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Portugal - Taca de Portugal

Porto
26 May 2024 12:15
Sporting Lisbon

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Porto vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Taca de Portugal

 by Steve Ashfield in Football Predictions

Sporting Lisbon won the Primeira League by ten points and now bid to win the Portuguese Cup. They take on Porto in Sunday's final who are bidding to win this competition for the third successive season. It's five years since Sporting last lifted the trophy but they have had an outstanding season with just two league games being lost. Porto finished 18 points behind their opponents but they are a strong side in cup competitions so an exciting final is on its way.
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The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Sporting Lisbon Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.75 1.33 17
Ladbrokes
3.1 2.4 2.62
NetBet
2.85 3.2 2.25
1xbet
2.83 3.48 2.44
22bet
2.83 3.48 2.44
Betwinner
3.01 3.42 2.33
LSbet
3.01 3.42 2.33
Melbet
2.86 3.33 2.46
Tonybet
2.9 3.2 2.26
Betway
5.75 1.15 17
Unibet
2.85 3.15 2.38
Betfair
2.75 3.3 2.3
Betsson
2.85 3.3 2.45
Vbet
3.65 1.38 14
Check all Porto vs Sporting Lisbon odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Sporting Lisbon?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/05/2024 between Porto and Sporting Lisbon in Taca de Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.33% for a win of Porto against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 5.75 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Sporting Lisbon is 27.87% with odds of 3.48 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.8% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Porto with odds of 17 at Bet365.

Porto - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:

Porto Sporting Lisbon Prediction Probability Odds
Sporting Lisbon wins 39.8% 17 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 74.7% 4.75 at Betway
Both Team To Score 63.33%
Half-time / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon 17.16% 4.2 at Betsson

Porto vs Sporting Lisbon Form

Porto and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches

Porto
Porto Last matches
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
0 :  1
Porto

12 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  1
Boavista

4 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Chaves
0 :  3
Porto

28 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  2
Porto

17 Apr 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
3 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
W L D W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

12 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  1
Boavista

28 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

17 Apr 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
3 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

13 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  2
Famalicao

7 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

16 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
4 :  1
FC Vizela
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
0 :  1
Porto

4 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Chaves
0 :  3
Porto

21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  2
Porto

3 Apr 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Porto

30 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  0
Porto

12 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Porto
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Last matches
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Chaves

11 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

4 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Portimonense

28 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

16 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Chaves

4 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Portimonense

21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

6 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

17 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  1
Boavista

6 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  1
Atalanta
W D W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

28 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

16 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

12 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

2 Apr 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

29 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

Porto vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Porto

67 %

Draw

17 %

Sporting Lisbon

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

28 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

18 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Porto

12 Feb 2023 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Porto

28 Jan 2023 - League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  2
Porto

20 Aug 2022 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

21 Apr 2022 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
1 :  0
Sporting Lisbon
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Porto - Sporting Lisbon: Form Analysis

Sporting come into this Portuguese Cup final having won each of their last three games. They have been in excellent form throughout the season and have gone 11 games unbeaten since losing to eventual.  Europa League winners Atalanta. Not since January has a side from Portugal been able to beat Sporting. They have won this trophy on 17 previous occasions but no since 2019 with just a couple of trumphs since 2008. This is the first time they've made it through to the final since winning it five years ago. All six of their games in this season's Portuguese Cup have had over 2.5 goals scored in them. That stat does come up regularly in their matches with 10 of the last 13 seeing at least three goals scored. The most recent match against Porto was played last month and ended in a 2-2 draw. The game was played away from home (this final is on a neutral ground) and Porto led it 2-0 at one stage.

Porto are chasing a hat-trick of Portuguese Cup wins. Overall, they have won this trophy on 19 occasions. Like their opponents, they have won their last three matches and they are unbeaten in their last seven matches. Their matches are also renowned for a good number of goals being scored. All but one of their last eight fixtures has seen over 2.5 goals scored. That statistic has come up in four of their last five Portuguese Cup games. We believe this final will see at least three goals scored.

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Players list

Porto
Porto
Goalkeeper

D. Costa

Defender

J. Mario

Otavio

Wendell

Ze Pedro

Midfielder

N. Gonzalez

A. Varela

Forward

Evanilson

F. Conceicao

W. Galeno

Pepe

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Goalkeeper

D. Pinto

Defender

J. St. Juste

Goncalo Inacio

S. Coates

Midfielder

M. Hjulmand

P. Goncalves

H. Morita

Forward

G. Catamo

F. Trincao

N. Santos

V. Gyokeres

Substitutes

Porto
Porto
Goalkeeper

C. Ramos

Defender

M. Fernandes

F. Cardoso

Midfielder

M. Grujic

S. Eustaquio

R. Baro

Forward

G. Borges

D. Namaso

M. Taremi

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Goalkeeper

F. Silva

Defender

Quaresma

O. Diomande

R. Esgaio

L. Neto

Midfielder

K. Koindredi

D. Braganca

Forward

M. Edwards

Paulinho

Porto & Sporting Lisbon Squad Analysis

Porto have no major injury worries ahead of this final. Both Mehdi Taremi and Joao Mario came on a subs in their last match against Braga and could start this game. Still out injured though is defender Zaidu Sanusi. Sporting have a fit squad with the exception of goalkeeper Franco Israel.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Porto
CD Huachipato Sporting Lisbon
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Evanilson (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (34 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil W. Galeno (10 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal P. Goncalves (15 Assists)

Porto - Sporting Lisbon Key Points

  1. Seven of the last eight Porto games have had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
  2. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in four of Porto's last five Portuguese Cup matches.
  3. All six of Sporting's Portuguese Cup games this season have seen at least three goals scored.
  4. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 10 of the last 13 Sporting games.
  5. The last meeting between these two sides ended in a 2-2 draw.
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Our Porto vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction

It's hard to choose a winner in what should be an entertaining Portuguese Cup final. Sporting are the champions and Porto the current cup holders. Both sides regularly play games in which three goals are scored. Our main prediction for Porto v Sporting is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Porto vs Sporting Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions

Sporting to win in 90 minutes and over 2.5 goals

Odds 3.75
Sporting have had an excellent season and won the league by 10 points. They are unbeaten in their last 11 maches and not lost to a side from Portugal since January. Four points out of six weree earned by Sporting in their two league games against Porto this season.
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Porto vs Sporting Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions

This Portuguese cup final is being played on Sunday May 26 and has a scheduled kick-off time of 17:15 UK time.
This Portuguese Cup final is being played at the Estadio Nacional which is in the municipality of Oeiras.
ESPN are showing this match between Porto and Sporting live. You can also go to our Portuguese Cup livescore where you will find live text commentary and updated statistics.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Porto vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
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