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England - FA Cup

Plymouth

06 Feb 2024 14:45

Leeds

Prediction :

Draw

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Plymouth vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup

Prediction published on 06/02/2024, 06:29 by Ian John in FA Cup Predictions

Both Plymouth Argyle and Leeds United come into this FA Cup Fourth Round replay in excellent form and after a tight 1-1 draw in the first game between the two 11 days ago at Elland Road. Plymouth have not been beaten in their last seven games, although a high percentage of those games did finish in draws. New manager Ian Foster has overseen an improvement in form since taking over from Stoke City-bound Steven Schumacher at the end of last year and at the weekend they registered their first away win of the season, when the in demand Morgan Whittaker scored the goal in their 1-0 win over Swansea in south Wales. That was the first time in ten games that both teams hadn't found the net in a Plymouth Argyle game and it sets the team up very nicely for Tuesday's game at Home Park. The Pilgrims sit in 15th place in the Championship table at present.

Leeds come into this game in fantastic form too. They have won six of their last seven games, drawing the other in the aforementioned FA Cup tie with Plymouth and their five wins in succession in the Championship has moved them up to third place in the table, just a point behind Southampton, but having played a game more than the Saints and fourth placed Ipswich Town. In that run of games, Leeds have been excellent defensively, conceding just two goals in that run and scoring 14. Patrick Bamford and Daniel James have been amongst the goals in those games, but it remains to be seen whether manager Daniel Farke rests some of his key men for this replay, as he did in the first game between the two teams. Whether he rests players or not will decide how likely Leeds are to be the team to go forward to face either Chelsea or Aston Villa in the Fifth Round of the competition at the end of February.

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The Best Betting Odds for Plymouth v Leeds Match

1	X	2
5	4.2	1.6
5.5	4.6	1.53
5	4.2	1.57
4.9	4.2	1.53
5.2	4.37	1.57
5.2	4.37	1.57
5.3	4.54	1.55
5.3	4.54	1.55
4.9	4	1.58
4.88	4.22	1.63
5.4	4.7	1.56
5.3	4.5	1.6
4.75	4.33	1.57
5.1	4.4	1.58
4.75	4.2	1.55
5.5	4.5	1.57
5.25	4.2	1.6

Check all Plymouth vs Leeds odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Plymouth and Leeds?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/02/2024 between Plymouth and Leeds in FA Cup :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.26% for a win of Plymouth against Leeds with odds of 5.5 at Betfred.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Plymouth vs Leeds is 24.28% with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
Our prediction model gives a 35.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Plymouth with odds of 1.63 at Melbet.

Plymouth - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:

Plymouth Leeds Prediction	Probability	Odds
Plymouth wins	40.26%	5.5 at Betfred
Over 2.5 goals	59.7%	1.7 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score	64.58%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Plymouth	16.24%	12 at Betfred

Plymouth vs Leeds Form

Plymouth and Leeds Last Matches

Plymouth Last matches

All Home Away

D W D W D W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

83% BTTS

2 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

3 Feb 2024 - Championship

Swansea

0 : 1

Plymouth

27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Leeds

1 : 1

Plymouth

20 Jan 2024 - Championship

Plymouth

3 : 1

Cardiff

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Huddersfield Town

1 : 1

Plymouth

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Plymouth

3 : 1

Sutton United

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Plymouth

3 : 3

Watford

W W D D W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals

100% BTTS

2.83 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

100% Over 2.5

0% Under 2.5

20 Jan 2024 - Championship

Plymouth

3 : 1

Cardiff

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Plymouth

3 : 1

Sutton United

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Plymouth

3 : 3

Watford

23 Dec 2023 - Championship

Plymouth

3 : 3

Birmingham

16 Dec 2023 - Championship

Plymouth

3 : 2

Rotherham

2 Dec 2023 - Championship

Plymouth

2 : 1

Stoke

D D L D D W

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals

67% BTTS

1 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

3 Feb 2024 - Championship

Swansea

0 : 1

Plymouth

27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Leeds

1 : 1

Plymouth

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Huddersfield Town

1 : 1

Plymouth

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

Southampton

2 : 1

Plymouth

26 Dec 2023 - Championship

Cardiff

2 : 2

Plymouth

13 Dec 2023 - Championship

QPR

0 : 0

Plymouth

Leeds Last matches

All Home Away

W W W W D W

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

0.33 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

2 Feb 2024 - Championship

Bristol City

0 : 1

Leeds

27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Leeds

1 : 1

Plymouth

24 Jan 2024 - Championship

Leeds

1 : 0

Norwich

21 Jan 2024 - Championship

Leeds

2 : 1

Preston North End

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Cardiff

0 : 3

Leeds

7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Peterborough

0 : 3

Leeds

D W W W W D

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals

50% BTTS

2 Goals scored

0.5 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Leeds

1 : 1

Plymouth

24 Jan 2024 - Championship

Leeds

1 : 0

Norwich

21 Jan 2024 - Championship

Leeds

2 : 1

Preston North End

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Leeds

3 : 0

Birmingham

23 Dec 2023 - Championship

Leeds

4 : 0

Ipswich Town

16 Dec 2023 - Championship

Leeds

1 : 1

Coventry City

L L L W W W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals

17% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

2 Feb 2024 - Championship

Bristol City

0 : 1

Leeds

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Cardiff

0 : 3

Leeds

7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Peterborough

0 : 3

Leeds

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

West Brom

1 : 0

Leeds

26 Dec 2023 - Championship

Preston North End

2 : 1

Leeds

12 Dec 2023 - Championship

Sunderland

1 : 0

Leeds

Plymouth vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Leeds

1 : 1

Plymouth

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Players list

Plymouth

Goalkeeper

C. Hazard

Defender

J. Matthews

D. Scarr

L. Gibson

C. Roberts

B. Waine

Midfielder

B. Mumba

A. Randell

F. Issaka

Forward

M. Whittaker

R. Hardie

Leeds

Goalkeeper

I. Meslier

Defender

J. Rodon

J. Firpo

L. Cooper

C. Summerville

Midfielder

A. Gray

I. Gruev

Forward

J. Gelhardt

P. Bamford

J. Piroe

G. Rutter

Substitutes

Plymouth

Goalkeeper

C. Burton

Defender

J. Matthews

A. Phillips

D. Scarr

B. Galloway

Midfielder

C. Roberts

M. Sorinola

Forward

B. Waine

J. Edwards

F. Issaka

C. Wright

Leeds

Goalkeeper

K. Klaesson

D. Van Den Heuvel

Defender

C. Cresswell

E. Ampadu

Midfielder

A. Gray

G. Kamara

Forward

P. Bamford

M. Fernandez

J. Gelhardt

D. Gnonto

C. Summerville

S. Byram

G. Rutter

J. Anthony

Most goals and assists

Plymouth

Leeds

Top Goalscorer

M. Whittaker (19 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

C. Summerville (20 Goals)

Best assists

M. Whittaker (6 Assists)

Best assists

G. Rutter (14 Assists)

Plymouth - Leeds Key Points

The team's drew 1-1 in the FA Cup Fourth Round at Elland Road 11 days ago. The winner of this tie will travel to face Chelsea or Aston Villa in the Fifth Round.
Leeds were 2-1 winners when the teams met in the League at Elland Road in November. They play again in ten days time in the Championship.
Plymouth are unbeaten in their last six games. They've lost one of the last 11, drawing 6 of those games, winning four.
Leeds are unbeaten in their last seven games, winning six, but their sole draw (1-1) was in the FA Cup against tonight's opposition.
Plymouth have not beaten Leeds in any of the last 10 games between the two teams (drawing 3, losing 7), but their last three wins over the Whites have all come at home.

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Our Plymouth vs Leeds Prediction

With a tie away at Chelsea or Aston Villa awaiting the winner, Plymouth v Leeds is a tough FA Cup 4th Round replay to predict. Both teams are in good form, but I think the key factor here is that I can see Daniel Farke resting one or two key players for Leeds, with promotion being their main aim this season. As such, I think we may require extra time or maybe even penalties to decide the winner here. Our Plymouth v Leeds prediction therefore is for this to finish at the end 90 minutes as a draw and then for extra time or penalties to decide the winner.

Prediction :

Draw

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