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Porto vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Daniel Ngulu in Europa League Predictions
As the Europa League resumes, two-time winners FC Porto are set to face off with Italian side AS Roma, two-time Europa League finalists. This clash set for Porto’s Dragao Stadium on Thursday, is a repeat of the sides’ Champions League meeting six years ago. Porto, who won the Europa League in 2003 and 2011, emerged victorious back then, 4-3 on aggregate. Below is our preview and predictions for the match.
Portuguese giants Porto find themselves here after a dismal run in the league stage. They could only manage three wins from the eight matches played at that stage. Porto also lost three times, and finished in 18th place with 11 points.
AS Roma, just like Porto, claimed three wins in the league phase. However, they lost one game less than their Portuguese opponents, and as a result finished in 15th position with 12 points, just two below the top eight.
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The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Roma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.35 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.56 | 3.06 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.56 | 3.06 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.3 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.36 | 3.46 | 2.93 |
|
|
2.36 | 3.46 | 2.93 |
|
|
2.44 | 3.45 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.44 | 2.94 |
|
|
2.44 | 3.4 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.62 | 2.89 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.25 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.3 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.25 | 3 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.35 | 2.98 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Roma?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Roma match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/02/2025 between Porto and Roma in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.18% for a win of Porto against Roma with odds of 2.45 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Roma is 32.23% with odds of 3.62 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Porto with odds of 3.06 at 1xbet.
Porto vs Roma Form
Porto and Roma Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
28 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
17 Jan 2025 - Serie A
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
18 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
Porto vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Jul 2021 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Mar 2019 - Champions League
12 Feb 2019 - Champions League
Porto - Roma: Form Analysis
Much in FC Porto’s season hasn’t gone to plan so far but they’ll be thankful for their matchday eight 1-0 win over Maccabi Tel Aviv. With that victory they reached the playoffs and will be looking to make it past this level with an aggregate win against Roma.
In the last three seasons, Porto reached the last 16 of a European competition and they’ll want to make it four. From this match they can only grab the first leg advantage.
That ambition will meet a stumbling block in having only won once in their last eight matches. They’ve lost four times in that period but come here unbeaten in the last four matches. The latest of those was an eventful 1-1 draw at home to Sporting.
AS Roma are winless in five away Europa League matches.
AS Roma’s three wins in the league phase of this competition all came at home. They were slow starters to the competition but the two wins in their last three league stage games proved the difference.
The latest of them, on matchday eight against Eintracht Frankfurt (2-0) saw Roma leap to 15th, thus securing this playoff slot. Now they have to do it away from home as they seek a first leg advantage in this tie.
While the return of Claudio Ranieri has injected a lot of stability, Roma have largely struggled on the road. In the Europa League for example, they are winless away from home in five matches.
Right ahead of this game, Roma won only their second away game this season, in beating Venezia 1-0.
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Porto vs Roma last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Porto & Roma Squad Analysis
Samuel Aghehowa will be a player to watch in this game. The Spaniard is desperate to find his scoring boots. In recent weeks, Porto’s lead scorer this season has made the headlines for the wrong reasons in 2025.
He hasn’t scored since bagging a brace in the 4-0 win against Boavista on 28th December. While on a goal drought, he got sent off once and was booked twice.
Having scored five times in the Europa League, home fans can only hope he bounces back here. Porto have also seen a key player in Nico Gonzalez leave, with the Spaniard confirmed at Manchester City during the winter transfers.
His last act was scoring the winning goal on matchday eight that secured this spot for Porto.
In this game, Porto have a few injury concerns, with Ivan Marcano, Martim Fernandes and Marko Grujic ruled out.
Samuel Aghehowa has scored 18 goals for Porto this season.
AS Roma have no fresh injury concerns coming into this game, which is a major boost as they seek a third away win this season. Renato Marin and Leandro Paredes will miss the match but Roma have all they need to plot on ending their unimpressive away form.
Artem Dovbyk will be a man in focus here, as he seeks his third goal in the Europa League. The Ukrainian has 13 goals in all competitions for Roma.
German defender Mats Hummels was rested for the Venezia win but should be a starter here.
Paulo Dybala returned to scoring ways with the sole strike against Venezia from the penalty spot. He will be another possible starter.
Most goals and assists
Porto
Roma
S. Omorodion
(18 Goals)
A. Dovbyk
(10 Goals)
F. Moura
(6 Assists)
P. Dybala
(3 Assists)
, 
S. El Shaarawy
(3 Assists)
,
A. Dovbyk
(3 Assists)
Porto and Roma Stats in Europa League
Porto - Roma Key Points
- Porto have one win in their past eight matches.
- In their last four matches, Porto drew three times.
- All season, AS Roma have managed just two away wins.
- Roma drew three of their last five away Europa League matches.
- Porto are winless in their last three home matches, drawing twice.
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Our Porto vs Roma Prediction
With two wins and a loss in the last four meetings pitting these teams, Porto will have the psychological edge. However, having drawn three of their last four matches, they aren’t in the best shape coming into this game.
The same somehow applies to Roma. The Italians have done well lately, but not on the road. This season they have just two away wins, and neither of those came in the Europa League. In the last five away Europa League games, Roma are winless, with three draws in the run. Our prediction for FC Porto v AS Roma is for a draw.
Porto vs Roma - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
These two sides aren’t very strong in defence, and that could define how this match goes. Porto have just one clean sheet in their last five matches, though they failed to score in just one of the five outings.
Both teams scored in three of their last four matches, all which ended in draws. Roma have also been shaky in defence. They scored in all their last five matches, but only managed two clean sheets. Based on this, our second prediction for this match is for both teams to score.
Use the Porto vs. Roma game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
Are you looking to use the match between Porto and Roma in an upcoming accumulator bet? If so, you'll want to join Vbet to place that acca. There is an odds bonus of up to 100% when you place accumulators which contain at least three selections that are all odds of 1.3 or bigger. Look at the other games in the Europa League and start to build those accas!
Porto vs Roma match : Frequently asked questions
The FC Porto v AS Roma match will be played at Estadio do Dragao.
The FC Porto v AS Roma match will be played on Thursday 13 February.
As with all Europa League matches, Italian fans can catch the FC Porto v AS Roma match on Sky. In Portugal, there will be two options to choose from; Sport TV and DAZN. Meanwhile, Sportytrader, through the Europa League livescores, will have the match updates.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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