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Poland vs Estonia Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro
by Ian John in Euro Predictions
Poland face Estonia in the Euro 2024 Playoff Qualifiers on Thursday night and the Poles are the hot favourites to move through to the Path A Final, where either Wales or Finland will host the Poles in the final qualifier in Cardiff or Helsinki. The Polish side are unbeaten at home since November 2022, when the Netherlands defeated them in the Nations League. It was their away form in the Euro 2024 qualifiers that proved to be their downfall and meant that they were forced to qualify via the playoffs. Having beaten Estonia's neighbours Latvia 2-0 in their final warm up game last November, the Poles should be very confident of landing the win against their Baltic rivals.
Estonia qualified for this playoff berth by virtue of their Nations League performances. Their recent form against better quality opposition leaves a lot to be desired and it is easy to see why they are the longest price of any team in the Euro 2024 playoffs to win their first leg game. They have no wins in their last 11 games and only two draws during that run, one away to Azerbaijan, the other at home to Thailand. They've suffered 5-0 defeats to Sweden and Belgium during that sequence, and have all their last three - against Austria and Sweden twice. The data does not show any real optimism for Estonia fans here and as such, it could be a long evening for those that make the trip south to Warsaw to watch their National Team in action.
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The Best Betting Odds for Poland v Estonia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.13 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.18 | 6.5 | 19 |
|
|
1.18 | 6.5 | 17 |
|
|
1.13 | 7 | 18 |
|
|
1.19 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.19 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.19 | 6.95 | 14.5 |
|
|
1.19 | 6.95 | 14.5 |
|
|
1.19 | 7 | 17 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.45 | 13 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.2 | 17 |
|
|
1.17 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.5 | 17 |
|
|
1.13 | 8 | 17 |
|
|
1.17 | 7 | 23 |
|
|
1.18 | 6.5 | 17 |
|
|
1.17 | 8 | 19 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Poland and Estonia?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2024 between Poland and Estonia in Euro :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 74.01% for a win of Poland against Estonia with odds of 1.22 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Poland vs Estonia is 21.21% with odds of 8 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 4.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Estonia vs Poland with odds of 23 at Betsson.
Poland - Estonia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Poland Estonia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Poland wins | 74.01% | 1.22 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 74.87% | 2.2 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.48% | 3.05 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Poland/Poland | 44.27% | 1.7 at Ladbrokes |
Poland vs Estonia Form
Poland and Estonia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
20 Jun 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
16 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2023 - Euro
30 Nov 2022 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
20 Jun 2023 - Euro
24 Mar 2023 - Euro
4 Dec 2022 - World Cup
22 Nov 2022 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
20 Jun 2023 - Euro
23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
17 Jun 2023 - Euro
27 Mar 2023 - Euro
26 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
Poland against Estonia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Most goals and assists
Poland
Estonia
S. Szymanski
(4 Goals)
,
J. Piotrowski
(4 Goals)
M. Vetkal
(3 Goals)
N. Zalewski
(6 Assists)
M. Soomets
(3 Assists)
Poland - Estonia Key Points
- Poland have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten games. They found the net in nine of those games and have kept clean sheets in six of those matches.
- Estonia are without a win in their last 11 games. They have scored just 4 goals in those games, conceding 26.
- Poland are unbeaten in their last six home games, winning four and drawing two. One of the teams they beat was Germany (1-0 back in June 2023).
- Estonia have failed to score in six of their last eight games.
- Poland and Estonia have met nine times previously, Poland winning seven, with one draw and one win for Estonia, which was in the last game between the two in 2012. Estonia have scored just four times against Poland, Poland scoring 18 goals in those 9 games.
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Our Poland vs Estonia Prediction
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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