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Porto vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
by Devesh Jaganath in Liga Portugal Predictions
The undisputed blockbuster fixture in gameweek 24 of the Liga Portugal will see Porto taking on Benfica in the latest installment of O Classico on Sunday evening. The hosts are currently in third place in the league standings, while the visitors are sitting atop the table.
Sporting Lisbon face Farense earlier in the day and could be in pole position before this match kicks off, and you can see our full Liga Portugal prediction for that match right here as well.
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The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Benfica Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 3.5 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.4 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.4 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.27 | 3.3 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.62 | 3.09 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.62 | 3.09 |
|
|
2.39 | 3.4 | 2.92 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.55 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.54 | 2.94 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Benfica Lisbon?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/03/2024 between Porto and Benfica Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.66% for a win of Porto against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 2.4 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Benfica Lisbon is 22.31% with odds of 3.62 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Porto with odds of 3.09 at 1xbet.
Porto - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Porto Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 43.66% | 2.4 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 54.38% | 2.16 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 37.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Porto | 21% | 6 at Betfred |
Porto vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Porto and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
80 | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 49 |
|
3
|
72 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 36 |
Porto and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
21 Feb 2024 - Champions League
17 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
7 Feb 2024 - Taca de Portugal
3 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2024 - Champions League
17 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
20 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
29 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
7 Feb 2024 - Taca de Portugal
28 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Jan 2024 - Taca de Portugal
5 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Feb 2024 - Taca de Portugal
25 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2024 - Europa League
18 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2024 - Europa League
11 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2024 - Europa League
4 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
24 Jan 2024 - League Cup
19 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Feb 2024 - Taca de Portugal
22 Feb 2024 - Europa League
11 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
8 Feb 2024 - Taca de Portugal
29 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
6 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
Porto vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Sep 2023 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2023 - Super Cup
7 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
21 Oct 2022 - Liga Portugal
7 May 2022 - Liga Portugal
30 Dec 2021 - Liga Portugal
Porto - Benfica Lisbon: Form Analysis
Porto will come into this match with confidence after securing a 2-1 win over Santa Clara in the Taca de Portugal last week. That result extended their current unbeaten run to four matches, including three wins and a draw. During that time, the Dragons also pulled off a hard-fought 1-0 win over Arsenal at Estadio Do Dragao, giving themselves the advantage heading into the second leg round of 16 tie at the Emirates Stadium next week. Porto’s last Primeira Liga match ended in a 1-1 draw against Gil Vicente, which took them to 49 points after 23 games, seven shy of Sporting in second. The hosts have been formidable on their home patch lately, unbeaten in their last six (W5 D1 L0), and have kept a very impressive five clean sheets in succession heading into this match. Considering the gap to the Europa League qualification spot, this feels like a must-win for Porto, and the bookmakers make them out to be the marginal favourites.
Meanwhile, Benfica head into this match off the back of a 2-1 defeat to arch-nemesis Sporting in the first leg of the Taca de Portugal semi-finals. That brought an end to a nine-match unbeaten run in all competition, dating back to their Taca da Liga exit at the start of the year. In league terms, though, the Eagles are in great shape. They won their last Primeira Liga match 4-0 against Portimonense, extending their current unbeaten run to 22 games. Their only league defeat this season came on the opening day away to Boavista. During their unbeaten streak, Benfica have recorded 18 wins and four losses. In away games, the visitors are unbeaten in ten and have scored two or more goals in seven of those matches. The Eagles won the reverse fixture 1-0 back in August and will know that another victory is vital here with Sporting right on their shoulders.
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Porto against Benfica Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Porto & Benfica Lisbon Squad Analysis
Porto will be missing a few important players for this match due to injury. Zaidu Sanusi and Ivan Marcano are both out with ACL injuries and are likely to miss the remainder of the season. Mehdi Taremi is the latest addition to the casualty list with a thigh injury and is expected to remain sidelined for at least a couple of weeks. Gabriel Veron has not featured at all this season due to an injury to his Achilles tendon, and there is no indication of when he may return to action.
Benfica, on the other hand, have an almost-fully fit squad at their disposal, barring Juan Bernat, who is a doubt owing to a muscle injury. Rafa Silva has been in sensational form lately, netting in each of his last five games and currently leading the side with 12 goals for the season. He will almost certainly continue to lead the line in front of Angel Di Maria and Joao Mario in the attacking midfield positions.
Most goals and assists
Porto
Benfica Lisbon
Evanilson
(17 Goals)
R. Silva
(18 Goals)
W. Galeno
(10 Assists)
A. Di Maria
(13 Assists)
Porto - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Five of Porto’s last six games in all competitions have ended with under 3.5 goals
- Porto have kept clean sheets in each of their last five home games
- Four of Benfica’s last six away games have ended with under 3.5 goals
- Benfica have kept clean sheets in five of their last seven away league games
- Fewer than four goals were scored in each of the last five matches between these sides
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Our Porto vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
While both these sides have been excellent in attack individually, matches between these two tend to be much closer, with a single goal separating them in four of their last five encounters. Both sides are also carrying solid form into this contest and will not want to concede first, which could see this match start as a slow-burner. Therefore, our Porto vs Benfica prediction: Under 3.5.
Porto vs Benfica Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
Benfica Draw No Bet
Benfica are unbeaten in their last 22 league games and won the reverse fixture 1-0 back in September last year.
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Porto vs Benfica Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions
The O Classico will be played on Sunday, March 3, at 20:30 GMT.
Porto and Benfica will face off at Estadio Do Dragao in Porto, Portugal.
Joao Pedro Pinheiro will take charge of the O Classico, with the assistance of Bruno Jesus, Luciano Maia, and Antonio Nobre as the fourth official.
Porto vs Benfica will be broadcast live on TNT Sports.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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