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15 September 2024 - 10:30 

- Day 5

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Porto
VS
Farense

Prediction :

Handicap Porto -1.5

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Porto vs Farense Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

 by Devesh Jaganath in Liga Portugal Predictions

Two sides at opposite ends of the Primeira Liga will face off on Sunday afternoon when Porto play host to Farense at Estadio Do Dragao. The Dragons are in second place in the league standings, while the Lions of Faro are bottom of the table. Check out our match prediction below. 

After falling off the pace from Sporting Lisbon last season, Porto look determined to stay within touching distance of the Lions this term, currently three points off the league leaders. 

However, that three-point gap is a result of Sporting beating Porto 2-0 ahead of the international break, which was a result that ended the Dragons' perfect start to the season following three wins on the bounce. 

Nevertheless, the hosts will be confident of returning to winning ways here given their excellent home record which shows the side on a three-match winning streak and unbeaten in their last five in La Liga competition. 

Meanwhile, after an excellent 10th-placed finish in their first season in the top flight last term, things have not gone well for Farense in this campaign as they are the only side in the division that are yet to earn a single point after four gameweeks. 

The Lions of Faro have lost to Moreirense, Rio Ave, Sporting and Nacional, and have only found the back of the net once, while they’ve already conceded a league-high 10 goals.

Unfortunately, history suggests that the visitors are likely to struggle to improve that record here, given that they have lost each of their last four encounters against their upcoming opponen

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The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Farense Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.13 8 21
Ladbrokes
1.14 8.5 17
1xbet
1.17 7.9 14.5
22bet
1.17 7.9 14.5
Betobet
1.1 8 20
Betwinner
1.14 8.2 16
Stake
1.14 7.8 18
Melbet
1.17 7.8 14.5
Tonybet
1.14 7.6 18
Check all Porto vs Farense odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Farense?

Our prediction for the Porto vs Farense match is: Handicap Porto -1.5!

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/09/2024 between Porto and Farense in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 85.7% for a win of Porto against Farense with odds of 1.17 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Farense is 6.93% with odds of 8.5 at Ladbrokes.
  • Our prediction model gives a 7.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Farense vs Porto with odds of 21 at Bet365.

Porto - Farense Prediction and Best Odds:

Porto Farense Prediction Probability Odds
Porto wins 85.7% 1.17 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 64.09% 1.47 at Betobet
Both Team To Score 28.13% 2.37 at Ladbrokes
Half-time / Full-time : Porto/Porto 60.82% 1.53 at Ladbrokes

Porto vs Farense Form

Porto and Farense's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Porto
Porto
12 5 4 0 1 6
18
Farense
Farense
0 5 0 0 5 -10

Porto and Farense Last Matches

Porto
Porto Last matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.33
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Porto

24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
Rio Ave

16 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
0 :  2
Porto

10 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  0
Gil Vicente

3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  4
Porto

28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Porto
4 :  0
Al Nasr
Farense
Farense Last matches
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.33
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
0.33
Goals conceded
3
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

1 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
2 :  0
Farense

23 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Farense
0 :  5
Sporting Lisbon

17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  0
Farense

11 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Farense
1 :  2
Moreirense

12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  0
Farense

18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Farense
1 :  3
Portimonense

Porto against Farense : Head to Head (H2H)

Porto

100 %

Draw

0 %

Farense

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3.5
BTTS
75%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.75
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.75
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5
25%

28 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal

Farense
1 :  3
Porto

20 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  1
Farense

10 May 2021 - Liga Portugal

Porto
5 :  1
Farense

25 Jan 2021 - Liga Portugal

Farense
0 :  1
Porto
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Porto against Farense Lineups: Starting 11

Porto

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

99
D. Costa
23
J. Mario
24
N. Perez
4
Otavio
74
F. Moura
22
A. Varela
16
N. Gonzalez
17
I. Jaime
11
Pepe
13
W. Galeno
19
D. Namaso
8
R. Barbosa
9
A. Fernandes Mendes
93
M. Menino
29
C. Falcao
79
M. Merghem
31
D. Poloni
34
R. Silva
4
Artur Jorge
3
M. Moreno
28
D. Custodio Lima
33
R. Velho

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

Farense

Missing players

Porto
Porto
Midfielder

F. Vieira

Farense
Farense

Porto - Farense Key Points

  1. Porto have won three of their four games this season by a two-goal margin.
  2. Porto have kept clean sheets in three of their four matches this season.
  3. Porto have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 home league matches.
  4. Porto have beaten this opponent by two clear goals in two of their last three encounters.
  5. Farense have conceded two or more goals in three of their four league games this season.
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Our Porto vs Farense Prediction

Farense have struggled to get going this season and the international break would have been a welcome stoppage to allow the side to figure out what has gone wrong this term.

Unfortunately for the Lions of Faro, next up is Porto, who have made a very impressive start to the campaign and we feel the hosts will be far too strong for them in this one. Our Porto vs Farense prediction: Porto -1.5!

Prediction :

Handicap Porto -1.5

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Porto Farense

Porto vs Farense Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Porto wins 1.18 1.13 -4.2%
Draw 6.5 8 +23.1%
Farense wins 17 21 +23.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Porto is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 84.7% and is now 88.5% (3.7%)

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Porto vs Farense Prediction
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