Portugal - Liga Portugal
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Porto vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
by Devesh Jaganath in Liga Portugal Predictions
Porto will continue their Primeira Liga campaign this Sunday night when they host Arouca at the Estadio do Dragao. The Dragoes have earned 15 points from their first six matches in the league, while the Lobos are in the bottom half of the table with six points over the same period. Let's get into the match prediction.
Although The Blue and Whites had managed to strike first in their midweek UEFA Europa League matchup against Bodo/Glimt, they could only watch as the Norwegian-based side constructed an inspired 3-2 comeback to keep all three points in Bodo.
That result would be The Dragons' second loss in their last eight matches across all competitions, their only other defeat was against current unbeaten league leaders Sporting Lisbon.
At home, Porto will look to preserve their nine-match win streak across all competitions, with clean sheets earned in six of those matches.
Arouquenses earned their second league win of the season last weekend when they saw off bottom-rooted side Farense 1-0.
With that win, Arouca would see themselves move out of the relegation zone and into 14th position, but with only two wins out of their last six domestic matches, they will need to muster up some more positive performances to save themselves from the drop.
Just a single clean sheet from four matches this campaign when The Wolves have been on the road is a cause for concern, as the three matches Arouca have lost have averaged three goals against them.
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The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Arouca Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.36 | 3.7 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.22 | 7.3 | 14 |
|
|
1.22 | 7.3 | 14 |
|
|
1.18 | 6.75 | 15 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.2 | 14 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.2 | 14 |
|
|
1.21 | 6.6 | 12 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.1 | 14.5 |
|
|
1.18 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.21 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.2 | 6 | 12 |
|
|
1.14 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.17 | 6 | 13 |
|
|
1.2 | 7 | 13 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.5 | 13 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Arouca?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Arouca match is: Porto to win and under 3.5 goals!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2024 between Porto and Arouca in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 72.08% for a win of Porto against Arouca with odds of 1.36 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Arouca is 14.88% with odds of 7.3 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Arouca vs Porto with odds of 15 at Betobet.
Porto - Arouca Prediction and Best Odds:
| Porto Arouca Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 72.08% | 1.36 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.22% | 1.54 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 34.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Porto/Porto | 47.06% | 1.73 at Bet365 |
Porto vs Arouca Form
Porto and Arouca's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
40 | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 27 |
|
15
|
16 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -15 |
Porto and Arouca Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sep 2024 - Europa League
21 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sep 2024 - Europa League
21 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
13 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
1 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
25 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
25 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
5 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
14 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
1 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
Porto vs Arouca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Sep 2023 - Liga Portugal
8 May 2023 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2023 - Taca de Portugal
28 Dec 2022 - Liga Portugal
6 Feb 2022 - Liga Portugal
Players list
D. Costa
DefenderJ. Mario
Ze Pedro
N. Perez
F. Moura
MidfielderF. Vieira
D. Gul
A. Franco
ForwardR. Mora
S. Eustaquio
S. Omorodion
N. Mantl
DefenderB. Popovic
J. Fontan
A. Dante
MidfielderA. Pinto
V. Morozov
T. Fukui
C. Lamba
P. Santos
ForwardJason
G. Yalcin
Substitutes
C. Ramos
DefenderT. Djalo
M. Fernandes
MidfielderA. Franco
I. Jaime
S. Eustaquio
F. Vieira
R. Mora
D. Gul
Thiago
DefenderA. Pinto
Weverson
C. Lamba
P. Santos
V. Morozov
M. Puche Garcia
Jason
P. Gozalbez
Most goals and assists
Porto
Arouca
S. Omorodion
(18 Goals)
Jason
(4 Goals)
F. Moura
(5 Assists)
,
M. Fernandes
(5 Assists)
C. Gonzalez
(1 Assists)
, 
G. Yalcin
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Trezza
(1 Assists)
,
I. Rodrigues
(1 Assists)
,
Jason
(1 Assists)
Porto - Arouca Key Points
- Porto have won nine consecutive matches at home across all competitions.
- Six of the last seven matches across all competitions including Porto have not ended in over four goals.
- Four of the last five matchups between these sides have resulted in four or fewer goals.
- Aroucas’ last seven matches across all competitions have not exceeded four goals.
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Our Porto vs Arouca Prediction
While we see The Dragons comfortably sending The Wolves back to their dens, we feel it will be fairly unlikely that the scoreline ends up being excessive.
Both sides have kept their recent respective matches under a five-goal threshold and we feel that the same will follow suit here. Our Porto vs Arouca prediction: Porto to win and under 3.5 goals!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Porto Arouca
| Porto vs Arouca | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 1.22 | 1.22 | 0% |
| Draw | 6 | 6.5 | +8.3% |
| Arouca wins | 13 | 11 | -15.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 82.0% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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