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Poland vs Portugal Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Steve Ashfield in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Portugal are in a strong position in this Nations League Group. This is a match in League A and Portugal lead the group after two matches with the visitors Poland, three points behind in third place. The Lusitanians have won both of their matches in this Nations League group. Both were played on home soil and now they travel to Poland on Saturday and follow that with another away fixture in Scotland on Tuesday evening. Let's get into the prediction.
Portugal are three points ahead of second placed Croatia and the top two sides in this group go into the Nations League quarter-finals. Poland have had a win and a defeat so far in this group and this is their first home match.
After this game, they host Croatia so getting some points from these two games is absolutely vital for their qualification hopes. Can they move into the top two? Read on to find out our views.
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The Best Betting Odds for Poland v Portugal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5 | 4.2 | 1.62 |
|
|
4.6 | 2.62 | 2 |
|
|
5.31 | 4.31 | 1.64 |
|
|
5.31 | 4.31 | 1.64 |
|
|
5.25 | 4 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.15 | 4.06 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.15 | 4.06 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.4 | 4.3 | 1.64 |
|
|
5.15 | 4.02 | 1.64 |
|
|
5.4 | 4.1 | 1.64 |
|
|
5.3 | 4 | 1.63 |
|
|
5 | 4.1 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.2 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.25 | 3.75 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.1 | 4.3 | 1.65 |
|
|
5 | 4 | 1.62 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Poland and Portugal?
Our prediction for the Poland vs Portugal match is: Portugal to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/10/2024 between Poland and Portugal in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.64% for a win of Poland against Portugal with odds of 5.5 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Poland vs Portugal is 13.42% with odds of 4.31 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Portugal vs Poland with odds of 2 at Ladbrokes.
Poland - Portugal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Poland Portugal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Portugal wins | 50.94% | 2 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.64% | 1.89 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | 1.83 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: Portugal/Portugal | 17.9% | 2.55 at Betsson |
Poland vs Portugal Form
Poland and Portugal's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
|
4
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 |
Poland and Portugal Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
18 Jun 2024 - Euro
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
8 Sep 2023 - Euro
Poland vs Portugal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Nov 2018 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League
Poland - Portugal: Form Analysis
Poland have earned three points from their first two matches in this Nations League group. They began with an eventful away game in Scotland with a 2-0 lead taken. They were pulled back to 2-2 and the game looked destined for a draw until the Poles scored a 97th minute penalty.
That match was followed by a 1-0 loss away in Croatia and that has left them three points behind and third in the table. The White-Reds have only won one of their last five matches and been beaten in three of their last four Nations League home fixtures.
Portugal look to boost their qualification hopes.
Portugal have a three-point lead in the group and are the only side yet to lose a match. Both of their first two games have been at home and in their opening fixture, they defeated Croatia 2-1 with both goals coming in the first half.
They trailed in their second match against Scotland but fought back to win 2-1. Cristiano Ronaldo scored the winner in the 88th minute and has hit the back of the net in both of their Nations League matches so far.
Over 90 minutes, Portugal have only lost one of their last eight matches. That was the surprise 2-0 loss to Georgia in this summer's Euros.
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Poland against Portugal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Poland & Portugal Squad Analysis
Portugal have named a 26-man squad for the October international fixtures. Call-ups have been given by their coach Roberto Martinez to Ricardo Velho (who plays in goal for Farense) and the Mallorca midfield player Samu Costa.
Ronaldo looking to add to his goals tally.
Cristiano Ronaldo still keeps scoring for Portugal and has scored the winning goal in their two games in this group. He's expected to start this match against Poland. Back in the squad is Francisco Conceicao. The Juventus winger was absent from Portugal's squad for their matches in September due to injury. Out for Portugal are the two Sporting Lisbon players Pedro Goncalves and Geovany Quenda.
Poland have included winger Michael Ameyaw and midfielder Maxi Oyedele in their squad for the October international matches. They have top scorer Robert Lewandowski available for this match as they look to add to their three points.
He'll be as important as ever because fellow striker Arkadiusz Milik is out injured. He may be replaced by either Karol Swiderski or Krzysztof Piatek.
Most goals and assists
Poland
Portugal
S. Szymanski
(2 Goals)
,
N. Zalewski
(2 Goals)
,
P. Zielinski
(2 Goals)
Cristiano Ronaldo
(5 Goals)
R. Lewandowski
(2 Assists)
,
K. Urbanski
(2 Assists)
N. Mendes
(3 Assists)
,
Vitinha
(3 Assists)
Poland - Portugal Key Points
- Portugal have won both of their matches in this group.
- Excluding extra time and penalties, Portugal have only lost one of their last eight internationals.
- Portugal are unbeaten in their last five matches against Poland.
- Poland have lost three of their last five matches.
- Poland have lost their last two home games played in the Nations League.
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Our Poland vs Portugal Prediction
Portugal top this Nations League group and could clinch qualification for the quarter-finals in the next week. They are three points clear at the top of the table and finishing first or second in the group will see them go into the last eight.
This is their first away match in the group but they do have a good record against Poland, last losing to them 17 years ago. Poland have three points so far but needed a 97th minute penalty to beat Scotland and then lost away in Croatia. Our main Poland v Portugal prediction is Portugal to win.
Poland vs Portugal - Other Interesting Predictions
Portugal to win and both teams to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Poland Portugal
| Poland vs Portugal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Poland wins | 4.5 | 5 | +11.1% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 4.2 | +20.0% |
| Portugal wins | 1.8 | 1.62 | -10.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Portugal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 61.7% (6.2%)
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Poland vs Portugal match : Frequently asked questions
This is the first home game for Poland in this Nations League group. The game is being played at the Kazimierz Gorski National Stadium in Warsaw, Poland.
This match between Poland and Portugal will be shown free on the Viaplay International YouTube channel. You can follow this match on our Nations League livescore with updated statistics and live text commentary to help you with your in-play bets.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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