05
Vbet
2.27 3.21 3.16
Betway
2.25 3.2 3
Unibet
2.33 3.2 3.1
Betfair
2.3 3.3 3.2
Betsson
2.3 3.4 3
William Hill
2.3 3.2 3.1
Check all Portsmouth vs Derby County odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Portsmouth and Derby County?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/04/2024 between Portsmouth and Derby County in League One :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.76% for a win of Portsmouth against Derby County with odds of 2.33 at Unibet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portsmouth vs Derby County is 17.49% with odds of 3.4 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 30.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Portsmouth with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.

Portsmouth - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:

Portsmouth Derby County Prediction Probability Odds
Portsmouth wins 51.76% 2.33 at Unibet
Over 2.5 goals 57.61% 2.1 at Betway
Both Team To Score 50%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Portsmouth 24.42% 6 at Betsson

Portsmouth vs Derby County Form

Portsmouth and Derby County's standings in the League One

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
97 46 28 13 5 37
2
Derby County
Derby County
92 46 28 8 10 41

Portsmouth and Derby County Last Matches

Portsmouth
Portsmouth Last matches
D W D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2024 - League One

Wycombe Wanderers
1 :  3
Portsmouth

16 Mar 2024 - League One

Peterborough
0 :  1
Portsmouth

12 Mar 2024 - League One

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Burton Albion

9 Mar 2024 - League One

Blackpool
0 :  0
Portsmouth

2 Mar 2024 - League One

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Oxford United

24 Feb 2024 - League One

Charlton Athletic
0 :  0
Portsmouth
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

12 Mar 2024 - League One

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Burton Albion

2 Mar 2024 - League One

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Oxford United

17 Feb 2024 - League One

Portsmouth
4 :  1
Reading

13 Feb 2024 - League One

Portsmouth
3 :  1
Cambridge United

3 Feb 2024 - League One

Portsmouth
4 :  1
Northampton Town

13 Jan 2024 - League One

Portsmouth
0 :  3
Leyton Orient London
D W D D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2024 - League One

Wycombe Wanderers
1 :  3
Portsmouth

16 Mar 2024 - League One

Peterborough
0 :  1
Portsmouth

9 Mar 2024 - League One

Blackpool
0 :  0
Portsmouth

24 Feb 2024 - League One

Charlton Athletic
0 :  0
Portsmouth

10 Feb 2024 - League One

Carlisle United
0 :  1
Portsmouth

30 Jan 2024 - League One

Oxford United
2 :  2
Portsmouth
Derby County
Derby County Last matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2024 - League One

Derby County
1 :  0
Blackpool

23 Mar 2024 - League One

Northampton Town
1 :  0
Derby County

16 Mar 2024 - League One

Derby County
1 :  0
Bolton

12 Mar 2024 - League One

Derby County
2 :  1
Reading

9 Mar 2024 - League One

Bristol Rovers
0 :  3
Derby County

2 Mar 2024 - League One

Derby County
3 :  0
Port Vale
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Mar 2024 - League One

Derby County
1 :  0
Blackpool

16 Mar 2024 - League One

Derby County
1 :  0
Bolton

12 Mar 2024 - League One

Derby County
2 :  1
Reading

2 Mar 2024 - League One

Derby County
3 :  0
Port Vale

27 Feb 2024 - League One

Derby County
1 :  2
Charlton Athletic

17 Feb 2024 - League One

Derby County
1 :  0
Stevenage
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Mar 2024 - League One

Northampton Town
1 :  0
Derby County

9 Mar 2024 - League One

Bristol Rovers
0 :  3
Derby County

24 Feb 2024 - League One

Barnsley
2 :  1
Derby County

13 Feb 2024 - League One

Exeter City
0 :  3
Derby County

3 Feb 2024 - League One

Charlton Athletic
0 :  1
Derby County

23 Jan 2024 - League One

Reading
1 :  0
Derby County

Portsmouth vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

18 Nov 2022 - League One

Portsmouth
0 :  0
Derby County
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Portsmouth - Derby County: Form Analysis

Portsmouth have been in League One since 2017 and only twice made it into the play-offs. This season has gone well for them and a return to the Championship is looking likely. Not just because they lead the table by five points but are 11 clear of third placed Bolton Wanderers. After this match against Derby County there are only five games to go and Pompey could be just a couple of games away from winning promotion. They have won 25 of their 40 league games this season and only suffered four league defeats. Their last three league fixtures have all been won and they are unbeaten in their last 13 League One matches. Home form has seen them win 13 out of 19 league matches with only a couple of losses. They have won their last five at home since a loss to Leyton Orient in January. The reverse fixture against Derby ended 1-1 with Pompey equalizing in the 95th minute.

Derby County are looking to return to the Championship at the second time of asking. Last season saw them finish seventh and just missing out on the play-offs. This season has gone better and automatic promotion is a definite possibility. The gap between them and third placed Bolton may only be three points by kick-off if Wanderers can beat Reading at home on Monday. The Rams have won five of their last six league fixtures, the other a 1-0 loss at Northampton Town. Derby have the best home record in League One while winning 12 times on the road, they have lost six, including two of the last three. Portsmouth are our tip to get a vital home win.

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Players list

Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Goalkeeper

W. Norris

Defender

J. Rafferty

S. Raggett

C. Ogilvie

C. Shaughnessy

T. Anjorin

Midfielder

M. Pack

O. Moxon

Forward

K. Yengi

G. Whyte

C. Bishop

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

J. Wildsmith

Defender

C. Nelson

K. Wilson

E. Cashin

Midfielder

N. Mendez Laing

L. Thompson

L. Sibley

C. Hourihane

E. Adams

Forward

M. Waghorn

C. Washington

Substitutes

Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Goalkeeper

M. Macey

Defender

J. Sparkes

Z. Swanson

Midfielder

O. Moxon

L. Evans

T. Anjorin

P. Lane

Forward

G. Whyte

A. Kamara

K. Yengi

C. Saydee

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

J. Vickers

Defender

K. Robinson

Midfielder

T. Fornah

C. Hourihane

K. Smith

L. Thompson

J. Ward

Forward

M. Waghorn

J. Collins

C. Washington

C. Blackett-Taylor

Portsmouth & Derby County Squad Analysis

Portsmouth have a number of injury problems but that's been the case for a while now. Ben Stevenson and Tino Anjorin may be able to play some part in this match. The temptation is though for their manager John Mousinho to keep the starting line-up that beat Wycombe on Good Friday.

Derby County also have several players missing. That includes former Portsmouth player Sonny Bradley. He's still suspended so won't be playing against his former team. Their top scorer is James Collins who has also been out injured. He was a sub on Friday so it'll be interesting to see if he is included from the start for this match. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Portsmouth
CD Huachipato Derby County
Top Goalscorer
England C. Bishop (21 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland J. Collins (14 Goals)

Portsmouth - Derby County Key Points

  1. Portsmouth have won their last three league matches.
  2. Portsmouth are unbeaten in their last 13 home league fixtures.
  3. Portsmouth have won their last five home league matches.
  4. Derby County have lost two of their last three away league fixtures.
  5. The last five home league games have all seen Portsmouth score at least twice.
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Our Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction

Portsmouth are closing in on a return to the Championship. They top League One and are 11 points clear of third placed Bolton Wanderers. Pompey are on a long unbeaten run and scoring plenty of goals. Derby County are also looking good for promotion but have lost two of their last three away league fixtures. Our Portsmouth v Derby prediction is a home win for Portsmouth.

Prediction :

 

Portsmouth wins the match

 
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Portsmouth vs Derby County - Other Interesting Predictions

Portsmouth to win and both teams to score

Odds 5
The last five Portsmouth home league games have all been won by Pompey. Both teams scored in each of those victories.
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Portsmouth vs Derby County match : Frequently asked questions

This League One match between Portsmouth and Derby is being played on Tuesday April 2. The scheduled kick-off is 19:00, 20:00 UK time.
This top of the table match between Portsmouth and Derby is being played at Fratton Park in Portsmouth.
To be able to watch this match live, you need either a Sky Sports monthly subscription or a NOW TV day pass. You can also follow all the action on our football livescore with updated stats and live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction
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