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Porto vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Devesh Jaganath in Europa League Predictions
Arguably the pick of the matches in round two of the new-look Europa League will see Manchester United travel to Estadio Do Dragao to face Porto on Thursday evening. Dragoes are in 25th place in the League Phase standings, while the Red Devils are 20th after the first round of matches.
These two football powerhouses have met eight times in European competition in the past with Porto winning two, Man United winning three and three matches ended level. The Red Devils have a very impressive record against Portuguese opponents, unbeaten in their last 12 matches, winning nine and drawing three.
As it stands, the visitors are the bookmakers’ favourites, but by the slenderest of margins, given that the hosts are in excellent form on their home patch of late. We are likely to see lots of movement in the market before kickoff - Let’s get into the key stats at play in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Manchester United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.4 | 3.5 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.45 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.64 | 2.72 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.64 | 2.72 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.6 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.5 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.36 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.45 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.6 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.4 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.52 | 3.61 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.5 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.55 | 2.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Manchester United match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/10/2024 between Porto and Manchester United in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.23% for a win of Porto against Manchester United with odds of 2.9 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Manchester United is 19.44% with odds of 3.64 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Porto with odds of 3 at Betwinner.
Porto - Manchester United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Porto Manchester United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 56.23% | 2.9 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.56% | 2.01 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 33.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Porto | 22.61% | 6 at Bet365 |
Porto vs Manchester United Form
Porto and Manchester United's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
|
18
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Porto and Manchester United Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
25 Sep 2024 - Europa League
21 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sep 2024 - Europa League
21 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Europa League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Europa League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
16 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Community Shield
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Porto - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Porto were left frustrated on matchday one of this competition, having taken an early lead against Bodo/Glimt but ended up losing 3-2 despite playing the majority of the second half with a man advantage.
However, aside from that result, the Dragons have been posting impressive results elsewhere, winning six of their seven league matches, including scoring seven goals in their last two games alone. The sole defeat was on the road to high-flying Sporting Lisbon.
At home, Porto have been formidable this season, winning all four matches to date, scoring two goals in each while maintaining clean sheets in three.
Meanwhile, Manchester United fans will likely agree, the Red Devils need a win here!
Indeed, the English giants’ form has been all over the place this season. They are winless in their last three games in all competitions, including letting a one-goal advantage slip to draw 1-1 against Twente in round one of this competition.
Following last weekend’s 3-0 drubbing at home by Tottenham Hotspur, United are now down to 13th place in the Premier League standings with seven points after six games (W2 D1 L3).
On the road, the Red Devils have played three, splitting their results one win, one draw and one loss, though they did maintain clean sheets in their last two.
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Porto against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Porto & Manchester United Squad Analysis
Porto will have to make do without the services of at least three players for this match, starting with Zaidu, who has been ruled out for the remainder of the season after undergoing surgery on a ruptured cruciate ligament.
Ivan Marcano is also out with a cruciate ligament injury, though his is not considered as serious as the former. Otavio has been flagged as a doubt for this one owing to a muscle strain.
Samu Omorodion has scored five goals in Porto’s last four matches in all competitions!
Meanwhile, Erik ten Hag has a fairly extensive injury situation on his hands, particularly in defence, with Harry Maguire (knock), Leny Yoro (foot), Tyrell Malacia (knee) and Luke Shaw (calf injury) out.
Further upfield, Kobbie Mainoo is likely to miss out after picking up a muscular problem over the weekend and Mason Mount is expected to sit out the next few weeks with a facial injury.
Most goals and assists
Porto
Manchester United
S. Omorodion
(16 Goals)
R. Hojlund
(7 Goals)
, 
M. Rashford
(7 Goals)
, 
A. Garnacho
(7 Goals)
F. Moura
(5 Assists)
B. Fernandes
(10 Assists)
Porto - Manchester United Key Points
- Porto have only failed to score in one of their seven matches this season.
- Porto have scored two or more goals in each of their four home games this season.
- Manchester United have scored in three of their four away games this season.
- Manchester United have conceded four goals in their last two games.
- Both teams have scored in three of the last four matches between these sides.
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Our Porto vs Manchester United Prediction
While Man United are currently showing up as marginal favourites here, it’s tough to back them with much confidence given their erratic form this season. You just never know which United is going to pitch up on any given day!
Additionally, Porto have been sublime on their home patch this season, especially in attack, with 11 goals scored in four games. This one could genuinely go either way, but we fancy that both sides will get on the scoresheet. Our Porto vs Manchester United prediction: Both teams to score!
Porto vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Porto have scored two or more goals in each of their four home games this season, and each of their last four matches (home and away) have ended with over 2.5. Additionally, five of Manchester United’s last seven games have ended with three or more goals scored.
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Porto vs Manchester United match : Frequently asked questions
The Europa League match between Porto and Manchester United will be played on October 3 at 20:00 GMT.
The Europa League match between Porto and Manchester United will take place at Estádio Do Dragao in Porto.
UK viewers can watch the Europa League match between Porto and Manchester United live on TNT Sports and discovery+.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Europa League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Tobias Stieler will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Christian Gittelmann, Mark Borsch and Matthias Jollenbeck as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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