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Poland vs Scotland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Steve Ashfield | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
There's a lot to play for as Poland host Scotland in their final Nations League group match. Both sides are on four points in this group but only Scotland can still finish in the top two and head into the quarter-finals. This is a match in League A and Poland are third in the group, ahead of the Tartan Army as a result of their thrilling 3-2 win away in Scotland earlier in this group. The two sides trail second placed Croatia by three points with Portugal having already won the group.
Scotland may be the side bottom of the table but if they can win this match and Croatia lose at home to Portugal, they still have a chance of finishing second. In order to finish in that position they must beat Poland, hope Croatia lose to Portugal and for there to be a three-goal swing to finish above Croatia and qualify. Here's our match prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for Poland v Scotland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.4 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.63 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.63 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.5 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.17 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.45 | 3.36 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.5 | 3.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Poland and Scotland?
Our prediction for the Poland vs Scotland match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/11/2024 between Poland and Scotland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.83% for a win of Poland against Scotland with odds of 2.24 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Poland vs Scotland is 22.26% with odds of 3.65 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Scotland vs Poland with odds of 3.45 at 1xbet.
Poland vs Scotland Form
Poland and Scotland's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 |
|
4
|
4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 |
Poland and Scotland Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
23 Jun 2024 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
23 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jun 2024 - Euro
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
Poland vs Scotland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
24 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
Poland - Scotland: Form Analysis
Poland suffered a heavy loss on Friday as they lost 5-1 away to group winners Portugal. The White-Reds have four points from their five games, three of which came when they beat Scotland 3-2. They led 2-0 in that game, were pulled back to 2-2 and won with a last-gasp penalty.
That was their opening game in the group but only one point (a draw in Croatia) has been earned since then. That's put them in the relegation play-off position and they need to avoid defeat here to avoid being automatically relegated.
Poland have a leaky defence but regularly score themselves.
Poland have one win in their last eight matches. Their defence is a major problem with at 11 goals being conceded in their last three matches. They regularly get on the scoresheet themselves and nine of the last ten games have seen both teams score.
Scotland gave themselves some hope of qualifying with a 1-0 home win over Croatia on Friday. That was their first win in this group after a draw and three defeats. It also ended a run of eight games without a win and was only their second win in 17 matches.
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Poland vs Scotland last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Poland & Scotland Squad Analysis
Steve Clarke is not expected to make many changes for this final Nations League game in Poland. He will have been impressed by their last two performances against Portugal and Croatia who are the top two teams in this group.
John McGinn scored the winning goal against Croatia but is still not quite 100% fit. It's likely he will again start this match on the bench but will be a dangerous sub to bring on in the second half if needed.
Tommy Conway played up front for Scotland on Friday. He was substituted though with Lyndon Dykes replacing him. It remains to be seen if Conway will keep his place in the Scottish starting line-up.
Lewandowski still missing for Poland.
Poland will still be missing their captain and top striker Robert Lewandowski due to his back injury. Piotr Zielinski will again captain the Polish side while Pawel Dawidowicz is still unavailable for the Poles.
They will also be without Arkadiusz Milik. Karol Swiderski was due to be a substitute in the 5-1 loss to Portugal but wasn't registered to play. He doesn't have that problem for this Monday's game against Scotland.
Most goals and assists
Poland
Scotland
S. Szymanski
(2 Goals)
,
N. Zalewski
(2 Goals)
,
P. Zielinski
(2 Goals)
S. Mctominay
(2 Goals)
R. Lewandowski
(2 Assists)
,
K. Urbanski
(2 Assists)
T. Ralston
(1 Assists)
,
K. McLean
(1 Assists)
Poland and Scotland Stats in UEFA Nations League
Poland - Scotland Key Points
- Both teams have scored in nine of Poland's last ten matches.
- The reverse fixture ended 3-2 to Poland.
- Six of the last nine Scotland matches have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
- Four of the last six Scotland away matches have seen both teams score.
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Our Poland vs Scotland Prediction
Scotland have given themselves some chance of qualifying for the quarter-finals. They beat Croatia on Friday and a win in Poland will give them a chance, especially if Portugal score a few goals against Croatia. More realistically, a win over Poland can see Scotland go into the relegation play-offs rather than suffer automatic relegation.
They also drew with Portugal recently and that must have boosted their confidence. Poland are struggling for form and concede far too many goals. Our main Poland v Scotland prediction is both teams to score.
Poland vs Scotland - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Use the Poland vs. Scotland game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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Poland vs Scotland match : Frequently asked questions
This is a home match for Poland so the game will be played at the Kazimierz Gorski National Stadium in Warsaw.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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