England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Plymouth vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Thobelani Moyo in Championship Predictions
On Wednesday, Matchday 28 in the Championship pits the struggling Plymouth Argyle, anchored at the bottom of the table, and promotion-chasing Burnley in third place. Who will come out on top at Home Park? Let's find out in the match prediction.
Plymouth Argyle still continues to search for a first Championship win under new coach Miron Muslic. Argyle, who caused the biggest shock in the FA Cup by downing Brentford on January 11th has been inconsistent.
The Pilgrims followed that cup win with a 1-1 draw against Oxford United at Home Park before suffering a recent 1-0 defeat to QPR at the same venue with both matches being league games.
However, that's just the tip of the iceberg for the struggling home team who have not registered a win in their last 13 league games (D6, L7).
Burnley, meanwhile, are aiming for an immediate return to the Premier League and have made a promising start to the 2024-25 Championship season.
The Clarets have lost the fewest games in the Championship (2) and head into this clash unbeaten in their last 14 league games (W8, D6), including a goalless draw against Sunderland at home.
Notably, in their last five matches, they've yet to concede a goal and this doesn't come as a startling revelation for a team that boasts the best defensive record in the league with 9 goals conceded.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Plymouth v Burnley Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.75 | 3.8 | 1.57 |
|
|
6 | 3.75 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.75 | 3.8 | 1.57 |
|
|
6.24 | 3.96 | 1.62 |
|
|
6.24 | 3.96 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.8 | 1.64 |
|
|
5.7 | 3.88 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.7 | 3.88 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.8 | 3.8 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.75 | 3.82 | 1.62 |
|
|
6 | 3.95 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.91 | 3.95 | 1.59 |
|
|
5.8 | 3.7 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.9 | 3.98 | 1.59 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.6 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.6 | 3.7 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.9 | 1.55 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Plymouth and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Plymouth vs Burnley match is: Burnley wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/01/2025 between Plymouth and Burnley in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 4.92% for a win of Plymouth against Burnley with odds of 6.24 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Plymouth vs Burnley is 35.41% with odds of 3.98 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 59.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Plymouth with odds of 1.64 at Betobet.
Plymouth - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Plymouth Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 59.67% | 1.64 at Betobet |
| Under 2.5 | 58.74% | 2.25 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Burnley/Burnley | 28.02% | 2.6 at Betfair |
Plymouth vs Burnley Form
Plymouth and Burnley's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
68 | 34 | 18 | 14 | 2 | 34 |
|
22
|
30 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -32 |
Plymouth and Burnley Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
14 Jan 2025 - Championship
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
14 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
22 Nov 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League
17 Jan 2025 - Championship
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League
17 Jan 2025 - Championship
7 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
17 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
15 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
Plymouth vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
Plymouth against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Plymouth
Burnley
R. Hardie
(6 Goals)
J. Brownhill
(10 Goals)
R. Hardie
(2 Assists)
,
B. Mumba
(2 Assists)
,
J. Anthony
(6 Assists)
Plymouth - Burnley Key Points
- When conceding the first goal, Plymouth Argyle has not won in five of their last six matches in the Championship.
- Burnley have won five of their last seven away league games.
- Plymouth Argyle have not won in their last six home league games.
- Burnley are currently on a three-match winning streak against Plymouth Argyle.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Plymouth vs Burnley Prediction
Burnley has been a defensive powerhouse in the Championship this season. They have conceded the fewest goals, and not even the top-ranked Leeds United matches their record. However, we expect an offensive masterclass more than a defensive one in this matchup as they go up against the league's worst defensive side.
It's difficult to see Plymouth get something out of this encounter. Considering their recent form in the league and their defensive frailties, a commanding win for the visiting team is undoubtedly on the cards. Our Plymouth Argyle v Burnley prediction is that Burnley wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Plymouth Burnley
| Plymouth vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth wins | 7 | 5.75 | -17.9% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.8 | +1.3% |
| Burnley wins | 1.53 | 1.57 | +2.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burnley is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 63.7% (-1.7%)
Melbet Welcome Offer
The Melbet welcome offer is made up of three tiers which can see new customers gain up to a 150% welcome boost of up to ₹33,000. The minimum deposit is ₹75 to take part in this new customer offer. If you deposit up to ₹10,000 you will get a bonus of 100% of your deposit amount. If you deposit between ₹10,001 and ₹20,000 that will be boosted to 125 and if you deposit more than ₹20,001, you will get the full 150% up to the maximum of ₹40,000.
If you get the 100% bonus, then you must wager the full amount, five times on accumulator bets, made up of three or more selections of which at least three must be 1.40 or bigger. For a 110% or 120% bonus, you must wager it 10 times in accumulators made up of three or more selections where at least three of the selections are priced at 1.50 or bigger. This must be done within 30 days and the wagering requirements must be met in full before a withdrawal can be made.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
