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Portugal - Liga Portugal

Porto
29 Sep 2024 13:00
Arouca

Prediction :

 

Porto to win and under 3.5

 
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Porto vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

 by Devesh Jaganath in Liga Portugal Predictions

Porto will continue their Primeira Liga campaign this Sunday night when they host Arouca at the Estadio do Dragao. The Dragoes have earned 15 points from their first six matches in the league, while the Lobos are in the bottom half of the table with six points over the same period. Let's get into the match prediction. 

Although The Blue and Whites had managed to strike first in their midweek UEFA Europa League matchup against Bodo/Glimt, they could only watch as the Norwegian-based side constructed an inspired 3-2 comeback to keep all three points in Bodo.

That result would be The Dragons' second loss in their last eight matches across all competitions, their only other defeat was against current unbeaten league leaders Sporting Lisbon.

At home, Porto will look to preserve their nine-match win streak across all competitions, with clean sheets earned in six of those matches.

Arouquenses earned their second league win of the season last weekend when they saw off bottom-rooted side Farense 1-0.

With that win, Arouca would see themselves move out of the relegation zone and into 14th position, but with only two wins out of their last six domestic matches, they will need to muster up some more positive performances to save themselves from the drop.

Just a single clean sheet from four matches this campaign when The Wolves have been on the road is a cause for concern, as the three matches Arouca have lost have averaged three goals against them. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Arouca Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.22 6.5 11
Ladbrokes
1.36 3.7 9.5
1xbet
1.22 7.3 14
22bet
1.22 7.3 14
Betobet
1.18 6.75 15
Betwinner
1.18 7.2 14
LSbet
1.18 7.2 14
Stake
1.21 6.6 12
Melbet
1.18 7.1 14.5
Tonybet
1.18 7 15
Vbet
1.21 7 15
Betway
1.2 6 12
Unibet
1.14 7 15
Betfair
1.17 6 13
Betsson
1.2 7 13
William Hill
1.2 6.5 13
Check all Porto vs Arouca odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Arouca?

Our prediction for the Porto vs Arouca match is: Porto to win and under 3.5 goals!

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2024 between Porto and Arouca in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 72.08% for a win of Porto against Arouca with odds of 1.36 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Arouca is 14.88% with odds of 7.3 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 13.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Arouca vs Porto with odds of 15 at Betobet.

Porto - Arouca Prediction and Best Odds:

Porto Arouca Prediction Probability Odds
Porto wins 72.08% 1.36 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 64.22% 1.54 at Betobet
Both Team To Score 34.58%
Half-time / Full-time : Porto/Porto 47.06% 1.73 at Bet365

Porto vs Arouca Form

Porto and Arouca's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Porto
Porto
27 11 9 0 2 20
16
Arouca
Arouca
8 11 2 2 7 -13

Porto and Arouca Last Matches

Porto
Porto Last matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Sep 2024 - Europa League

Bodoe/Glimt
3 :  2
Porto

21 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  3
Porto

15 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  1
Farense

31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Porto

24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
Rio Ave

16 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
0 :  2
Porto
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  1
Farense

24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
Rio Ave

10 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  0
Gil Vicente

28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Porto
4 :  0
Al Nasr

16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Porto
4 :  0
Al-Arabi

10 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Porto
4 :  0
Chaves
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Sep 2024 - Europa League

Bodoe/Glimt
3 :  2
Porto

21 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  3
Porto

31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Porto

16 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
0 :  2
Porto

3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  4
Porto

23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
0 :  2
Porto
Arouca
Arouca Last matches
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal

Farense
0 :  1
Arouca

13 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

1 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  0
Arouca

25 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  0
Nacional Madeira

18 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
3 :  1
Arouca

12 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
W D L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

25 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  0
Nacional Madeira

12 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  3
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

5 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  0
Estrela Amadora

14 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
2 :  1
Boavista
D D L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal

Farense
0 :  1
Arouca

1 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  0
Arouca

18 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
3 :  1
Arouca

12 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  0
Arouca

26 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  2
Arouca

19 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  1
Arouca

Porto vs Arouca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Porto

67 %

Draw

17 %

Arouca

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

12 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
3 :  2
Porto

3 Sep 2023 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  1
Arouca

8 May 2023 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  1
Porto

11 Jan 2023 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
4 :  0
Arouca

28 Dec 2022 - Liga Portugal

Porto
5 :  1
Arouca

6 Feb 2022 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  2
Porto
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Porto against Arouca Lineups: Starting 11

Porto

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

99
D. Costa
23
J. Mario
97
Ze Pedro
24
N. Perez
74
F. Moura
22
A. Varela
15
V. Sousa
11
Pepe
16
N. Gonzalez
13
W. Galeno
9
S. Omorodion
50
G. Yalcin
7
I. Rodrigues
2
M. Sylla
19
A. Trezza
21
T. Fukui
5
D. Simao
27
A. Dante
3
J. Fontan
13
B. Popovic
28
T. Esgaio
58
N. Mantl

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Arouca

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Porto
CD Huachipato Arouca
Top Goalscorer
Spain S. Omorodion (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal H. Araujo (2 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal F. Moura (5 Assists)
Best assists
Spain C. Gonzalez (1 Assists)
Turkey G. Yalcin (1 Assists)
Uruguay A. Trezza (1 Assists)
Portugal I. Rodrigues (1 Assists)

Porto - Arouca Key Points

  1. Porto have won nine consecutive matches at home across all competitions.
  2. Six of the last seven matches across all competitions including Porto have not ended in over four goals.
  3. Four of the last five matchups between these sides have resulted in four or fewer goals.
  4. Aroucas’ last seven matches across all competitions have not exceeded four goals.
Up to $150 to bet on Porto - Arouca! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Porto vs Arouca Prediction

While we see The Dragons comfortably sending The Wolves back to their dens, we feel it will be fairly unlikely that the scoreline ends up being excessive.

Both sides have kept their recent respective matches under a five-goal threshold and we feel that the same will follow suit here. Our Porto vs Arouca prediction: Porto to win and under 3.5 goals!

Prediction :

 

Porto to win and under 3.5

 
Exclusive Offer
$150 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Porto Arouca

Porto vs Arouca Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Porto wins 1.22 1.22 0%
Draw 6 6.5 +8.3%
Arouca wins 13 11 -15.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Porto is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 82.0% (0.0%)

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Porto vs Arouca Prediction
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